The Essential Report Archive Read the latest report

  • Sep, 2014

    , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,756 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 26/8/14

    2 weeks ago

    9/9/14

    Last week

    16/9/14

    This week

    23/9/14

    Liberal

     

    36%

    36%

    35%

    36%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Liberal/National

    45.6%

    39%

    39%

    39%

    39%

    Labor

    33.4%

    37%

    38%

    38%

    39%

    Greens

    8.6%

    10%

    10%

    11%

    10%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    6%

    4%

    4%

    4%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    8%

    9%

    9%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 26/8/14

    2 weeks ago

    9/9/14

    Last week

    16/9/14

    This week

    23/9/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    48%

    48%

    47%

    47%

    Labor

    46.5%

    52%

    52%

    53%

    53%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Sep, 2014

    , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,802 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 5/8/14

    2 weeks ago

    19/8/14

    Last week

    26/8/14

    This week

    2/9/14

    Liberal

     

    39%

    37%

    36%

    36%

    National

    2%

    3%

    3%

    4%

    Total Liberal/National

    45.6%

    41%

    40%

    39%

    40%

    Labor

    33.4%

    39%

    38%

    37%

    38%

    Greens

    8.6%

    9%

    9%

    10%

    9%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    4%

    6%

    6%

    5%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    7%

    7%

    8%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 5/8/14

    2 weeks ago

    19/8/14

    Last week

    26/8/14

    This week

    2/9/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    49%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    46.5%

    51%

    52%

    52%

    52%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.


     

  • Jun, 2014

    , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,916 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 13/5/14

    2 weeks ago

    27/05/14

    Last week

    3/6/14

    This week

    11/6/14

    Liberal

     

    38%

    37%

    35%

    35%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    40%

    40%

    38%

    37%

    Labor

    33.4%

    39%

    39%

    39%

    40%

    Greens

    8.6%

    9%

    9%

    10%

    9%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    5%

    5%

    6%

    6%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    8%

    7%

    7%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 13/5/14

    2 weeks ago

    27/05/14

    Last week

    3/6/14

    This week

    11/6/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    48%

    48%

    47%

    46%

    Labor

    46.5%

    52%

    52%

    53%

    54%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Jun, 2014

    , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,936 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 6/5/14

    2 weeks ago

    20/05/14

    Last week

    27/5/14

    This week

    3/6/14

    Liberal

     

    38%

    38%

    37%

    35%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    40%

    40%

    40%

    38%

    Labor

    33.4%

    38%

    40%

    39%

    39%

    Greens

    8.6%

    10%

    8%

    9%

    10%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    5%

    5%

    5%

    6%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    8%

    7%

    7%

    7%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 6/5/14

    2 weeks ago

    20/05/14

    Last week

    27/5/14

    This week

    3/6/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    47%

    Labor

    46.5%

    52%

    52%

    52%

    53%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • May, 2014

    , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,895 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 29/4/14

    2 weeks ago

    13/05/14

    Last week

    20/5/14

    This week

    27/05/14

    Liberal

     

    38%

    38%

    38%

    37%

    National

    2%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    40%

    40%

    40%

    40%

    Labor

    33.4%

    38%

    39%

    40%

    39%

    Greens

    8.6%

    10%

    9%

    8%

    9%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    5%

    5%

    5%

    5%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    6%

    8%

    7%

    7%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 29/4/14

    2 weeks ago

    13/05/14

    Last week

    20/5/14

    This week

    27/05/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    46.5%

    52%

    52%

    52%

    52%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • May, 2014

    , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,855 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 22/4/14

    2 weeks ago

    06/05/14

    Last week

    12/5/14

    This week

    19/05/14

    Liberal

     

    39%

    38%

    38%

    38%

    National

    2%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    41%

    40%

    40%

    40%

    Labor

    33.4%

    37%

    38%

    39%

    40%

    Greens

    8.6%

    11%

    10%

    9%

    8%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    5%

    5%

    5%

    5%%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    6%

    8%

    8%

    7%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 8/4/14

    2 weeks ago

    06/05/14

    Last week

    12/5/14

    This week

    19/05/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    49%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    46.5%

    51%

    52%

    52%

    52%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • May, 2014

    , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,883 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago

    15/4/14

    2 weeks ago

    29/4/14

     

    Last week

    06/5/14

     

    This week

    12/5/14

    Liberal

     

    40%

    38%

    38%

    38%

    National

    3%

    2%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    42%

    40%

    40%

    40%

    Labor

    33.4%

    37%

    38%

    38%

    39%

    Greens

    8.6%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    9%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    4%

    5%

    5%

    5%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    7%

    6%

    8%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago

    15/4/14

    2 weeks ago

    29/4/14

     

    Last week

    06/5/14

     

    This week

    12/5/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    50%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    46.5%

    50%

    52%

    52%

    52%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • May, 2014

    , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,929 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 8/4/14

    2 weeks ago

    22/4/14

    Last week

    29/4/14

    This week

    06/05/14

    Liberal

     

    40%

    39%

    38%

    38%

    National

    3%

    2%

    2%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    42%

    41%

    40%

    40%

    Labor

    33.4%

    38%

    37%

    38%

    38%

    Greens

    8.6%

    9%

    11%

    10%

    10%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    3%

    5%

    5%

    5%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    8%

    6%

    6%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 8/4/14

    2 weeks ago

    22/4/14

    Last week

    29/4/14

    This week

    06/05/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    49%

    49%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    46.5%

    51%

    51%

    52%

    52%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Error: