2PP, federal politics, first preference vote, political leaning, two party preferred, voting, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,842 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 25/3/14 |
2 weeks ago 8/4/14 |
Last week 15/4/14 |
This week 22/4/14 |
| Liberal |
|
41% |
40% |
40% |
39% |
|
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
45.6% |
44% |
42% |
42% |
41% |
|
| Labor |
33.4% |
37% |
38% |
37% |
37% |
|
| Greens |
8.6% |
9% |
9% |
10% |
11% |
|
| Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
4% |
3% |
4% |
5% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.9% |
7% |
8% |
7% |
6% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 25/3/14 |
2 weeks ago 8/4/14 |
Last week 15/4/14 |
This week 22/4/14 |
| Liberal National |
53.5% |
51% |
49% |
50% |
49% |
|
| Labor |
46.5% |
49% |
51% |
50% |
51% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
28 January 2014, 280114, 2PP, first preference vote, Greens, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,933 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
Last week 21/1/14 |
This week 28/1/14 |
| Liberal |
|
40% |
40% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
||
| Total Lib/Nat |
45.6% |
43% |
42% |
|
| Labor |
33.4% |
37% |
36% |
|
| Greens |
8.6% |
9% |
9% |
|
| Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
4% |
4% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.9% |
7% |
9% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
Last week 21/1/14 |
This week 28/1/14 |
| Liberal National |
53.5% |
51% |
50% |
|
| Labor |
46.5% |
49% |
50% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
03 December 2012, 031212, 2PP, first preference vote, Greens, Labor, Liberal
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,799respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 7/11/12 |
2 weeks ago 19/11/12 |
Last week 26/11/12 |
This week 3/12/12 |
| Liberal |
|
43% |
43% |
44% |
44% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
46% |
46% |
47% |
47% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
37% |
36% |
36% |
37% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
10% |
10% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
9% |
8% |
7% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
53% |
53% |
53% |
53% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
26 November 2012, 261112, 2PP, ALP, first preference vote, Greens, Liberals, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,832 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 29/10/12 |
2 weeks ago 12/11/12 |
Last week 19/11/12 |
This week |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
42% |
43% |
44% |
| National |
|
4% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
45% |
46% |
47% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
36% |
37% |
36% |
36% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
9% |
10% |
10% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
7% |
8% |
9% |
8% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
54% |
52% |
53% |
53% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
48% |
47% |
47% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
22 October 2012, 221012, 2PP, ALP, Federal Election, first preference vote, Greens, Liberal, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,888 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 24/9/12 |
2 weeks ago 8/10/12 |
Last week 15/10/12 |
This week 22/10/12 |
| Liberal |
|
45% |
44% |
44% |
44% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
35% |
37% |
36% |
36% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
7% |
8% |
7% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
55% |
53% |
53% |
53% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
2PP, first preference vote, Greens, Julia Gillard, Labor, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,924 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 17/9/12 |
2 weeks ago 1/10/12 |
Last week 8/10/12 |
This week 15/10/12 |
| Liberal |
|
45% |
44% |
44% |
44% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
36% |
37% |
36% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
7% |
7% |
8% |
| 2PP |
Election |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
55% |
53% |
53% |
53% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
02 October 2012, 021012, 2PP, first preference vote, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 2,089 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 3/09/2012
|
2 weeks ago 17/09/2012 |
Last week 24/09/2012 |
This week |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
45% |
45% |
44% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
47% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
34% |
35% |
36% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
7% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 3/09/2012 |
2 weeks ago 17/09/2012 |
Last week 24/09/2012 |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
55% |
55% |
55% |
53% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
45% |
45% |
47% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
24 September 2012, 240912, 2PP, ALP, Federal Election, first preference vote, Greens, Liberal
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1992 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 27/08/12 |
2 weeks ago 10/9/2012 |
Last week 17/09/2012 |
This week |
| Liberal |
|
46% |
44% |
45% |
45% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
47% |
48% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
32% |
34% |
34% |
35% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 27/08/12 |
2 weeks ago 10/9/2012 |
This week 17/09/2012 |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
56% |
55% |
55% |
55% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
45% |
45% |
45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.