federal politics voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,804 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 11/6/14 |
2 weeks ago 24/6/14 |
Last week 1/7/14 |
This week 8/7/14 |
| Liberal |
|
35% |
37% |
37% |
36% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
||
| Total Lib/Nat |
45.6% |
37% |
40% |
40% |
39% |
|
| Labor |
33.4% |
40% |
38% |
38% |
40% |
|
| Greens |
8.6% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
|
| Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
6% |
5% |
6% |
6% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.9% |
8% |
7% |
7% |
7% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 11/6/14 |
2 weeks ago 24/6/14 |
Last week 1/7/14 |
This week 8/7/14 |
| Liberal National |
53.5% |
46% |
48% |
48% |
47% |
|
| Labor |
46.5% |
54% |
52% |
52% |
53% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
federal politics voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,835 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 3/6/14 |
2 weeks ago 17/6/14 |
Last week 24/6/14 |
This week 1/7/14 |
| Liberal |
|
35% |
36% |
37% |
37% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
||
| Total Lib/Nat |
45.6% |
38% |
39% |
40% |
40% |
|
| Labor |
33.4% |
39% |
41% |
38% |
38% |
|
| Greens |
8.6% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
|
| Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
6% |
5% |
5% |
6% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.9% |
7% |
7% |
7% |
7% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 3/6/14 |
2 weeks ago 17/6/14 |
Last week 24/6/14 |
This week 1/7/14 |
| Liberal National |
53.5% |
47% |
46% |
48% |
48% |
|
| Labor |
46.5% |
53% |
54% |
52% |
52% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
2 party preferred, 20 August 2012, 200812, 2PP, federal politics voting intention, first preference vote
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,864 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 23/7/12 |
2 weeks ago 6/8/12 |
Last week 13/8/12 |
This week 20/8/12 |
| Liberal |
|
45% |
46% |
46% |
46% |
| National |
|
4% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
33% |
33% |
32% |
32% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
8% |
8% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
56% |
56% |
56% |
57% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
44% |
44% |
43% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
13 August 2012, 130812, 2PP, federal politics voting intention, first preference vote, Greens, Labor, Liberals, two party preferred
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,868 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 16/7/12 |
2 weeks ago 30/7/12 |
Last week 6/8/12 |
This week 13/8/12 |
| Liberal |
|
46% |
45% |
46% |
46% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
31% |
33% |
33% |
32% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
57% |
55% |
56% |
56% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
43% |
45% |
44% |
44% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
16 July 2012, 160712, 2PP, federal politics voting intention, first preference vote, Greens party, Independents, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,857 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 18/6/12 |
2 weeks ago 2/7/12 |
Last week 9/7/12 |
This week 16/7/12 |
| Liberal |
46% |
45% |
46% |
46% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
4% |
3% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
33% |
32% |
31% |
31% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
10% |
11% |
10% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
56% |
56% |
56% |
57% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
44% |
44% |
43% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.
2 party preferred, 25 June 2012, 250612, 2PP, ALP, Coalition, federal politics voting intention, Greens, Independent, Labor Party, Nationals
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,853 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 28/5/12 |
2 weeks ago 12/6/12 |
Last week 18/6/12 |
This week 25/6/12 |
| Liberal |
|
47% |
46% |
46% |
46% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
50% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
33% |
32% |
33% |
33% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
7% |
9% |
8% |
8% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
57% |
56% |
56% |
56% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
43% |
44% |
44% |
44% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.
21 May 12, 210512, Federal Election, federal politics voting intention, Independents, Labor Party, Liberal Party, The Greens
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,918 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 23/4/12 |
2 weeks ago 7/5/12 |
Last week 14/5/12 |
This week 21/5/12 |
| Liberal |
|
45% |
47% |
47% |
46% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
50% |
50% |
49% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
31% |
29% |
30% |
33% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
11% |
11% |
11% |
10% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
8% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
56% |
58% |
57% |
56% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
42% |
43% |
44 |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.