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Federal politics – voting intention

13 May 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,883 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

15/4/14

2 weeks ago

29/4/14

 

Last week

06/5/14

 

This week

12/5/14

Liberal

 

40%

38%

38%

38%

National

3%

2%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

42%

40%

40%

40%

Labor

33.4%

37%

38%

38%

39%

Greens

8.6%

10%

10%

10%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

5%

5%

5%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

6%

8%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

15/4/14

2 weeks ago

29/4/14

 

Last week

06/5/14

 

This week

12/5/14

Liberal National

53.5%

50%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

50%

52%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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