federal politics voting intention, federal voting intention, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Total | Last week 11/7/17 | 2 weeks ago 4/7/17 | 4 weeks ago 20/6/17 | Election 2 Jul 16 | |||
| Liberal | 33% | 33% | 35% | 35% | |||
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |||
| Total Liberal/National | 36% | 36% | 38% | 38% | 42.0% | ||
| Labor | 38% | 36% | 36% | 35% | 34.7% | ||
| Greens | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 10.2% | ||
| Nick Xenophon Team | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |||
| Pauline Hanson’s One Nation | 7% | 7% | 7% | 9% | |||
| Other/Independent | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 13.1% | ||
| 2 party preferred | |||||||
| Liberal National | 46% | 46% | 47% | 48% | 50.4% | ||
| Labor | 54% | 54% | 53% | 52% | 49.6% |
NB. Sample = 1,830. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.
federal politics voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,772 respondents
| First preference/leaning to | Election 7 Sep 13 | 4 weeks ago11/8/15 | 2 weeks ago 25/8/15 | Last week1/9/15 | This week 8/9/15 | |
| Liberal | 38% | 38% | 37% | 36% | ||
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Total Liberal/National | 45.6% | 40% | 41% | 40% | 40% | |
| Labor | 33.4% | 39% | 37% | 38% | 38% | |
| Greens | 8.6% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | |
| Palmer United Party | 5.5% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | |
| Other/Independent | 6.9% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 9% |
| 2 Party Preferred | Election 7 Sep 13 | 4 weeks ago11/8/15 | 2 weeks ago 25/8/15 | Last week1/9/15 | This week 8/9/15 | |
| Liberal National | 53.5% | 47% | 49% | 48% | 48% | |
| Labor | 46.5% | 53% | 51% | 52% | 52% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
federal politics voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,799 respondents
|
First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
4 weeks ago 4/8/15 |
2 weeks ago 18/8/15 |
Last week 25/8/15 |
This week 1/9/15 |
|
|
Liberal |
36% |
38% |
38% |
37% |
||
|
National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
||
|
Total Liberal/National |
45.6% |
39% |
41% |
41% |
40% |
|
|
Labor |
33.4% |
38% |
38% |
37% |
38% |
|
|
Greens |
8.6% |
12% |
10% |
10% |
11% |
|
|
Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
1% |
2% |
1% |
2% |
|
|
Other/Independent |
6.9% |
9% |
9% |
10% |
10% |
|
2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
4 weeks ago 4/8/15 |
2 weeks ago 18/8/15 |
Last week 25/8/15 |
This week 1/9/15 |
|
|
Liberal National |
53.5% |
47% |
48% |
49% |
48% |
|
|
Labor |
46.5% |
53% |
52% |
51% |
52% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
federal politics voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,781 respondents
|
First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
4 weeks ago 28/7/15 |
2 weeks ago 11/8/15 |
Last week 18/8/15 |
This week 25/8/15 |
|
|
Liberal |
36% |
38% |
38% |
38% |
||
|
National |
4% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
||
|
Total Liberal/National |
45.6% |
40% |
40% |
41% |
41% |
|
|
Labor |
33.4% |
38% |
39% |
38% |
37% |
|
|
Greens |
8.6% |
11% |
11% |
10% |
10% |
|
|
Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
1% |
1% |
2% |
1% |
|
|
Other/Independent |
6.9% |
9% |
8% |
9% |
10% |
|
2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
4 weeks ago 28/7/15 |
2 weeks ago 11/8/15 |
Last week 18/8/15 |
This week 25/8/15 |
|
|
Liberal National |
53.5% |
47% |
47% |
48% |
49% |
|
|
Labor |
46.5% |
53% |
53% |
52% |
51% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
federal politics voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,745 respondents
| First preference/leaning to | Election 7 Sep 13 | 4 weeks ago 21/7/15 |
2 weeks ago 4/8/15 | Last week 11/8/15 |
This week 18/8/15 | |
| Liberal | 38% | 36% | 38% | 38% | ||
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Total Liberal/National | 45.6% | 41% | 39% | 40% | 41% | |
| Labor | 33.4% | 38% | 38% | 39% | 38% | |
| Greens | 8.6% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | |
| Palmer United Party | 5.5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | |
| Other/Independent | 6.9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% |
| 2 Party Preferred | Election 7 Sep 13 | 4 weeks ago21/7/15 | 2 weeks ago 4/8/15 | Last week11/8/15 | This week 18/8/15 | |
| Liberal National | 53.5% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 48% | |
| Labor | 46.5% | 52% | 53% | 53% | 52% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
federal politics voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,845 respondents
| First preference/leaning to | Election 7 Sep 13 |
4 weeks ago 14/7/15 |
2 weeks ago 28/7/15 | Last week 4/8/15 |
This week 11/8/15 | |
| Liberal | 38% | 36% | 36% | 38% | ||
| National | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Total Liberal/National | 45.6% | 41% | 40% | 39% | 40% | |
| Labor | 33.4% | 38% | 38% | 38% | 39% | |
| Greens | 8.6% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | |
| Palmer United Party | 5.5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | |
| Other/Independent | 6.9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% |
| 2 Party Preferred | Election 7 Sep 13 |
4 weeks ago 14/7/15 |
2 weeks ago 28/7/15 |
Last week 4/8/15 |
This week 11/8/15 | |
| Liberal National | 53.5% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | |
| Labor | 46.5% | 52% | 53% | 53% | 53% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
federal politics voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,866 respondents
| First preference/leaning to | Election
7 Sep 13 |
4 weeks ago
7/7/15 |
2 weeks ago 21/7/15 | Last week
28/7/15 |
This week 4/8/15 | |
| Liberal | 38% | 38% | 36% | 36% | ||
| National | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Total Liberal/National | 45.6% | 41% | 41% | 40% | 39% | |
| Labor | 33.4% | 39% | 38% | 38% | 38% | |
| Greens | 8.6% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | |
| Palmer United Party | 5.5% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
| Other/Independent | 6.9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| 2 Party Preferred | Election
7 Sep 13 |
4 weeks ago
7/7/15 |
2 weeks ago 21/7/15 | Last week
28/7/15 |
This week 4/8/15 | |
| Liberal National | 53.5% | 48% | 48% | 47% | 47% | |
| Labor | 46.5% | 52% | 52% | 53% | 53% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
federal politics voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,793 respondents
| First preference/leaning to | Election
7 Sep 13 |
4 weeks ago
30/6/15 |
2 weeks ago 14/7/15 | Last week
21/7/15 |
This week 28/7/15 | |
| Liberal | 38% | 38% | 38% | 36% | ||
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Total Liberal/National | 45.6% | 41% | 41% | 41% | 40% | |
| Labor | 33.4% | 39% | 38% | 38% | 38% | |
| Greens | 8.6% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | |
| Palmer United Party | 5.5% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | |
| Other/Independent | 6.9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| 2 Party Preferred | Election
7 Sep 13 |
4 weeks ago
30/6/15 |
2 weeks ago 14/7/15 | Last week
21/7/15 |
This week 28/7/15 | |
| Liberal National | 53.5% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 47% | |
| Labor | 46.5% | 53% | 52% | 52% | 53% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.