Federal Voting Intention

Oct 20, 2020

Q. If a Federal election was held tomorrow, to which party would you give your first preference vote in the House of Representatives (Lower House)?

[If don’t know] Well which party are you currently leaning towards?

Q       This week

19/10

Last week

12/10

Two weeks ago

05/10

21/09 07/09 24/08 10/08
Liberal / Liberal Nationals / Country Liberals 36% 38% 37% 38% 35% 36% 36%
Nationals 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2%
Total: Coalition 39% 40% 39% 41% 38% 39% 38%
Labor 35% 33% 34% 31% 32% 35% 34%
Greens 9% 9% 9% 10% 10% 9% 9%
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 3% 3% 5% 4% 3% 4% 4%
Other/Independent 7% 5% 6% 5% 9% 6% 5%
Undecided 8% 9% 7% 9% 8% 7% 10%
               
2 Party Preferred (2PP+)              
TOTAL: Coalition 48% 47% 47% 49% 45% 47% 46%
Labor 45% 44% 46% 42% 47% 45% 44%
Undecided 8% 9% 7% 9% 8% 7% 10%

 

Performance of Scott Morrison

Oct 20, 2020

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Scott Morrison is doing as Prime Minister?

Oct’20 Sep’20 Aug’20 Jul’20 Jun’20 May’20 Apr’20 Mar’20 Feb’20 Jan’20 Dec’19 Nov’19
TOTAL: Approve 63% 64% 66% 63% 65% 64% 59% 41% 39% 40% 45% 45%
TOTAL: Disapprove 27% 28% 23% 27% 26% 27% 31% 49% 52% 52% 43% 41%
Don’t know 10% 8% 11% 10% 8% 9% 10% 10% 9% 8% 13% 13%
Base (n) 1,082 1,076 1,010 1,054 1,059 1,093 1,069 1,096 1,056 1,081 1,035 1,075

 

  Total Federal Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
Strongly approve 23% 10% 43% 13% 20%
Approve 40% 35% 46% 41% 39%
Disapprove 15% 24% 6% 13% 21%
Strongly disapprove 12% 24% 2% 21% 13%
Don’t know 10% 7% 3% 12% 7%
TOTAL: Approve 63% 45% 89% 54% 58%
TOTAL: Disapprove 27% 48% 8% 34% 35%
Base (n) 1,082 352 421 84 123
  • The Prime Minister’s approval rating is consistent with last month, now at 63% compared to 64% in September.
  • Approval of the Prime Minister among is at 89% among Coalition supporters and just under half among Labor voters (45%). More Greens and independent/other party voters approve of the Prime Minister, than disapprove.

Performance of Anthony Albanese

Oct 20, 2020

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Anthony Albanese is doing as Opposition Leader?

Oct’20 Sep’20 Aug’20 Jul’20 Jun’20 May’20 Apr’20 Mar’20 Feb’20 Jan’20 Dec’19 Nov’19
TOTAL: Approve 44% 44% 44% 44% 43% 42% 44% 41% 41% 43% 39% 37%
TOTAL: Disapprove 29% 29% 30% 28% 30% 27% 29% 33% 31% 30% 28% 34%
Don’t know 27% 27% 25% 28% 26% 31% 27% 26% 28% 27% 33% 29%
Base (n) 1,082 1,076 1,010 1,054 1,059 1,093 1,069 1,096 1,056 1,081 1,035 1,075

 

  Total Federal Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
Strongly approve 10% 15% 7% 16% 11%
Approve 33% 50% 27% 27% 30%
Disapprove 20% 12% 30% 16% 19%
Strongly disapprove 10% 1% 18% 4% 19%
Don’t know 27% 21% 18% 36% 20%
TOTAL: Approve 44% 65% 34% 43% 41%
TOTAL: Disapprove 29% 13% 47% 21% 38%
Base (n) 1,082 352 421 84 123
  • The Opposition Leader’s approval rating remains consistent for the fourth consecutive month at 44%.
  • Albanese’s approval among Labor voters is steady at 65% following the decline from 70% to 62% between July and August. The proportion of Labor voters who strongly approve of his performance remains at 15%.

Preferred Prime Minister

Oct 20, 2020

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese?

  Oct’20 Sep’20 Aug’20 Jul’20 Jun’20 May’20 Apr’20 Mar’20 Feb’20 Jan’20 Nov’19 Oct’19
Scott Morrison 50% 49% 52% 50% 53% 50% 46% 40% 36% 36% 44% 43%
Anthony Albanese 25% 26% 22% 27% 23% 25% 27% 35% 36% 39% 28% 28%
Don’t know 25% 25% 26% 23% 24% 25% 27% 25% 28% 25% 29% 29%
Base (n) 1,082 1,076 1,010 1,054 1,059 1,093 1,069 1,096 1,056 1,081 1,075 1,088

 

    Federal Voting Intention
Total Labor Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
Scott Morrison 50% 25% 82% 32% 48%
Anthony Albanese 25% 50% 8% 38% 20%
Don’t know 25% 24% 10% 29% 32%
Base (n) 1,082 352 421 84 123
  • Half of participants believe that Scott Morrison would make a better PM than Anthony Albanese (50%), while a quarter would prefer the opposition leader. A further quarter (25%) of participants don’t know who would make the better PM.
  • Morrison is strongly favoured by Coalition voters, with 82% believing Morrison makes the better PM, compared to Albanese (8%).
  • Half of Labor voters believe Albanese would make the better PM (50%, up from 46% in September). 24% of Labor voters said they didn’t know who would make the better leader.

Most important issues when voting

Aug 11, 2020

Q. If a federal election were held today, how important would the following issues be in deciding which party you vote for?

  Very important Quite important A little important Neither important nor unimportant A little unimportant Quite unimportant Very unimportant
Stop community transmission of Covid-19 as soon as possible 62% 18% 7% 7% 2% 1% 4%
Manage the economy 54% 25% 10% 7% 1% 2% 3%
Create jobs 51% 27% 10% 7% 1% 2% 3%
Provide support for those in financial need 42% 31% 14% 7% 2% 2% 2%
Reduce national debt 34% 28% 17% 12% 3% 3% 3%
Work with other countries’ leaders appropriately 34% 32% 16% 11% 2% 2% 2%
Improve the education system 33% 31% 19% 11% 3% 2% 2%

 

VERY IMPORTANT   Federal Voting Intention
Total Labor Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
Stop community transmission of Covid-19 as soon as possible 62% 64% 64% 49% 64%
Manage the economy 54% 54% 66% 29% 63%
Create jobs 51% 53% 54% 33% 57%
Provide support for those in financial need 42% 49% 39% 38% 45%
Reduce national debt 34% 31% 41% 19% 45%
Work with other countries’ leaders appropriately 34% 39% 35% 23% 31%
Improve the education system 33% 39% 28% 28% 27%
Base (n) 1,010 311 413 78 94

 

  • Stopping community transmission of Covid-19 as soon as possible is the most important issue at present with 62% of participants saying it’s ‘very important’ compared to more than half who said ‘manage the economy’ (54%).
  • At this time, reducing the national debt (34%), working with international leaders (34%) and improving the education system (33%) were seen of lesser importance.

Federal Voting Intention

Jul 28, 2020

Q. If a Federal election was held tomorrow, to which party would you give your first preference vote in the House of Representatives (Lower House)?

[If don’t know] Well which party are you currently leaning towards?

  This week

27/07

Two weeks ago

13/07

29/06 22/06 15/06 08/06
Liberal / Liberal Nationals / Country Liberals 36% 35% 36% 37% 36% 37%
Nationals 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3%
Total: Coalition 38% 37% 39% 39% 38% 40%
Labor 35% 34% 33% 33% 35% 33%
Greens 9% 10% 9% 10% 9% 9%
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 4%
Other/Independent 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 6%
Undecided 8% 9% 8% 7% 7% 8%
             
2 Party Preferred (2PP+)            
TOTAL: Coalition 45% 45% 47% 48% 47% 47%
Labor 47% 46% 45% 46% 47% 45%
Undecided 8% 9% 8% 7% 7% 8%

 

Federal voting intention

Jun 5, 2018

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total 2 weeks ago 22/5/18 4 weeks ago 8/5/18 Election  2 Jul 16
Liberal 34% 38% 35%
National 3% 2% 3%
Total Liberal/National 36% 40% 38% 42.0%
Labor 37% 36% 37% 34.7%
Greens 10% 10% 10% 10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 2% 1% 2%
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 8% 8% 6%
Other/Independent 7% 6% 6% 13.1%
2 party preferred
Liberal National 46% 49% 47% 50.4%
Labor 54% 51% 53% 49.6%

Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Federal Voting Intention

May 8, 2018

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   2 weeks ago 24/4/18 4 weeks ago 10/4/18   Election  2 Jul 16
Liberal 35% 35% 35%
National 3% 3% 3%
Total Liberal/National 38%   37% 38%   42.0%
Labor 37%   36% 37%   34.7%
Greens 10% 11% 10% 10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 2% 2% 2%
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 6% 8% 7%
Other/Independent 6% 6% 7% 13.1%
2 party preferred
Liberal National 47%   47% 47%   50.4%
Labor 53%   53% 53%   49.6%

 

  1. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.
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