Federal voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Total | 2 weeks ago 22/5/18 | 4 weeks ago 8/5/18 | Election 2 Jul 16 | |
| Liberal | 34% | 38% | 35% | |
| National | 3% | 2% | 3% | |
| Total Liberal/National | 36% | 40% | 38% | 42.0% |
| Labor | 37% | 36% | 37% | 34.7% |
| Greens | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10.2% |
| Nick Xenophon Team | 2% | 1% | 2% | |
| Pauline Hanson’s One Nation | 8% | 8% | 6% | |
| Other/Independent | 7% | 6% | 6% | 13.1% |
| 2 party preferred | ||||
| Liberal National | 46% | 49% | 47% | 50.4% |
| Labor | 54% | 51% | 53% | 49.6% |
Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.
Federal Voting Intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Total | 2 weeks ago 24/4/18 | 4 weeks ago 10/4/18 | Election 2 Jul 16 | |||
| Liberal | 35% | 35% | 35% | |||
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | |||
| Total Liberal/National | 38% | 37% | 38% | 42.0% | ||
| Labor | 37% | 36% | 37% | 34.7% | ||
| Greens | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10.2% | ||
| Nick Xenophon Team | 2% | 2% | 2% | |||
| Pauline Hanson’s One Nation | 6% | 8% | 7% | |||
| Other/Independent | 6% | 6% | 7% | 13.1% | ||
| 2 party preferred | ||||||
| Liberal National | 47% | 47% | 47% | 50.4% | ||
| Labor | 53% | 53% | 53% | 49.6% |
- Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.
Federal voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Total | Last week 11/7/17 | 2 weeks ago 4/7/17 | 4 weeks ago 20/6/17 | Election 2 Jul 16 | |||
| Liberal | 33% | 33% | 35% | 35% | |||
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |||
| Total Liberal/National | 36% | 36% | 38% | 38% | 42.0% | ||
| Labor | 38% | 36% | 36% | 35% | 34.7% | ||
| Greens | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 10.2% | ||
| Nick Xenophon Team | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |||
| Pauline Hanson’s One Nation | 7% | 7% | 7% | 9% | |||
| Other/Independent | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 13.1% | ||
| 2 party preferred | |||||||
| Liberal National | 46% | 46% | 47% | 48% | 50.4% | ||
| Labor | 54% | 54% | 53% | 52% | 49.6% |
NB. Sample = 1,830. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.
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Two Party Preferred: 14 May 2019
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