Essential Report

Nuclear Power Plants

Mar 21, 2011

Q. Do you support or oppose Australia developing nuclear power plants for the generation of electricity?

27 Jan 09 20 Dec 10 Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 43% 43% 35% 29% 46% 18%
Total oppose 35% 37% 53% 58% 43% 78%
Strongly support 14% 16% 12% 10% 17% 7%
Support 29% 27% 23% 19% 29% 11%
Oppose 21% 21% 21% 23% 22% 15%
Strongly oppose 14% 16% 32% 35% 21% 63%
Don’t know 22% 19% 13% 13% 11% 5%

53% oppose Australia developing nuclear power plants for the generation of electricity and 35% support. This is a considerable shift in opinion since this question was last asked in December 2010.

Those that intend to vote Lib/Nat were more likely to support (46%) than oppose (43%)  Australia developing nuclear power plants for the generation of electricity.

There was strong opposition from Labor (58% oppose or strongly oppose) and the Greens (78% oppose or strongly oppose).

There is a considerable difference between the attitudes of males and females towards nuclear power plants – 49% of males, compared to just 20% of females support or strongly support Australia developing nuclear power plants for the generation of electricity.

There was also strong support from those aged 65+, with 47% either supporting or strongly supporting Australia developing nuclear power plants for the generation of electricity.

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Republic

Mar 21, 2011

Q.  Are you in favour or against Australia becoming a republic?

Jan 2010 Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
In favour 41% 39% 55% 27% 63%
Against 32% 34% 20% 53% 15%
No opinion 27% 27% 25% 21% 22%

39% of respondents are in favour of Australia becoming a republic, 34% are against and 27% hold no opinion.

There has been little shift in attitudes from the Jan 2010 poll.

Labor (55%) and Green (63%) voters are more likely to be in favour of a republic. Lib/Nat voters (53%) are more likely to be against Australia becoming a republic.

Males (46%) were more likely than females (33%) to be in favour of Australia becoming a republic. However this did not translate to large numbers of females being against Australia becoming a republic (36% of females compared to 31%) of males, but rather more females (31%) than males (23%) stating that they have no opinion.

Those aged 45-54 were the most likely to be in favour of a republic (48%), but there were also surprisingly high level of support for a republic from older age groups – 41% of those aged 55-64 and 42% of those aged 65+ stated that they were in favour of Australia becoming a republic.

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Republic – with Prince Charles or Prince William as King

Mar 21, 2011

Q. Would you be in favour or against Australia becoming a republic if Prince Charles became the next King?

Q. Would you be in favour or against Australia becoming a republic if Prince William became the next King?

Total Prince Charles as King Prince William as King
In favour 39% 38% 37%
Against 34% 32% 33%
No opinion 27% 30% 30%

Attitudes towards Australia becoming a republic barely moved when respondents were asked their opinion if Prince Charles or Prince William were King.

There was no noticeable difference in attitude between the genders or the age brackets.

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NSW State Voting Intention

Mar 18, 2011

Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

First preference /leaning to Total Men Women Sydney Other NSW Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+
Sample 967 483 484 615 352 300 396 271
Labor 24% 24% 23% 21% 27% 25% 23% 23%
Liberal/National 54% 54% 53% 57% 47% 50% 53% 58%
Greens 12% 12% 13% 12% 13% 15% 13% 9%
Independent/Other 11% 10% 11% 9% 13% 10% 11% 11%
2PP
Labor 35% 35% 35% 31% 41% 38% 35% 32%
Liberal/National 65% 65% 65% 69% 59% 62% 65% 68%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 3-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by separately distributing the votes of the Greens and the Independents/other parties according to their preferences at the previous election. This calculation excludes exhausted votes.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 14, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,884

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 41% 42% 44% 45%
National 3% 3% 3% 2%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 44% 45% 47% 47%
Labor 38.0 40% 37% 36% 35%
Greens 11.8 10% 10% 10% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6 6% 7% 7% 8%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 50% 52% 53% 54%
Labor 50.1% 50% 48% 47% 46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Approval of Julia Gillard

Mar 14, 2011

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
31 May

2010

5 Jul 19 Jul 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar
Total approve 41% 48% 52% 46% 45% 45% 43% 43% 51% 48% 41%
Total disapprove 47% 27% 30% 40% 37% 37% 38% 40% 36% 41% 46%
Strongly approve 7% 14% 11% 13% 12% 10% 7% 10% 8% 9% 7%
Approve 34% 34% 41% 33% 33% 36% 36% 33% 43% 39% 34%
Disapprove 25% 13% 17% 24% 21% 20% 23% 24% 24% 25% 22%
Strongly disapprove 22% 14% 13% 16% 16% 17% 15% 16% 12% 16% 24%
Don’t know 12% 26% 18% 13% 19% 18% 18% 17% 14% 11% 13%

41% (down 7%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 46% (up 5%) disapprove – a change in net rating from +7 to -5 over the last 4 weeks.

87% of Labor voters approve and 7% disapprove.

By gender – men 41% approve/49% disapprove, women 42% approve/43% disapprove.

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Approval of Tony Abbott

Mar 14, 2011

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

18 Jan

2010

29 Mar 5 Jul 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar
Total approve 37% 33% 37% 41% 43% 39% 40% 39% 42% 38% 38%
Total disapprove 37% 50% 47% 44% 37% 45% 40% 39% 37% 46% 47%
Strongly approve 5% 8% 8% 9% 12% 8% 6% 9% 7% 8% 7%
Approve 32% 25% 29% 32% 31% 31% 34% 30% 35% 30% 31%
Disapprove 20% 28% 23% 22% 21% 22% 22% 21% 22% 24% 24%
Strongly disapprove 17% 22% 24% 22% 16% 23% 18% 18% 15% 22% 23%
Don’t know 26% 16% 16% 15% 19% 17% 19% 22% 20% 16% 16%

38% (no change) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 47% (up 1%) disapprove.

70% of Coalition voters approve and 17% disapprove.

By gender – men 41% approve/45% disapprove, women 33% approve/49% disapprove.

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Better Prime Minister

Mar 14, 2011

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

5 Jul 2010 20 Sep 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 2011 14 Mar 2011 Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

21 Jun 10

Julia Gillard 53% 47% 45% 47% 48% 44% 88% 8% 73% 47%
Tony Abbott 26% 35% 34% 32% 31% 33% 3% 70% 4% 30%
Don’t know 21% 18% 21% 21% 20% 23% 9% 22% 22% 23%

44% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 33% prefer Tony Abbott – a net decrease for Julia Gillard of 6% on last month’s figures (from +17% to +11%).

Men favour Julia Gillard over Tony Abbott 42%/37% and women 46%/29%.

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