Better PM, Bill Shorten, tony abbott
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Tony Abbott and Bill Shorten?
| Total | Vote Lab | Vote Lib/ Nat |
Vote Grn | Vote Other | Oct 2013 | June 2014 | Mar 2015 | Apr 2015 | May 2015 | Jun 2015 | Jul 2015 | |||
| Tony Abbott | 36% | 9% | 83% | 3% | 24% | 41% | 36% | 33% | 32% | 35% | 38% | 37% | ||
| Bill Shorten | 32% | 68% | 4% | 58% | 15% | 22% | 40% | 37% | 35% | 32% | 33% | 30% | ||
| Don’t know | 31% | 23% | 14% | 40% | 61% | 37% | 24% | 30% | 33% | 33% | 29% | 33% |
36% (down 1% since July) of respondents think Tony Abbott would make the better Prime Minister and 32% (up 2%) think Bill Shorten would make the better Prime Minister.
37% of men prefer Tony Abbott and 33% prefer Bill Shorten – and women prefer Tony Abbott 36% to 32%.
Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Prime Minister, Tony Abbott?
|
Sep 2013 (as Opposition leader) |
Oct 2013 |
May 2014 |
Dec 2014 |
Feb 2015 |
Total 2 Jun 2015 |
Change |
||
|
Out of touch with ordinary people |
52% |
51% |
67% |
66% |
72% |
65% |
-7 |
|
|
Narrow-minded |
55% |
54% |
61% |
61% |
63% |
63% |
– |
|
|
Arrogant |
52% |
54% |
63% |
61% |
65% |
62% |
-3 |
|
|
Hard working |
71% |
67% |
57% |
62% |
58% |
59% |
+1 |
|
|
Erratic |
43% |
43% |
51% |
52% |
60% |
54% |
-6 |
|
|
Superficial |
48% |
49% |
57% |
54% |
55% |
54% |
-1 |
|
|
Intolerant |
47% |
49% |
55% |
53% |
54% |
51% |
-3 |
|
|
Intelligent |
63% |
62% |
52% |
51% |
50% |
51% |
+1 |
|
|
Aggressive |
47% |
46% |
52% |
49% |
45% |
48% |
+3 |
|
|
A capable leader |
46% |
52% |
41% |
43% |
34% |
40% |
+6 |
|
|
Good in a crisis |
39% |
45% |
35% |
42% |
36% |
38% |
+2 |
|
|
Understands the problems facing Australia |
46% |
51% |
42% |
40% |
35% |
38% |
+3 |
|
|
Trustworthy |
38% |
40% |
29% |
30% |
27% |
31% |
+4 |
|
|
More honest than most politicians |
34% |
39% |
30% |
30% |
30% |
28% |
-2 |
|
|
Visionary |
35% |
33% |
31% |
27% |
22% |
25% |
+3 |
Tony Abbott’s key attributes were out of touch with ordinary people (65%), narrow-minded (63%), arrogant (62%) and hard working (59%).
Since February, the largest shifts have been for out of touch with ordinary people (-7), erratic (-6) and a capable leader (+6).
Overall, Tony Abbott’s ratings have recovered from the lows of February to be at similar levels to December last year.
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Prime Minister?
| Total | Vote Lab | Vote Lib/ Nat |
Vote Greens | Vote Other | Sep 2013 | Mar 2014 | June 2014 | Dec 2014 | Jan 2015 | Feb 2015 | Mar 2015 | |||
| Total approve | 33% | 9% | 75% | 4% | 15% | 41% | 40% | 35% | 32% | 37% | 29% | 31% | ||
| Total dis- approve |
58% | 88% | 18% | 89% | 76% | 36% | 47% | 58% | 55% | 53% | 62% | 56% | ||
| Strongly approve | 7% | 1% | 17% | 1% | 2% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | ||
| Approve | 26% | 8% | 58% | 3% | 13% | 27% | 29% | 25% | 24% | 28% | 22% | 24% | ||
| Dis- approve |
28% | 34% | 16% | 31% | 44% | 13% | 20% | 18% | 22% | 23% | 26% | 22% | ||
| Strongly dis- approve |
30% | 54% | 2% | 58% | 32% | 23% | 27% | 40% | 33% | 30% | 36% | 34% | ||
| Don’t know | 9% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 23% | 12% | 7% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 12% |
58% of respondents disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Prime Minister – up 2% since the last time this question was asked in March – and 33% approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing (up 2%). This represents no change in his net rating of -25.
75% (up 3%) of Liberal/National voters approve of Tony Abbott’s performance, with 18% (down 2%) disapproving. 88% of Labor voters and 89% of Greens voters disapprove of Tony Abbott’s performance.
By gender men were 36% approve/57% disapprove and women 30% approve/59% disapprove.
Q. Do you think Tony Abbott is likely or unlikely to still be the leader of the Liberal Party at the next election?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
Total Dec 2014 |
|
| Likely |
20% |
12% |
36% |
12% |
12% |
29% |
||
| Unlikely |
61% |
79% |
40% |
70% |
80% |
51% |
||
| Don’t know |
19% |
9% |
23% |
18% |
8% |
20% |
61% (up 10% since December) think that Tony Abbott is unlikely to still be leader of the Liberal Party at the next election and 20% (down 9%) think it is likely.
79% (up 7%) of Labor voters and 70% (up 2%) of Greens voters think it is unlikely and 36% (down 14%) of Liberal/National voters think it is likely he will still be leader.
Better Prime Minister, Bill Shorten, tony abbott
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Tony Abbott and Bill Shorten?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote Other |
22 Oct 2013 |
10 Dec |
14 Jan 2014 |
11 Feb |
11 Mar |
8 April |
13 May |
|
| Tony Abbott |
36% |
7% |
81% |
6% |
31% |
41% |
43% |
42% |
40% |
39% |
42% |
36% |
|
| Bill Shorten |
40% |
75% |
6% |
72% |
28% |
22% |
33% |
31% |
30% |
33% |
32% |
37% |
|
| Don’t know |
24% |
18% |
14% |
22% |
41% |
37% |
24% |
27% |
31% |
28% |
26% |
28% |
40% (up 3% since May) of respondents think Bill Shorten would make the better Prime Minister and 36% (no change) think Tony Abbott would make the better Prime Minister.
Men prefer Bill Shorten 39% to 37% and women prefer Bill Shorten 42% to 34%.
relations with indonesia, tony abbott
Q. How would you rate the performance of Tony Abbott and the Coalition Government in handling relations with Indonesia?
|
Total |
|
Male |
Female |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
Nov 2013 |
|
| Total good |
25% |
29% |
22% |
7% |
54% |
10% |
15% |
29% |
||
| Total poor |
43% |
44% |
42% |
69% |
12% |
68% |
52% |
42% |
||
| Very good |
8% |
9% |
7% |
1% |
18% |
2% |
6% |
11% |
||
| Good |
17% |
20% |
15% |
6% |
36% |
8% |
9% |
18% |
||
| Neither good nor poor |
19% |
21% |
17% |
13% |
27% |
8% |
17% |
21% |
||
| Poor |
19% |
20% |
18% |
25% |
10% |
20% |
29% |
16% |
||
| Very poor |
24% |
24% |
24% |
44% |
2% |
48% |
23% |
26% |
||
| Don’t know |
13% |
6% |
19% |
11% |
8% |
13% |
16% |
8% |
Just 25% of Australians would rate Tony Abbott and the Coalition Government handling of relations with Indonesia as good.
43% would rate them as poor.
Males (29%) were slightly more likely to give the government a good rating.
Lib/Nat voters were more likely to rate them as good (54% good).
Better PM, Better Prime Minister, Bill Shorten, tony abbott
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Tony Abbott and Bill Shorten?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote Other |
22 Oct 2013 |
12 Nov |
14 Jan 2014 |
11 Feb |
8 April |
|
| Tony Abbott |
36% |
4% |
81% |
4% |
23% |
41% |
42% |
42% |
40% |
42% |
| Bill Shorten |
37% |
74% |
3% |
60% |
35% |
22% |
27% |
31% |
30% |
32% |
| Don’t know |
28% |
22% |
16% |
36% |
42% |
37% |
31% |
27% |
31% |
26% |
37% of Australians believe Bill Shorten would make a better Prime Minister than Tony Abbott. This is just 1% more than selected Tony Abbott (36%).
28% don’t know who would make a better Prime Minister.
Since this question was last asked in April 2014, Tony Abbott has dropped -6% as preferred Prime Minister (down from 42%) and Bill Shorten has gained +5% (up from 32%).
Males (38%) were slightly more likely than females (34%) to select Tony Abbott. There was no difference between the genders in their preference from Bill Shorten, with 37% of males and 36% of females selecting him. Females (30%) were more likely than males (25%) to select ‘don’t know’.
Those aged 55+ (51%) were more likely than those aged under 30 (26%) or 30-55 (32%) to select Tony Abbott.
Those aged 30-55 (42%) were more likely than those aged under 30 (31%) or 55+ 30%) to select Bill Shorten. A very large number of those aged under 30 selected don’t know (44%).
Those in NSW (42%) were far more likely than those in QLD (28%) or VIC (34%) to select Tony Abbott.
Those in QLD (44%) were more likely to select Bill Shorten (just 34% of those in NSW and 35% of those in VIC selected Bill Shorten).
Bill Shorten, leader attributes, tony abbott
|
Abbott |
Shorten |
|
Difference |
|
| Arrogant |
58% |
40% |
+18 |
|
| Narrow-minded |
56% |
39% |
+17 |
|
| Intolerant |
47% |
32% |
+15 |
|
| Aggressive |
45% |
31% |
+14 |
|
| Out of touch with ordinary people |
56% |
44% |
+12 |
|
| More honest than most politicians |
37% |
26% |
+11 |
|
| Good in a crisis |
45% |
36% |
+9 |
|
| A capable leader |
50% |
42% |
+8 |
|
| Trustworthy |
40% |
32% |
+8 |
|
| Superficial |
50% |
43% |
+7 |
|
| Erratic |
43% |
37% |
+6 |
|
| Hard-working |
66% |
60% |
+6 |
|
| Visionary |
34% |
28% |
+6 |
|
| Understands the problems facing Australia |
48% |
44% |
+4 |
|
| Intelligent |
59% |
63% |
-4 |
Compared to Bill Shorten, Tony Abbott is much more likely to be considered arrogant (+18), narrow minded (+17), intolerant (+15), aggressive (+14), out of touch with ordinary people (+12) and more honest than most politicians (+11).
Bill Shorten is regarded by more slightly respondents to be intelligent (-4).
Note that Bill Shorten’s ratings are mostly lower than those of Tony Abbott on both positive and negative attributes – presumably because he is less well known.