The Essential Report Archive Read the latest report

Federal voting intention

9 May 2017

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week 2/5/17 2 weeks ago 25/4/17 4 weeks ago 11/4/17   Election 2 Jul 16
Liberal 35%   35% 34% 35%    
National 2%   2% 3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 37%   38% 37% 37%   42.0%
Labor 38%   37% 36% 36%   34.7%
Greens 10%   9% 10% 10%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 6%   7% 8% 8%    
Other/Independent 6%   6% 6% 6%   13.1%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 46%   47% 47% 47%   50.4%
Labor 54%   53% 53% 53%   49.6%

Sample = 1,795. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Error: