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  • Aug, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,868 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    16/7/12

    2 weeks ago

    30/7/12

    Last week

    6/8/12

    This week

    13/8/12

    Liberal

    46%

    45%

    46%

    46%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    Labor

    38.0%

    31%

    33%

    33%

    32%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    8%

    8%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    57%

    55%

    56%

    56%

    Labor

    50.1%

    43%

    45%

    44%

    44%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Aug, 2012

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    Approval of Julia Gillard

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

     

    19 Jul 2010

    20 Dec

    14 Mar

    2011

    14 June

    12 Sept

    12 Dec

    12 Mar 2012

    12 Jun

    16 Jul

    13 Aug

    Total approve

    52%

    43%

    41%

    34%

    28%

    34%

    32%

    32%

    32%

    31%

    Total disapprove

    30%

    40%

    46%

    54%

    64%

    54%

    61%

    56%

    58%

    57%

    Strongly approve

    11%

    10%

    7%

    6%

    5%

    6%

    8%

    6%

    5%

    7%

    Approve

    41%

    33%

    34%

    28%

    23%

    28%

    24%

    26%

    27%

    24%

    Disapprove

    17%

    24%

    22%

    29%

    28%

    25%

    29%

    22%

    26%

    25%

    Strongly disapprove

    13%

    16%

    24%

    25%

    36%

    29%

    32%

    34%

    32%

    32%

    Don’t know

    18%

    17%

    13%

    13%

    8%

    11%

    7%

    12%

    10%

    13%

    Julia Gillard’s approval rating has changed little since last month. 31% (down 1%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 57% (down 1%) disapprove – no change in net rating of -26.

    73% of Labor voters approve (no change) and 17% disapprove (down 2%).

    By gender – men 31% approve/60% disapprove, women 31% approve/52% disapprove.

  • Aug, 2012

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    Approval of Tony Abbott

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

     

    18 Jan

    2010

    5 Jul

     

    20 Dec

    14 Mar

    2011

    14 June

    12 Sept

    12 Dec

    12 Mar 2012

    12 Jun

    16 Jul

    13 Aug

    Total approve

    37%

    37%

    39%

    38%

    38%

    39%

    32%

    36%

    32%

    35%

    36%

    Total disapprove

    37%

    47%

    39%

    47%

    48%

    50%

    53%

    52%

    54%

    53%

    51%

    Strongly approve

    5%

    8%

    9%

    7%

    6%

    8%

    6%

    7%

    6%

    7%

    8%

    Approve

    32%

    29%

    30%

    31%

    32%

    31%

    26%

    29%

    26%

    28%

    28%

    Disapprove

    20%

    23%

    21%

    24%

    25%

    23%

    25%

    23%

    24%

    23%

    22%

    Strongly disapprove

    17%

    24%

    18%

    23%

    23%

    27%

    28%

    29%

    30%

    30%

    29%

    Don’t know

    26%

    16%

    22%

    16%

    15%

    11%

    14%

    12%

    13%

    12%

    13%

    Tony Abbott’s approval rating has improved marginally over the last month. 36% (up 1%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 51% (down 2%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -18 to -15 over the last 4 weeks.

    70% (up 3%) of Coalition voters approve and 21% (down 5%) disapprove.

    By gender – men 40% approve/51% disapprove, women 32% approve/52% disapprove.

  • Aug, 2012

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

     

    5 Jul 2010

    14 Mar 2011

    14 June

    12 Sept

    12 Dec

    12 Mar 2012

    12 Jun

    16 Jul

    Total 13 Aug

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Julia Gillard

    53%

    44%

    41%

    36%

    39%

    40%

    37%

    37%

    36%

    78%

    4%

    78%

    Tony Abbott

    26%

    33%

    36%

    40%

    35%

    37%

    37%

    38%

    38%

    8%

    77%

    4%

    Don’t know

    21%

    23%

    24%

    24%

    26%

    23%

    26%

    26%

    26%

    13%

    18%

    18%

    36% (down 1%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 38% (no change) prefer Tony Abbott.

    Men prefer Tony Abbott 42%/33% and women prefer Julia Gillard 39%/35%.

  • Aug, 2012

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    Same Sex Marriage

    Q. Do you think people of the same sex should or should not be allowed to marry?

     

    15 Nov 2010

    14 Mar 2011

    4 Jul 11

    13 Aug 12

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Should be allowed to marry

    53%

    49%

    54%

    54%

    65%

    42%

    83%

    Should not be allowed to marry

    36%

    40%

    35%

    33%

    27%

    44%

    11%

    Don’t know

    11%

    10%

    11%

    13%

    8%

    14%

    6%

    54% think that people of the same sex should be allowed to marry and 33% think they should not – a very similar result to last year when this question was last asked.

    Strongest support came from women (61%), people aged 35-54 (59%), aged under 35 (56%) and those on incomes over $1,600pw (59%).

  • Aug, 2012

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    Checking Emails

    Q. With regard to work emails, how often do you check them in each of the following circumstances?

     

    Regularly

    Sometimes

    Occasion-ally

    Never

    Out of work hours

    46%

    18%

    18%

    18%

    On weekends

    44%

    16%

    18%

    22%

    On holidays

    31%

    19%

    22%

    27%

    * Based on the 68% of respondents who receive work emails.

    46% say they regularly check their work emails out of hours, 44% on weekends and 31% on holidays.

    Those most likely to check their emails regularly out of hours were women (52%) and aged 45-54 (57%). Those earning under $1,000pw (54%) were more likely to check emails out of work hours than those earning over $1,000pw (44%).

    However, there were no major differences across demographics on checking work emails on weekends or holidays.

  • Aug, 2012

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    Frequency of Checking Emails and Social Media

    Q. How often do you check any of the following technologies?

     

    At least once every 15 minutes

    At least once an hour

    Every few hours

    At least once a day

    Less often

    Don’t know

    Don’t use

    Text messages

    7%

    16%

    28%

    27%

    13%

    2%

    7%

    Mobile phone calls

    7%

    16%

    28%

    28%

    14%

    2%

    5%

    Social media (e.g. Facebook, Twitter)

    3%

    10%

    16%

    27%

    21%

    *

    23%

    Personal e-mail

    6%

    13%

    29%

    45%

    6%

    *

    1%

    Work email

    12%

    14%

    15%

    14%

    5%

    *

    39%

    Voice mail

    3%

    5%

    9%

    15%

    29%

    2%

    38%

     

     

    Total at least once every 15 minutes

    Aged 18-24

    Aged 25-34

    Text messages

    7%

    19%

    11%

    Mobile phone calls

    7%

    13%

    10%

    Social media (e.g. Facebook, Twitter)

    3%

    9%

    7%

    Personal e-mail

    6%

    10%

    12%

    Work email

    12%

    11%

    22%

    Voice mail

    3%

    1%

    7%

     

     

    Total at least once an hour

    Aged 18-24

    Aged 25-34

    Text messages

    23%

    59%

    33%

    Mobile phone calls

    23%

    46%

    34%

    Social media (e.g. Facebook, Twitter)

    13%

    42%

    24%

    Personal e-mail

    19%

    33%

    29%

    Work email

    26%

    30%

    42%

    Voice mail

    8%

    10%

    13%

    12% say they check work emails ever 15 minutes and 26% check them at least once an hour. 23% check text messages and mobile phone calls at least once an hour.

    Respondents aged under 35 were by far the most frequent users of mobile phones and social media.

    19% of those aged 18-24 check their text messages and 13% check their mobile phone calls at least once every 15 minutes.

    22% of those aged 25-34 check their work emails at least every 15 minutes.

    At least every hour, 59% of those aged 18-24 check their text messages, 46% check their mobile phone calls and 42% check social media.

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