Angry Punter, NSW Election, Polling, State Election, voting
Tomorrow voters across NSW will be lining up to take a punt on their next government. Who are the favourites, who are the outsiders, and where are the value bets? The Angry Punter has cast his eye over the political horse flesh and provided his tips exclusively for The Unspun.
Race 1 – Premier of NSW Cup
This is supposedly a two-horse race, but the burly stallion Bazza O’Fazza will start at shorter odds than Black Caviar. Little value for punters in this one.
Bazza O’Fazza – Long considered to be little more than a plodder, Bazza O’Fazza has developed into a genuine stayer with a wily sense of timing. Has been set for this race, and will be very hard to beat.
Nobody’s Puppet – The imported glamour filly from has always been highly regarded, but has been hampered by a terrible preparation this time around. A number of her ALP stable mates have been very frisky in the mounting yards, and this has caused endless distractions for young trainer Sam Dastyari. Nobody’s Puppet has earned respect for simply getting to the starting gates under the circumstances. Anything better than last by 15 lengths will be considered a success.
2PP, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, Greens, Independent, Labor, Liberal, NSW, NSW 2PP, NSW Election, NSW vote, NSW voting intention, Polling, polls, Voting intention
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
First preference /leaning to | Total | Men | Women | Sydney | Other NSW | Aged 18-34 | Aged 35-54 | Aged 55+ |
Sample | 971 | 481 | 490 | 622 | 349 | 309 | 391 | 271 |
Labor | 23% | 23% | 24% | 20% | 29% | 21% | 24% | 25% |
Liberal/National | 55% | 56% | 53% | 60% | 46% | 55% | 54% | 55% |
Greens | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 14% | 9% | 9% |
Independent/Other | 11% | 10% | 12% | 10% | 15% | 10% | 13% | 11% |
2PP | ||||||||
Labor | 34% | 33% | 35% | 29% | 42% | 32% | 35% | 34% |
Liberal/National | 66% | 67% | 65% | 71% | 58% | 68% | 65% | 66% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 3-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by separately distributing the votes of the Greens and the Independents/other parties according to their preferences at the previous election. This calculation excludes exhausted votes.
2PP, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, Greens, Independent, Labor, Liberal, NSW, NSW 2PP, NSW Election, NSW vote, NSW voting intention, Polling, polls, Voting intention
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
First preference /leaning to | Total | Men | Women | Sydney | Other NSW | Aged 18-34 | Aged 35-54 | Aged 55+ |
Sample | 967 | 483 | 484 | 615 | 352 | 300 | 396 | 271 |
Labor | 24% | 24% | 23% | 21% | 27% | 25% | 23% | 23% |
Liberal/National | 54% | 54% | 53% | 57% | 47% | 50% | 53% | 58% |
Greens | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 9% |
Independent/Other | 11% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 13% | 10% | 11% | 11% |
2PP | ||||||||
Labor | 35% | 35% | 35% | 31% | 41% | 38% | 35% | 32% |
Liberal/National | 65% | 65% | 65% | 69% | 59% | 62% | 65% | 68% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 3-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by separately distributing the votes of the Greens and the Independents/other parties according to their preferences at the previous election. This calculation excludes exhausted votes.