Federal voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Total | Last week 2/5/17 | 2 weeks ago 25/4/17 | 4 weeks ago 11/4/17 | Election 2 Jul 16 | |||
| Liberal | 35% | 35% | 34% | 35% | |||
| National | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | |||
| Total Liberal/National | 37% | 38% | 37% | 37% | 42.0% | ||
| Labor | 38% | 37% | 36% | 36% | 34.7% | ||
| Greens | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10.2% | ||
| Nick Xenophon Team | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |||
| Pauline Hanson’s One Nation | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | |||
| Other/Independent | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 13.1% | ||
| 2 party preferred | |||||||
| Liberal National | 46% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 50.4% | ||
| Labor | 54% | 53% | 53% | 53% | 49.6% |
Sample = 1,795. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.
Federal voting intention
Q: If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Total | Last week
17/5/16 |
2 weeks ago
10/5/16 |
4 weeks ago
26/4/16 |
Election 7 Sep 13 | |||
| Liberal | 38% | 39% | 38% | 36% | |||
| National | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | |||
| Total Liberal/National | 41% | 42% | 42% | 40% | 45.6% | ||
| Labor | 37% | 38% | 38% | 39% | 33.4% | ||
| Greens | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 8.6% | ||
| Nick Xenophon Team | 3% | 3% | na | na | – | ||
| Palmer United Party | na | na | 1% | 1% | 5.5% | ||
| Other/Independent | 9% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 6.9% | ||
| 2 party preferred | |||||||
| Liberal National | 49% | 49% | 49% | 48% | 53.5% | ||
| Labor | 51% | 51% | 51% | 52% | 46.5% |
NB. Sample = 1,794. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
Federal voting intention
If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Total |
|
Last week5/4/16 |
2 weeks ago29/3/16 |
4 weeks ago15/3/16 |
|
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
| Liberal | 39% | 39% | 39% | 39% | |||
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |||
| Total Liberal/National | 42% | 42% | 43% | 42% | 45.6% | ||
| Labor | 35% | 37% | 38% | 36% | 33.4% | ||
| Greens | 11% | 10% | 9% | 11% | 8.6% | ||
| Palmer United Party | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5.5% | ||
| Other/Independent | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 6.9% | ||
| 2 party preferred | |||||||
| Liberal National | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 53.5% | ||
| Labor | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 46.5% |
NB. Sample = 1,792. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q: If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q: If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
(sample size = 1,774 respondents)
| First preference/leaning to | Election
7 Sep 13 |
4 weeks ago
8/09/15 |
2 weeks ago 22/09/15 | Last week
29/9/15 |
This week 6/10/15 | |
| Liberal | 36% | 37% | 40% | 41% | ||
| National | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Total Liberal/National | 45.6% | 40% | 41% | 44% | 44% | |
| Labor | 33.4% | 38% | 37% | 35% | 35% | |
| Greens | 8.6% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | |
| Palmer United Party | 5.5% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | |
| Other/Independent | 6.9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| 2 Party Preferred | Election
7 Sep 13 |
4 weeks ago
8/09/15 |
2 weeks ago 22/09/15 | Last week
29/9/15 |
This week 6/10/15 | |
| Liberal National | 53.5% | 48% | 49% | 52% | 52% | |
| Labor | 46.5% | 52% | 51% | 48% | 48% |
NB. Except The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,756 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 26/8/14 |
2 weeks ago 9/9/14 |
Last week 16/9/14 |
This week 23/9/14 |
| Liberal |
|
36% |
36% |
35% |
36% |
|
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
|
| Total Liberal/National |
45.6% |
39% |
39% |
39% |
39% |
|
| Labor |
33.4% |
37% |
38% |
38% |
39% |
|
| Greens |
8.6% |
10% |
10% |
11% |
10% |
|
| Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
6% |
4% |
4% |
4% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.9% |
8% |
9% |
9% |
8% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 26/8/14 |
2 weeks ago 9/9/14 |
Last week 16/9/14 |
This week 23/9/14 |
| Liberal National |
53.5% |
48% |
48% |
47% |
47% |
|
| Labor |
46.5% |
52% |
52% |
53% |
53% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,802 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 5/8/14 |
2 weeks ago 19/8/14 |
Last week 26/8/14 |
This week 2/9/14 |
| Liberal |
|
39% |
37% |
36% |
36% |
|
| National |
|
2% |
3% |
3% |
4% |
|
| Total Liberal/National |
45.6% |
41% |
40% |
39% |
40% |
|
| Labor |
33.4% |
39% |
38% |
37% |
38% |
|
| Greens |
8.6% |
9% |
9% |
10% |
9% |
|
| Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
4% |
6% |
6% |
5% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.9% |
7% |
7% |
8% |
8% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 5/8/14 |
2 weeks ago 19/8/14 |
Last week 26/8/14 |
This week 2/9/14 |
| Liberal National |
53.5% |
49% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
|
| Labor |
46.5% |
51% |
52% |
52% |
52% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,916 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 13/5/14 |
2 weeks ago 27/05/14 |
Last week 3/6/14 |
This week 11/6/14 |
| Liberal |
|
38% |
37% |
35% |
35% |
|
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
45.6% |
40% |
40% |
38% |
37% |
|
| Labor |
33.4% |
39% |
39% |
39% |
40% |
|
| Greens |
8.6% |
9% |
9% |
10% |
9% |
|
| Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
5% |
5% |
6% |
6% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.9% |
8% |
7% |
7% |
8% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 13/5/14 |
2 weeks ago 27/05/14 |
Last week 3/6/14 |
This week 11/6/14 |
| Liberal National |
53.5% |
48% |
48% |
47% |
46% |
|
| Labor |
46.5% |
52% |
52% |
53% |
54% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,936 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 6/5/14 |
2 weeks ago 20/05/14 |
Last week 27/5/14 |
This week 3/6/14 |
| Liberal |
|
38% |
38% |
37% |
35% |
|
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
45.6% |
40% |
40% |
40% |
38% |
|
| Labor |
33.4% |
38% |
40% |
39% |
39% |
|
| Greens |
8.6% |
10% |
8% |
9% |
10% |
|
| Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
5% |
5% |
5% |
6% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.9% |
8% |
7% |
7% |
7% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 6/5/14 |
2 weeks ago 20/05/14 |
Last week 27/5/14 |
This week 3/6/14 |
| Liberal National |
53.5% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
47% |
|
| Labor |
46.5% |
52% |
52% |
52% |
53% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
Essential Report
Two Party Preferred: 14 May 2019
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