130813, 2PP, Greens, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,899 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 15/7/13 |
2 weeks ago 29/7/13 |
Last week 5/8/13 |
This week 13/8/13 |
| Liberal |
|
42% |
41% |
40% |
40% |
|
| National |
|
4% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
46% |
44% |
43% |
43% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
39% |
39% |
38% |
39% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
7% |
9% |
9% |
8% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
8% |
10% |
10% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 15/7/13 |
2 weeks ago 29/7/13 |
Last week 5/8/13 |
This week 13/8/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
52% |
51% |
51% |
51% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
48% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
13 August 2013, 130813, Approval of Kevin Rudd, kevin rudd
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Kevin Rudd is doing as Prime Minister?
|
Julia Gillard 11 Jun 13 |
|
Kevin Rudd 15 Jul |
|
Kevin Rudd 13 Aug |
|
| Total approve |
37% |
50% |
45% |
||
| Total disapprove |
54% |
35% |
43% |
||
| Strongly approve |
10% |
18% |
11% |
||
| Approve |
27% |
32% |
34% |
||
| Disapprove |
21% |
15% |
21% |
||
| Strongly disapprove |
33% |
20% |
22% |
||
| Don’t know |
9% |
16% |
12% |
Kevin Rudd’s approval ratings have fallen since last measured 4 weeks ago. 45% (down 5%) approve of the job Kevin Rudd is doing as Prime Minister and 43% (up 8%) disapprove – a change in net rating from +15 to +2.
88% of Labor voters approve (up 3%) and 6% disapprove (up 2%).
By gender – men 49% approve/43% disapprove, women 42% approve/43% disapprove. In net terms this represents a shift with men from +19 to +6 and with women from +10 to -1.
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?
|
18 Jan 2010 |
5 Jul
|
20 Dec |
14 June 2011 |
12 Dec |
12 Jun 2012 |
10 Dec |
11 Mar 2013 |
11 Jun |
15 Jul |
|
13 Aug |
|
| Total approve |
37% |
37% |
39% |
38% |
32% |
32% |
33% |
37% |
40% |
39% |
37% |
|
| Total disapprove |
37% |
47% |
39% |
48% |
53% |
54% |
56% |
51% |
49% |
51% |
51% |
|
| Strongly approve |
5% |
8% |
9% |
6% |
6% |
6% |
8% |
7% |
10% |
11% |
9% |
|
| Approve |
32% |
29% |
30% |
32% |
26% |
26% |
25% |
30% |
30% |
28% |
28% |
|
| Disapprove |
20% |
23% |
21% |
25% |
25% |
24% |
25% |
22% |
17% |
21% |
21% |
|
| Strongly disapprove |
17% |
24% |
18% |
23% |
28% |
30% |
31% |
29% |
32% |
30% |
30% |
|
| Don’t know |
26% |
16% |
22% |
15% |
14% |
13% |
12% |
12% |
11% |
11% |
11% |
Tony Abbott’s approval ratings have dropped slightly over the past month. 37% (down 2%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 51% (no change disapprove – a change in net rating from -12 to -14 over the last 4 weeks.
76% (up 1%) of Coalition voters approve and 14% (no change) disapprove.
By gender – men 45% approve/47% disapprove, women 31% approve/55% disapprove. In net terms this represents a shift with men from -7 to -2 and with women from -16 to -24.
13 August 2013, 130813, Better PM, kevin rudd, tony abbott
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Kevin Rudd and Tony Abbott?
|
Gillard/ Abbott 11 Jun 13 |
|
Rudd/ Abbott 15 Jul 13
|
|
Rudd/ Abbott 13 Aug 13 Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Julia Gillard/Kevin Rudd |
39% |
50% |
47% |
92% |
7% |
68% |
||
| Tony Abbott |
40% |
35% |
35% |
3% |
76% |
7% |
||
| Don’t know |
21% |
15% |
18% |
5% |
17% |
25% |
47% (down 3%) believe Kevin Rudd would make the better Prime Minister and 35% (no change) prefer Tony Abbott.
Men prefer Kevin Rudd 47%/39% and women prefer Kevin Rudd 47%/30%.
13 August 2013, 130813, national debt
Q. Compared to other developed countries, do you think Australia’s national debt is higher, lower or about the same?
|
6 May 13
|
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Total higher |
25% |
25% |
15% |
37% |
18% |
|
| Total lower |
48% |
46% |
59% |
38% |
54% |
|
| A lot higher |
9% |
10% |
5% |
15% |
3% |
|
| A little higher |
16% |
15% |
10% |
22% |
15% |
|
| About the same |
18% |
19% |
18% |
19% |
7% |
|
| A little lower |
29% |
24% |
23% |
27% |
21% |
|
| A lot lower |
19% |
22% |
36% |
11% |
33% |
|
| Don’t know |
10% |
10% |
9% |
6% |
21% |
25% think that Australia’s National debt is higher than other developed countries and 46% think it is lower – 19% think it about the same. These figures are very similar to the results when this question was previously asked in May.
A majority of Labor (59%) and Greens voters (54%) think our debt is lower than other countries while Liberal National voters were split – 38% think it is lower and 37% think it is higher.
Those with higher levels of education were more likely to think Australia’s debt was lower – 20% of respondents with university degrees thought it was higher and 53% thought it was lower.
13 August 2013, 130813, national debt, reducing debt
Q. Do you think it is more important to reduce Australia’s national debt or to maintain government spending on services and projects?
|
6
|
|
Total |
Vote ALP |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Australia’s debt higher |
Australia’s debt about the same |
Australia’s debt lower |
|
| More important to reduce debt |
46% |
48% |
28% |
72% |
23% |
76% |
48% |
37% |
|
| More important to maintain spending |
40% |
35% |
51% |
20% |
60% |
18% |
32% |
49% |
|
| Don’t know |
14% |
17% |
21% |
9% |
17% |
6% |
20% |
14% |
48% think it is more important to reduce Australia’s debt and 35% think it is more important to maintain Government spending on services and projects. This represents a shift away from maintaining spending since this question was previously asked in May.
51% (down 10%) of Labor voters and 60% (up 1%) of Greens voters favour maintaining spending while 72% (up 5%) of Liberal/National voters think it is more important to reduce debt.
76% of those who think Australia’s debt is higher compared to other countries think we should reduce debt while 49% of those who think our debt is lower think we should maintain spending.
13 August 2013, 130813, cut spending, raise taxes
Q. Do you think the Government should raise taxes or cut spending to reduce the national debt or should they do neither?
|
6 May 13
|
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Raise taxes |
13% |
6% |
7% |
3% |
14% |
|
| Reduce spending |
55% |
45% |
32% |
64% |
24% |
|
| Both |
na |
21% |
21% |
21% |
22% |
|
| Neither |
20% |
18% |
28% |
9% |
29% |
|
| Don’t know |
12% |
10% |
12% |
4% |
10% |
In order to reduce debt, 45% think the Government should reduce spending, 6% think they should raise taxes and 21% think they should do both. 18% think they should do neither.
64% of Liberal/National voters think the Government should reduce spending compared to 32% of Labor voters and 24% of Greens voters.
(Note the category “both” has been added to this question since it was previously asked)
13 August 2013, 130813, business, environment, foreign aid, government spending reduce, the arts
If “Reduce spending” or “both” –
Q. In which of the following areas should the Government reduce spending?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Foreign aid |
76% |
72% |
82% |
43% |
|
| The arts |
70% |
65% |
76% |
29% |
|
| Subsidies for business |
59% |
65% |
57% |
58% |
|
| Private schools |
59% |
63% |
56% |
38% |
|
| Welfare support |
43% |
33% |
53% |
17% |
|
| The environment |
36% |
22% |
49% |
12% |
|
| Defence |
34% |
36% |
30% |
68% |
|
| Support for manufacturing industries |
32% |
31% |
34% |
37% |
|
| Border security |
18% |
18% |
17% |
43% |
|
| Universities |
18% |
12% |
25% |
9% |
|
| Public transport |
14% |
11% |
18% |
14% |
|
| Roads |
12% |
10% |
11% |
33% |
|
| Public schools |
9% |
7% |
12% |
12% |
|
| Pensions |
9% |
6% |
11% |
15% |
|
| Health and hospitals |
5% |
6% |
5% |
9% |
Of those who think spending should be reduced, 76% think spending on foreign aid should be reduced, 70% the arts, 59% subsidies for business and 59% private schools.
The areas least likely to be nominated for spending cuts were health and hospitals, pensions and public schools.