Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 5, 2013

Q. The Federal Election will be held next weekend on 7 September  – to which party will you probably give your first preference in the House of Representatives? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

The table below shows weekly figures through the election campaign.

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

 

5/8/13

13/8/13

19/8/13

26/8/13

2/9/13

5/9/13

 

 

Liberal National

43.6%

43%

44%

43%

43%

44%

43%

Labor

38.0%

37%

41%

39%

36%

35%

35%

Greens

11.8%

10%

7%

9%

11%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

11%

9%

8%

10%

11%

12%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

21 Aug 10

 

5/8/13

13/8/13

19/8/13

26/8/13

2/9/13

5/9/13

Liberal National

49.9%

51%

50%

50%

51%

53%

52%

Labor

50.1%

49%

50%

50%

49%

47%

48%

Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 2, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,856 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

5/8/13

2 weeks ago

19/8/13

Last week

26/8/13

This week

2/9/13

Liberal

 

40%

41%

40%

41%

National

3%

3%

2%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

43%

44%

43%

44%

Labor

38.0%

38%

40%

38%

35%

Greens

11.8%

9%

8%

11%

11%

Other/Independent

6.6%

10%

8%

9%

10%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

5/8/13

2 weeks ago

19/8/13

Last week

26/8/13

This week

2/9/13

Liberal National

49.9%

51%

50%

50%

52%

Labor

50.1%

49%

50%

50%

48%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 19, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,902 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

22/7/13

2 weeks ago

5/8/13

Last week

13/8/13

This week

19/8/13

Liberal

 

42%

40%

40%

41%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

45%

43%

43%

44%

Labor

38.0%

39%

38%

39%

40%

Greens

11.8%

7%

9%

8%

8%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

10%

10%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

22/7/13

2 weeks ago

5/8/13

Last week

13/8/13

This week

19/8/13

Liberal National

49.9%

51%

51%

51%

50%

Labor

50.1%

49%

49%

49%

50%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 13, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,899 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

15/7/13

2 weeks ago

29/7/13

Last week

5/8/13

This week

13/8/13

Liberal

 

42%

41%

40%

40%

National

4%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

46%

44%

43%

43%

Labor

38.0%

39%

39%

38%

39%

Greens

11.8%

7%

9%

9%

8%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

8%

10%

10%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

15/7/13

2 weeks ago

29/7/13

Last week

5/8/13

This week

13/8/13

Liberal National

49.9%

52%

51%

51%

51%

Labor

50.1%

48%

49%

49%

49%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 5, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,903 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

8/7/13

2 weeks ago

23/7/13

Last week

29/7/13

This week

5/8/13

Liberal

 

42%

42%

41%

40%

National

4%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

46%

45%

44%

43%

Labor

38.0%

38%

39%

39%

38%

Greens

11.8%

8%

7%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

7%

9%

8%

10%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

8/7/13

2 weeks ago

23/7/13

Last week

29/7/13

This week

5/8/13

Liberal National

49.9%

52%

51%

51%

51%

Labor

50.1%

48%

49%

49%

49%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 29, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,912 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

1/7/13

2 weeks ago

15/7/13

Last week

23/7/13

This week

29/7/13

Liberal

 

43%

42%

42%

41%

National

3%

4%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

46%

46%

45%

44%

Labor

38.0%

36%

39%

39%

39%

Greens

11.8%

9%

7%

7%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

8%

9%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

1/7/13

2 weeks ago

15/7/13

Last week

23/7/13

This week

29/7/13

Liberal National

49.9%

53%

52%

51%

51%

Labor

50.1%

47%

48%

49%

49%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 23, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,980 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

24/6/13

2 weeks ago

8/7/13

Last week

15/7/13

This week

23/7/13

Liberal

 

44%

42%

42%

42%

National

3%

4%

4%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

47%

46%

46%

45%

Labor

38.0%

34%

38%

39%

39%

Greens

11.8%

8%

8%

7%

7%

Other/Independent

6.6%

11%

7%

8%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

24/6/13

2 weeks ago

8/7/13

Last week

15/7/13

This week

23/7/13

Liberal National

49.9%

55%

52%

52%

51%

Labor

50.1%

45%

48%

48%

49%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 15, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,879 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

17/6/13

2 weeks ago

1/7/13

Last week

8/7/13

This week

15/7/13

Liberal

 

44%

43%

42%

42%

National

3%

3%

4%

4%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

47%

46%

46%

46%

Labor

38.0%

35%

36%

38%

39%

Greens

11.8%

8%

9%

8%

7%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

7%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

17/6/13

2 weeks ago

1/7/13

Last week

8/7/13

This week

15/7/13

Liberal National

49.9%

54%

53%

52%

52%

Labor

50.1%

46%

47%

48%

48%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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