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Performance of Scott Morrison

Feb 11, 2020
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Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Scott Morrison is doing as Prime Minister?

Feb’20 Jan’20 Dec’19 Nov’19 Oct’19 Sep’19 Aug’19 Jul’19
NET: Approve 39% 40% 45% 45% 47% 49% 48% 48%
NET: Disapprove 52% 52% 43% 41% 38% 36% 37% 34%
Don’t know 9% 8% 13% 13% 15% 15% 16% 18%
Base (n) 1,056 1,081 1,035 1,075 1,088 1,093 1,096 1,091

 

Total Federal Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
Strongly approve 10% 3% 24% 1% 8%
Approve 28% 16% 54% 9% 17%
Disapprove 24% 33% 12% 25% 28%
Strongly disapprove 28% 40% 5% 60% 36%
Don’t know 9% 8% 5% 5% 11%
NET: Approve 39% 19% 78% 10% 25%
NET: Disapprove 52% 74% 17% 84% 64%
Base (n) 1,056 354 320 113 155
  • The Prime Minister’s approval rating is at 39%. It has not recovered following the fall from 45% at the end of last year to 40% in January.
  • Still 52% disapprove of his performance, which shows no change from January (52%).
  • However, the PM’s approval rating among Coalition voters remains high, 78% approval (79% in Jan’20).
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Preferred Prime Minister

Feb 11, 2020
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Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese?

Feb’20 Jan’20 Nov’19 Oct’19 Sep’19 Aug’19 Jul’19 Jun’19
Scott Morrison 36% 36% 44% 43% 46% 44% 44% 43%
Anthony Albanese 36% 39% 28% 28% 25% 28% 26% 25%
Don’t know 28% 25% 29% 29% 29% 28% 31% 32%
Base (n) 1,056 1,081 1,075 1,088 1,093 1,096 1,091 1,099

 

 

    Federal Voting Intention
Total Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
Scott Morrison 36% 14% 77% 5% 31%
Anthony Albanese 36% 64% 12% 58% 24%
Don’t know 28% 23% 11% 37% 45%
Base (n) 1,056 354 320 113 155
  • Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese are considered equally capable of being Prime Minister (both 36%).
  • 28% are unsure who would make the better PM.
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Performance of Scott Morrison

Jan 14, 2020
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Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Scott Morrison is doing as Prime Minister?

Jan’20 Dec’19 Nov’19 Oct’19 Sep’19 Aug’19 Jul’19
NET: Approve 40% 45% 45% 47% 49% 48% 48%
NET: Disapprove 52% 43% 41% 38% 36% 37% 34%
Don’t know 8% 13% 13% 15% 15% 16% 18%
Base (n) 1,081 1,035 1,075 1,088 1,093 1,096 1,091

 

  Total Federal Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
Strongly approve 11% 4% 25% 4% 5%
Approve 28% 12% 54% 16% 23%
Disapprove 20% 26% 11% 22% 25%
Strongly disapprove 32% 52% 6% 51% 38%
Don’t know 8% 7% 4% 7% 10%
NET: Approve 40% 16% 79% 20% 28%
NET: Disapprove 52% 77% 17% 73% 63%
Base (n) 1,081 349 372 106 148
  • The Prime Minister’s approval rating has decreased from 45% last year to 40% this year.
  • 52% disapprove of his performance in January, up from 43%. This has been driven by an increase those who strongly disapprove – up from 22% in December to 32%.
  • The PM’s approval rating among Coalition voters remains consistent with 79% approval (on par with 82% approval last month).
  • He has lost approval among Labor voters, among whom strongly disapprove has increased from 36% in December to 52%.
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Preferred Prime Minister

Jan 14, 2020
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Q. Who do you think would makes the better Prime Minister out of Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese?

  Jan’20 Nov’19 Oct’19 Sep’19 Aug’19 Jul’19 Jun’19
Scott Morrison 36% 44% 43% 46% 44% 44% 43%
Anthony Albanese 39% 28% 28% 25% 28% 26% 25%
Don’t know 25% 29% 29% 29% 28% 31% 32%
Base (n) 1,081 1,075 1,088 1,093 1,096 1,091 1,099
  • For the first time since becoming leader of the Labor party, more people consider Anthony Albanese more capable of being PM than Scott Morrison. 39% think Albanese would be the better PM, compared to 36% for Morrison.
  • A 6pt drop from November for Morrison has coincided with an 11pt increase for Albanese.
  • A quarter (25%) don’t know who would make the better PM between the two.
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Leadership during bushfires

Jan 14, 2020
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Q. Do you approve or disapprove of Scott Morrison/Gladys Berejiklian/Daniel Andrews’s handling of the bushfire crisis?

  NET: Approve NET: Disapprove Strongly approve Approve Disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know
Scott Morrison

(Asked in all states, n=1,081)

 32% 57% 8% 24% 21% 36% 11%
Gladys Berejiklian

(Asked in NSW only, n=333)

 55% 22% 14% 43% 14% 9% 22%
Daniel Andrews

(Asked in VIC only, n=275)

 58% 20% 14% 44% 13% 7% 22%

 

NET: APPROVE Total Federal Voting Intention
Labor Coalition NET: Other
Scott Morrison

(Asked in all states,  n=1,081)

 32% 11% 64% 23%
Gladys Berejiklian

(Asked in NSW only, n=333)

 55% 54% 71% 40%
Daniel Andrews

(Asked in VIC only, n=333)

 58% 67% 63% 37%
  • Around a third (32%) of people approve of Scott Morrison’s handing of the current bushfires crisis, with just 8% strongly approving of his performance. 36% strongly disapprove of his performance.
  • Comparatively, state premiers Berejiklian and Andrews have performed well, with over half of people in each state approving of their handling of the crisis (55% in NSW and 58% in Victoria).
  • The majority of Scott Morrison’s approval is coming from within his own supporter base, with 64% of intended Coalition voters approving of his performance during the crisis. Just 11% of Labor voters and 23% of those voting for another party approve of his performance.
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Performance of Scott Morrison

Dec 10, 2019
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Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Scott Morrison is doing as Prime Minister?

Dec’19 Nov’19 Oct’19 Sep’19 Aug’19 Jul’19 Jun’19
NET: Approve 45% 45% 47% 49% 48% 48% 48%
NET: Disapprove 43% 41% 38% 36% 37% 34% 36%
Don’t know 13% 13% 15% 15% 16% 18% 18%
Base (n) 1,035 1,075 1,088 1,093 1,096 1,091 1,099

 

Total Federal Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
Strongly approve 12% 3% 27% 3% 9%
Approve 32% 18% 55% 24% 19%
Disapprove 21% 32% 13% 19% 25%
Strongly disapprove 22% 36% 1% 46% 35%
Don’t know 13% 11% 5% 7% 12%
NET: Approve 45% 21% 82% 27% 28%
NET: Disapprove 43% 68% 13% 66% 60%
Base (n) 1

,035

 339 356 106 116
  • The Prime Minister’s approval rating is now 45% and on par with Nov’19.
  • While the PM’s approval has remained steady, disapproval scores have been increasing from 34% in July to 43% in December.
  • The vast majority of Coalition voters approve of Morrison’s performance as PM, with 82% approval (on par with 83% approval last month).
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Performance of Scott Morrison compared to expectations

Dec 10, 2019
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Q. Since the federal election in May 2019, how has the performance of Scott Morrison compared to your expectations?

  Performance of Scott Morrison Federal Voting Intention
Total NET: Approve NET: Disapprove Don’t know Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
Has exceeded my expectations 11% 22% 1% 6% 4% 22% 6% 8%
Has met my expectations 41% 66% 12% 53% 27% 60% 34% 25%
Has fallen short of my expectations 47% 12% 86% 41% 69% 18% 60% 67%
Base (n) 1,035 441 461 133 339 356 106 116
  • 66% of participants who approve of the PM’s performance say he has met their expectations, compared to just 12% of those who disapprove of his performance.
  • Again, Coalition voters are most likely to say Scott Morrison has met their expectations (60%) than other voters (28%).
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Performance of Scott Morrison

Nov 12, 2019
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Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Scott Morrison is doing as Prime Minister?

Nov’19 Oct’19 Sep’19 Aug’19 Jul’19 Jun’19
NET: Approve 45% 47% 49% 48% 48% 48%
NET: Disapprove 41% 38% 36% 37% 34% 36%
Don’t know 13% 15% 15% 16% 18% 18%
Base (n) 1,075 1,088 1,093 1,096 1,091 1,099

 

Total Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
Strongly approve 12% 4% 27% 2% 3%
Approve 33% 22% 56% 13% 31%
Disapprove 21% 32% 10% 28% 27%
Strongly disapprove 20% 32% 2% 43% 27%
Don’t know 13% 11% 5% 15% 12%
NET: Approve 45% 25% 83% 15% 34%
NET: Disapprove 41% 64% 11% 71% 54%
Base (n) 1,075 325 377 107 155
  • There is a slight drop in the approval rating of the Prime Minister this month, with the 45% of participants approving of the job, down from 47% last month and 49% in September.
  • The vast majority of Coalition voters approve of Morrison’s performance as PM, with 83% approval (on par with 84% approval last month), compared to just 11% of Coalition voters who disapprove.
  • The main drivers of the decline in the PMs approval rating are men (approval now at 47%, down from 53% in October), Queensland residents (40%, down from 47% last month) and residents aged 18-34 (41%, down from 50% last month).
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Essential Report

Two Party Preferred: 14 May 2019

Labor
51.5%-0.5
Coalition
48.5%+0.5

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