28 January 2014, 280114, 2PP, first preference vote, Greens, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,933 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
Last week 21/1/14 |
This week 28/1/14 |
| Liberal |
|
40% |
40% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
||
| Total Lib/Nat |
45.6% |
43% |
42% |
|
| Labor |
33.4% |
37% |
36% |
|
| Greens |
8.6% |
9% |
9% |
|
| Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
4% |
4% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.9% |
7% |
9% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
Last week 21/1/14 |
This week 28/1/14 |
| Liberal National |
53.5% |
51% |
50% |
|
| Labor |
46.5% |
49% |
50% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
28 January 2014, 280114, changes to mail delivery
Q. Would you approve or disapprove of changing the mail delivery service from each weekday to 3 days a week?
|
|
Total
|
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
| Total approve |
29% |
29% |
35% |
26% |
20% |
|
| Total disapprove |
63% |
66% |
57% |
64% |
69% |
|
| Strongly approve |
4% |
6% |
4% |
5% |
1% |
|
| Approve |
25% |
23% |
31% |
21% |
19% |
|
| Disapprove |
23% |
23% |
22% |
23% |
27% |
|
| Strongly disapprove |
40% |
43% |
35% |
41% |
42% |
|
| Don’t know |
8% |
5% |
7% |
11% |
11% |
29% approve of changing the mail delivery service to 3 days a week and 63% oppose.
There were no voter or demographic groups where disapproval was less than 50%.
28 January 2014, 280114, opinion of privatisation
Q. Generally, do you think that privatisation – that is, having public services owned or run by private companies – is a good or bad idea?
|
|
Total
|
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
March 13 |
| A good idea |
21% |
16% |
31% |
7% |
12% |
22% |
||
| A bad idea |
59% |
69% |
48% |
74% |
65% |
58% |
||
| Don’t know |
20% |
15% |
21% |
19% |
23% |
20% |
59% think that, generally, privatisation is a bad idea and 21% think it is generally a good idea.
Those most likely to think it is a bad idea were – aged 45-64 (75%), Greens voters (74%), Labor voters (69%) and incomes under $600pw (68%).
Strongest support for privatisation came from Liberal/National voters (31%), aged 18-34 (30%) and those with university education (29%).
There has been no significant change on this issue since this question was asked in March last year.
280114, australia post, medibank private, NBN, privatisation, Snowy hydro
Q. Would you support or oppose privatisation of the following Government-owned corporations?
|
|
Total support |
Total oppose |
|
Strongly support |
Support |
Oppose |
Strongly oppose |
Don’t know |
| Medibank Private |
29% |
54% |
5% |
24% |
26% |
28% |
18% |
|
| Australia Post |
20% |
69% |
4% |
16% |
26% |
43% |
11% |
|
| The ABC and SBS |
21% |
64% |
5% |
16% |
25% |
39% |
14% |
|
| The National Broadband Network |
28% |
58% |
7% |
21% |
24% |
34% |
14% |
|
| Snowy Hydro |
17% |
53% |
3% |
14% |
23% |
30% |
30% |
|
| Australian Rail Track Corporation (which runs much of the interstate train network) |
23% |
58% |
5% |
18% |
25% |
33% |
19% |
There was majority opposition to privatising each of the Government-owned corporations listed.
Privatisation of Australia Post (69%) and ABC/SBS (64%) were most strongly opposed.
While support for privatisation of these corporations was higher among Liberal/National voter, they were still more likely to oppose than support. Apart from Medibank Private (40% support/46% oppose) and the NBN (42%/46%), a majority of Liberal/National voters opposed privatisation of each corporation.
28 January 2014, 280114, Federal Government, welfare payments
Q. Overall, do you think the Federal Government spends too much, not enough or about the right amount on welfare payments – such as age pensions, disability support pensions, unemployment benefits, parenting payments?
|
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
| Too much |
24% |
12% |
36% |
18% |
25% |
|
| Not enough |
41% |
56% |
27% |
47% |
40% |
|
| About right |
27% |
27% |
29% |
29% |
27% |
|
| Don’t know |
9% |
5% |
9% |
7% |
8% |
41% think the Government does not spend enough on welfare payments, 27% think spending is about right and 24% think it spends too much.
Those most likely to think it spends too much were Liberal/National voters (36%), full-time workers (33%) and those on income over $1,600pw (34%).
Those most likely to think it doesn’t spend enough were Labor voters (56%) and those on incomes under $600pw (64%).
28 January 2014, 280114, age pension, disability support pension, parenting payment, Pension and benefit
Q. Do you think the following pensions and benefits are too high, too low or about right?
|
Too high |
Too low |
About right |
Don’t know |
|
Too high |
Too low |
About right |
Don’t know |
||
| Age pension |
2% |
64% |
25% |
8% |
Age pension ($827 a fortnight for a single person) |
5% |
52% |
35% |
8% |
|
| Disability support pension |
8% |
47% |
31% |
14% |
Disability support pension ($813 a fortnight) |
8% |
47% |
35% |
10% |
|
| Unemployment benefit |
27% |
27% |
35% |
11% |
Unemployment benefit ($501 a fortnight for a single person without children) |
25% |
35% |
31% |
9% |
|
| Parenting payment |
31% |
23% |
32% |
14% |
Parenting payment ($700 a fortnight for a single parent) |
26% |
34% |
29% |
10% |
Note: Half the sample was asked this question without specifying the payment amounts and half was asked with the payment amounts specified.
For half the sample that were not told the specific payment amount, 64% thought the age pension was too low and 47% thought the disability support pension was too low. Opinions on unemployment benefits and parenting payments were split – on unemployment benefits the most common response was “about right” (35%) and about right (32%) or too high (31%) for parenting payments.
The half that were told the payments amounts were less likely to think the age pension was too low (52%), had similar perceptions of the disability support pension and were more likely to think unemployment benefits (35%) and parenting payments (34%) were too low.
For the age pension while 58% of those aged 65+ thought it was too low, 76% of those aged 45-64 thought it was too low.
28 January 2014, 280114, disability support pension, eligibility for age pension, parenting payment, tougher eligbility, unemployment benefit
Q. Would you support or oppose making eligibility tougher for the following benefits and pensions?
|
|
Total support |
Total |
|
Strongly support |
Support |
Oppose |
Strongly oppose |
Don’t know |
| Age pension |
17% |
75% |
5% |
12% |
40% |
35% |
8% |
|
| Disability support pension |
37% |
55% |
11% |
26% |
33% |
22% |
9% |
|
| Unemployment benefit |
65% |
28% |
31% |
34% |
19% |
9% |
7% |
|
| Parenting payment |
55% |
34% |
24% |
31% |
24% |
10% |
11% |
A majority oppose making eligibility tougher for the age pension (75%) and the disability support pension (55%) but support making it tougher for unemployment benefits (65%) and parenting payments (55%).
Strongest opposition to making eligibility tougher for the age pension came from those aged 45-64 (85%).
Liberal/National voters were split over the disability support pension (45% support/47% oppose making it tougher).
76% of Liberal/National voters supported making eligibility for unemployment benefits tougher compared to 55% of Labor voters.
70% of those aged 55+ supported making eligibility for parenting payments tougher.
28 January 2014, 280114, alcohol related violence
Q. As far as you know, do you think alcohol-related violence in Australia has increased or decreased over the last few years or has it not changed much?
|
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
| Total increased |
78% |
81% |
81% |
58% |
75% |
|
| Total decreased |
2% |
3% |
2% |
2% |
4% |
|
| Increased a lot |
55% |
53% |
58% |
40% |
57% |
|
| Increased a little |
23% |
28% |
23% |
18% |
18% |
|
| Not changed much |
15% |
12% |
14% |
32% |
16% |
|
| Decreased a little |
2% |
3% |
1% |
2% |
3% |
|
| Decreased a lot |
* |
– |
1% |
– |
1% |
|
| Don’t know |
5% |
3% |
3% |
8% |
5% |
78% think that alcohol-related violence in Australia has increased over the last few years – 55% think it has increased a lot.
70% of those aged 55+ think it has increased a lot compared to 39% of those aged 18-34.