Performance of Scott Morrison
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Scott Morrison is doing as Prime Minister?
| Jan’21 | Dec’20 | Nov’20 | Oct’20 | Sep’20 | Aug’20 | Jul’20 | Jun’20 | May’20 | Apr’20 | Mar’20 | Feb’20 | |
| TOTAL: Approve | 61% | 62% | 66% | 63% | 64% | 66% | 63% | 65% | 64% | 59% | 41% | 39% |
| TOTAL: Disapprove | 30% | 28% | 25% | 27% | 28% | 23% | 27% | 26% | 27% | 31% | 49% | 52% |
| Don’t know | 9% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% |
| Base (n) | 1,084 | 1,071 | 1,010 | 1,082 | 1,076 | 1,010 | 1,054 | 1,059 | 1,093 | 1,069 | 1,096 | 1,056 |
| Total | Federal Voting Intention | ||||
| Labor | Coalition | Greens | TOTAL: Other | ||
| Strongly approve | 20% | 8% | 42% | 4% | 9% |
| Approve | 40% | 39% | 48% | 31% | 30% |
| Disapprove | 18% | 30% | 6% | 22% | 22% |
| Strongly disapprove | 13% | 18% | 2% | 35% | 20% |
| Don’t know | 9% | 5% | 2% | 8% | 19% |
| TOTAL: Approve | 61% | 47% | 90% | 35% | 39% |
| TOTAL: Disapprove | 30% | 48% | 8% | 57% | 42% |
| Base (n) | 1,084 | 334 | 431 | 118 | 106 |
- The Prime Minister’s approval rating is at 61%, unchanged since last month.
- Approval of the Prime Minister is at 90% among Coalition supporters and 47% among Labor voters, both also unchanged since last month (90% and 48%).
Performance of Anthony Albanese
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Anthony Albanese is doing as Opposition Leader?
| Jan’21 | Dec’20 | Nov’20 | Oct’20 | Sep’20 | Aug’20 | Jul’20 | Jun’20 | May’20 | Apr’20 | Mar’20 | Feb’20 | |
| TOTAL: Approve | 42% | 43% | 40% | 44% | 44% | 44% | 44% | 43% | 42% | 44% | 41% | 41% |
| TOTAL: Disapprove | 33% | 29% | 33% | 29% | 29% | 30% | 28% | 30% | 27% | 29% | 33% | 31% |
| Don’t know | 25% | 28% | 27% | 27% | 27% | 25% | 28% | 26% | 31% | 27% | 26% | 28% |
| Base (n) | 1,084 | 1,071 | 1,010 | 1,082 | 1,076 | 1,010 | 1,054 | 1,059 | 1,093 | 1,069 | 1,096 | 1,056 |
| Total | Federal Voting Intention | ||||
| Labor | Coalition | Greens | TOTAL: Other | ||
| Strongly approve | 9% | 16% | 8% | 8% | 3% |
| Approve | 32% | 47% | 26% | 37% | 20% |
| Disapprove | 23% | 14% | 33% | 22% | 25% |
| Strongly disapprove | 10% | 3% | 16% | 7% | 22% |
| Don’t know | 25% | 19% | 16% | 26% | 30% |
| TOTAL: Approve | 42% | 63% | 35% | 45% | 24% |
| TOTAL: Disapprove | 33% | 18% | 49% | 29% | 47% |
| Base (n) | 1,084 | 334 | 431 | 118 | 106 |
- The Opposition Leader’s approval rating is now 42%, consistent with ratings seen throughout last year.
Preferred Prime Minister
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese?
| Jan’21 | Dec’20 | Nov’20 | Oct’20 | Sep’20 | Aug’20 | Jul’20 | Jun’20 | May’20 | Apr’20 | Mar’20 | Feb’20 | |
| Scott Morrison | 51% | 50% | 53% | 50% | 49% | 52% | 50% | 53% | 50% | 46% | 40% | 36% |
| Anthony Albanese | 25% | 24% | 24% | 25% | 26% | 22% | 27% | 23% | 25% | 27% | 35% | 36% |
| Don’t know | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | 23% | 24% | 25% | 27% | 25% | 28% |
| Base (n) | 1,084 | 1,071 | 1,010 | 1,082 | 1,076 | 1,010 | 1,054 | 1,059 | 1,093 | 1,069 | 1,096 | 1,056 |
| Federal Voting Intention | |||||
| Total | Labor | Coalition | Greens | TOTAL: Other | |
| Scott Morrison | 51% | 28% | 83% | 24% | 45% |
| Anthony Albanese | 25% | 47% | 8% | 49% | 16% |
| Don’t know | 25% | 26% | 9% | 27% | 39% |
| Base (n) | 1,084 | 334 | 431 | 118 | 106 |
- Half of participants believe that Scott Morrison would make a better PM than Anthony Albanese (51%), while a quarter would prefer the Opposition Leader (25%). A further quarter (25%) of participants don’t know who would make the better PM.
- Morrison is strongly favoured by Coalition voters, with 83% believing Morrison makes the better PM, compared to Albanese (8%).
- Just under half of Labor voters believe Albanese would make the better PM (47%). 26% of Labor voters said they don’t know who would make the better leader.
State of the economy in next six months
Q. How do you think the economy will look in the next six months?
| Total | Gender | Age | ||||
| Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-54 | 55+ | ||
| The economy will improve in the next six months | 25% | 29% | 21% | 27% | 29% | 20% |
| The economy will stay the same in the next six months | 39% | 37% | 40% | 43% | 37% | 37% |
| The economy will get worse in the next six months | 36% | 33% | 39% | 30% | 35% | 43% |
| Base (n) | 1,081 | 539 | 542 | 338 | 374 | 369 |
| Total | Federal Voting Intention | ||||
| Labor | Coalition | Greens | Independent / Other | ||
| The economy will improve in the next six months | 25% | 24% | 31% | 19% | 19% |
| The economy will stay the same in the next six months | 39% | 35% | 41% | 38% | 35% |
| The economy will get worse in the next six months | 36% | 40% | 28% | 43% | 46% |
| Base (n) | 1,081 | 298 | 460 | 115 | 104 |
- A quarter of people expect the economy to improve in the next months, lower than the 36% who expect it to get worse. 39% do not expect any change.
- Older people aged over 55 are more likely than those aged 18-34 to expect the economy to get worse over the next six months (43% to 30%).
- 31% of Coalition voters think the economy will improve in the next six months, compared to 24% of Labor voters, 19% of Greens voters and 19% of independent/other minor party voters.
Federal voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Total | Last week 11/7/17 | 2 weeks ago 4/7/17 | 4 weeks ago 20/6/17 | Election 2 Jul 16 | |||
| Liberal | 33% | 33% | 35% | 35% | |||
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |||
| Total Liberal/National | 36% | 36% | 38% | 38% | 42.0% | ||
| Labor | 38% | 36% | 36% | 35% | 34.7% | ||
| Greens | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 10.2% | ||
| Nick Xenophon Team | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |||
| Pauline Hanson’s One Nation | 7% | 7% | 7% | 9% | |||
| Other/Independent | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 13.1% | ||
| 2 party preferred | |||||||
| Liberal National | 46% | 46% | 47% | 48% | 50.4% | ||
| Labor | 54% | 54% | 53% | 52% | 49.6% |
NB. Sample = 1,830. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.
Federal voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Total | Last week 2/5/17 | 2 weeks ago 25/4/17 | 4 weeks ago 11/4/17 | Election 2 Jul 16 | |||
| Liberal | 35% | 35% | 34% | 35% | |||
| National | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | |||
| Total Liberal/National | 37% | 38% | 37% | 37% | 42.0% | ||
| Labor | 38% | 37% | 36% | 36% | 34.7% | ||
| Greens | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10.2% | ||
| Nick Xenophon Team | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |||
| Pauline Hanson’s One Nation | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | |||
| Other/Independent | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 13.1% | ||
| 2 party preferred | |||||||
| Liberal National | 46% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 50.4% | ||
| Labor | 54% | 53% | 53% | 53% | 49.6% |
Sample = 1,795. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.
Federal voting intention
Q: If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Total | Last week
17/5/16 |
2 weeks ago
10/5/16 |
4 weeks ago
26/4/16 |
Election 7 Sep 13 | |||
| Liberal | 38% | 39% | 38% | 36% | |||
| National | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | |||
| Total Liberal/National | 41% | 42% | 42% | 40% | 45.6% | ||
| Labor | 37% | 38% | 38% | 39% | 33.4% | ||
| Greens | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 8.6% | ||
| Nick Xenophon Team | 3% | 3% | na | na | – | ||
| Palmer United Party | na | na | 1% | 1% | 5.5% | ||
| Other/Independent | 9% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 6.9% | ||
| 2 party preferred | |||||||
| Liberal National | 49% | 49% | 49% | 48% | 53.5% | ||
| Labor | 51% | 51% | 51% | 52% | 46.5% |
NB. Sample = 1,794. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
Federal voting intention
If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Total |
|
Last week5/4/16 |
2 weeks ago29/3/16 |
4 weeks ago15/3/16 |
|
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
| Liberal | 39% | 39% | 39% | 39% | |||
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |||
| Total Liberal/National | 42% | 42% | 43% | 42% | 45.6% | ||
| Labor | 35% | 37% | 38% | 36% | 33.4% | ||
| Greens | 11% | 10% | 9% | 11% | 8.6% | ||
| Palmer United Party | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5.5% | ||
| Other/Independent | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 6.9% | ||
| 2 party preferred | |||||||
| Liberal National | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 53.5% | ||
| Labor | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 46.5% |
NB. Sample = 1,792. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
COVID-19 RESEARCH
Read Essential's ongoing research on the public response to Covid-19.
Essential Report
In this week's report:
- Performance of Scott Morrison
- Performance of Anthony Albanese
- Preferred Prime Minister
- Views towards re-electing the federal Coalition government
- Party trust to handle issues
- Importance of Australia’s international reputation
- Scott Morrison’s impact on Australia’s international reputation
- Views towards Australia’s international reputation
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