2PP, party preference, Voting intention
Q: If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q: If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
(sample size = 1,774 respondents)
| First preference/leaning to | Election
7 Sep 13 |
4 weeks ago
8/09/15 |
2 weeks ago 22/09/15 | Last week
29/9/15 |
This week 6/10/15 | |
| Liberal | 36% | 37% | 40% | 41% | ||
| National | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Total Liberal/National | 45.6% | 40% | 41% | 44% | 44% | |
| Labor | 33.4% | 38% | 37% | 35% | 35% | |
| Greens | 8.6% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | |
| Palmer United Party | 5.5% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | |
| Other/Independent | 6.9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| 2 Party Preferred | Election
7 Sep 13 |
4 weeks ago
8/09/15 |
2 weeks ago 22/09/15 | Last week
29/9/15 |
This week 6/10/15 | |
| Liberal National | 53.5% | 48% | 49% | 52% | 52% | |
| Labor | 46.5% | 52% | 51% | 48% | 48% |
NB. Except The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,781 respondents
|
First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
4 weeks ago 9/6/15 |
2 weeks ago 23/6/15 |
Last week 30/6/15 |
This week 7/7/15 |
|
|
Liberal |
38% |
38% |
38% |
38% |
||
|
National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
||
|
Total Liberal/National |
45.6% |
41% |
41% |
41% |
41% |
|
|
Labor |
33.4% |
40% |
39% |
39% |
39% |
|
|
Greens |
8.6% |
9% |
10% |
11% |
10% |
|
|
Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
|
|
Other/Independent |
6.9% |
9% |
8% |
8% |
9% |
|
2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
4 weeks ago 9/6/15 |
2 weeks ago 23/6/15 |
Last week 30/6/15 |
This week 7/7/15 |
|
|
Liberal National |
53.5% |
48% |
48% |
47% |
48% |
|
|
Labor |
46.5% |
52% |
52% |
53% |
52% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
Q. Which of the following best describes your occupation?
|
First preference/leaning to |
Total |
Profess- ional |
Manager |
Admin or sales |
Trades |
|
Home duties |
Retired |
Not working |
Student |
|
|
Labor |
39% |
39% |
27% |
36% |
42% |
|
45% |
43% |
33% |
48% |
|
|
Liberal/National |
41% |
41% |
48% |
50% |
39% |
|
42% |
41% |
28% |
21% |
|
|
Greens |
11% |
11% |
15% |
9% |
4% |
|
3% |
6% |
13% |
25% |
|
|
Other/Independent |
9% |
9% |
11% |
6% |
15% |
|
11% |
9% |
26% |
6% |
Those more likely to vote Labor were home duties (45%) and students (48%).
Those more likely to vote Liberal/National were managers (48%), admin/sales (50%) and semi/unskilled workers (46%).
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,796 respondents
|
First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
4 weeks ago 19/5/15 |
2 weeks ago 2/6/15 |
Last week 9/6/15 |
This week 16/6/15 |
|
|
Liberal |
38% |
38% |
38% |
39% |
||
|
National |
3% |
4% |
3% |
3% |
||
|
Total Liberal/National |
45.6% |
41% |
41% |
41% |
42% |
|
|
Labor |
33.4% |
39% |
40% |
40% |
39% |
|
|
Greens |
8.6% |
10% |
10% |
9% |
10% |
|
|
Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
|
|
Other/Independent |
6.9% |
8% |
8% |
9% |
8% |
|
2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
4 weeks ago 19/5/15 |
2 weeks ago 2/6/15 |
Last week 9/6/15 |
This week 16/6/15 |
|
|
Liberal National |
53.5% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
|
|
Labor |
46.5% |
52% |
52% |
52% |
52% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,768 respondents
| First preference/leaning to | Election 7 Sep 13 | 4 weeks ago21/4/15 | 2 weeks ago 5/5/15 | Last week12/5/15 | This week 19/5/15 | |
| Liberal | 37% | 37% | 38% | 38% | ||
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Total Liberal/National | 45.6% | 41% | 40% | 41% | 41% | |
| Labor | 33.4% | 39% | 39% | 39% | 40% | |
| Greens | 8.6% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 10% | |
| Palmer United Party | 5.5% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | |
| Other/Independent | 6.9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% |
| 2 Party Preferred | Election 7 Sep 13 | 4 weeks ago21/4/15 | 2 weeks ago 5/5/15 | Last week12/5/15 | This week 19/5/15 | |
| Liberal National | 53.5% | 48% | 47% | 48% | 48% | |
| Labor | 46.5% | 52% | 53% | 52% | 52% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,795 respondents
| First preference/leaning to | Election 7 Sep 13 | 4 weeks ago 17/3/15 |
2 weeks ago 31/3/15 | Last week 7/4/15 |
This week 14/4/15 | |
| Liberal | 37% | 36% | 36% | 37% | ||
| National | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Total Liberal/National | 45.6% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 41% | |
| Labor | 33.4% | 39% | 40% | 39% | 39% | |
| Greens | 8.6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | |
| Palmer United Party | 5.5% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | |
| Other/Independent | 6.9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| 2 Party Preferred | Election 7 Sep 13 | 4 weeks ago 17/3/15 |
2 weeks ago 31/3/15 | Last week 7/4/15 |
This week 14/4/15 | |
| Liberal National | 53.5% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 48% | |
| Labor | 46.5% | 52% | 53% | 53% | 52% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,787 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 17/2/15 |
2 weeks ago 3/3/15 |
Last week 10/3/15 |
This week 17/3/15 |
| Liberal |
|
36% |
37% |
37% |
37% |
|
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
|
| Total Liberal/National |
45.6% |
39% |
40% |
40% |
40% |
|
| Labor |
33.4% |
41% |
41% |
40% |
39% |
|
| Greens |
8.6% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
|
| Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.9% |
8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 17/2/15 |
2 weeks ago 3/3/15 |
Last week 10/3/15 |
This week 17/3/15 |
| Liberal National |
53.5% |
46% |
47% |
47% |
48% |
|
| Labor |
46.5% |
54% |
53% |
53% |
52% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,797 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 10/2/15 |
2 weeks ago 24/2/15 |
Last week 3/3/15 |
This week 10/3/15 |
| Liberal |
|
36% |
38% |
37% |
37% |
|
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
|
| Total Liberal/National |
45.6% |
39% |
40% |
40% |
40% |
|
| Labor |
33.4% |
41% |
41% |
41% |
40% |
|
| Greens |
8.6% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
|
| Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
3% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.9% |
8% |
8% |
9% |
9% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 10/2/15 |
2 weeks ago 24/2/15 |
Last week 3/3/15 |
This week 10/3/15 |
| Liberal National |
53.5% |
46% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
|
| Labor |
46.5% |
54% |
53% |
53% |
53% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.