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  • Jul, 2015

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,789 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election 7 Sep 13

    4 weeks ago 23/6/15

    2 weeks ago 7/7/15

    Last week 14/7/15

    This week 21/7/15

    Liberal

    38%

    38%

    38%

    38%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Liberal/National

    45.6%

    41%

    41%

    41%

    41%

    Labor

    33.4%

    39%

    39%

    38%

    38%

    Greens

    8.6%

    10%

    10%

    11%

    11%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    1%

    1%

    2%

    2%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    2 Party Preferred

    Election 7 Sep 13

    4 weeks ago 23/6/15

    2 weeks ago 7/7/15

    Last week 14/7/15

    This week 21/7/15

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    46.5%

    52%

    52%

    52%

    52%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Jul, 2015

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to? 

    Sample size = 1,771 respondents

    First preference/leaning to Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago16/6/15 2 weeks ago 30/6/15 Last week7/7/15 This week 14/7/15
    Liberal   39% 38% 38% 38%
    National 3% 3% 3% 3%
    Total Liberal/National 45.6% 42% 41% 41% 41%
    Labor 33.4% 39% 39% 39% 38%
    Greens 8.6% 10% 11% 10% 11%
    Palmer United Party 5.5% 1% 1% 1% 2%
    Other/Independent 6.9% 8% 8% 9% 9%

     

    2 Party Preferred Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago16/6/15 2 weeks ago 30/6/15 Last week7/7/15 This week 14/7/15
    Liberal National 53.5% 48% 47% 48% 48%
    Labor 46.5% 52% 53% 52% 52%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Jun, 2015

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,816 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election 7 Sep 13

    4 weeks ago 2/6/15

    2 weeks ago 16/6/15

    Last week 23/6/15

    This week 30/6/15

    Liberal

    38%

    39%

    38%

    38%

    National

    4%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Liberal/National

    45.6%

    41%

    42%

    41%

    41%

    Labor

    33.4%

    40%

    39%

    39%

    39%

    Greens

    8.6%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    11%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    1%

    1%

    1%

    1%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    8%

    8%

    8%

    8%

    2 Party Preferred

    Election 7 Sep 13

    4 weeks ago 2/6/15

    2 weeks ago 16/6/15

    Last week 23/6/15

    This week 30/6/15

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    47%

    Labor

    46.5%

    52%

    52%

    52%

    53%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Jun, 2015

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,815 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election 7 Sep 13

    4 weeks ago 12/5/15

    2 weeks ago 26/5/15

    Last week 2/6/15

    This week 9/6/15

    Liberal

    38%

    38%

    38%

    38%

    National

    3%

    4%

    4%

    3%

    Total Liberal/National

    45.6%

    41%

    41%

    41%

    41%

    Labor

    33.4%

    39%

    39%

    40%

    40%

    Greens

    8.6%

    11%

    10%

    10%

    9%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    1%

    1%

    1%

    1%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    8%

    8%

    8%

    9%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election 7 Sep 13

    4 weeks ago 12/5/15

    2 weeks ago 26/5/15

    Last week 2/6/15

    This week 9/6/15

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    46.5%

    52%

    52%

    52%

    52%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • May, 2015

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,773 respondents  

    First preference/leaning to Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago14/4/15 2 weeks ago 28/4/15 Last week5/5/15 This week 12/5/15
    Liberal   37% 36% 37% 38%
    National 3% 4% 3% 3%
    Total Liberal/National 45.6% 41% 40% 40% 41%
    Labor 33.4% 39% 39% 39% 39%
    Greens 8.6% 10% 10% 10% 11%
    Palmer United Party 5.5% 2% 2% 1% 1%
    Other/Independent 6.9% 9% 9% 9% 8%

     

    2 Party Preferred Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago14/4/15 2 weeks ago 28/4/15 Last week5/5/15 This week 12/5/15
    Liberal National 53.5% 48% 47% 47% 48%
    Labor 46.5% 52% 53% 53% 52%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Apr, 2015

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,794 respondents

    First preference/leaning to Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago10/3/15 2 weeks ago 24/3/15 Last week31/3/15 This week 7/4/15
    Liberal   37% 37% 36% 36%
    National 3% 3% 4% 4%
    Total Liberal/National 45.6% 40% 40% 40% 40%
    Labor 33.4% 40% 41% 40% 39%
    Greens 8.6% 9% 10% 10% 10%
    Palmer United Party 5.5% 2% 1% 1% 2%
    Other/Independent 6.9% 9% 8% 9% 9%

     

    2 Party Preferred Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago10/3/15 2 weeks ago 24/3/15 Last week31/3/15 This week 7/4/15
    Liberal National 53.5% 47% 46% 47% 47%
    Labor 46.5% 53% 54% 53% 53%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Mar, 2015

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,786 respondents

    First preference/leaning to Election

    7 Sep 13

      4 weeks ago

    3/3/15

    2 weeks ago 17/3/15 Last week

    24/3/15

    This week 31/3/15
    Liberal   37% 37% 37% 36%
    National 3% 3% 3% 4%
    Total Liberal/National 45.6% 40% 40% 40% 40%
    Labor 33.4% 41% 39% 41% 40%
    Greens 8.6% 9% 9% 10% 10%
    Palmer United Party 5.5% 2% 2% 1% 1%
    Other/Independent 6.9% 9% 9% 8% 9%

     

    2 Party Preferred Election

    7 Sep 13

      4 weeks ago

    3/3/15

    2 weeks ago 17/3/15 Last week

    24/3/15

    This week 31/3/15
    Liberal National 53.5% 47% 48% 46% 47%
    Labor 46.5% 53% 52% 54% 53%

    The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Mar, 2015

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,782 respondents 

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago

    24/2/15

    2 weeks ago 10/3/15

    Last week

    17/3/15

    This week 24/3/15

    Liberal

     

    38%

    37%

    37%

    37%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Liberal/National

    45.6%

    40%

    40%

    40%

    40%

    Labor

    33.4%

    41%

    40%

    39%

    41%

    Greens

    8.6%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    10%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    2%

    2%

    2%

    1%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    8%

    9%

    9%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago

    24/2/15

    2 weeks ago 10/3/15

    Last week

    17/3/15

    This week 24/3/15

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    47%

    47%

    48%

    46%

    Labor

    46.5%

    53%

    53%

    52%

    54%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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