Essential Report

Views towards re-electing the federal Coalition government

Aug 31, 2021

Q. Which is closer to your own view about the federal Coalition government?

  Total Gender Age Group Federal Voting Intention
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Labor TOTAL: Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
Deserves to be re-elected 36% 43% 29% 26% 35% 45% 14% 71% 18% 25%
Time to give someone else a go 41% 40% 42% 50% 36% 38% 65% 14% 69% 46%
Unsure 23% 17% 29% 24% 29% 17% 21% 16% 13% 29%
Base (n) 1,100 539 561 341 374 385 388 405 90 119

 

  State
NSW VIC QLD SA WA
Deserves to be re-elected 34% 37% 35% 40% 37%
Time to give someone else a go 45% 37% 42% 39% 37%
Unsure 21% 26% 23% 21% 25%
Base (n) 349 276 219 89 111
  • When thinking about whether the current government should be re-elected, 41% think it’s time to give someone else a go, compared to 36% who think the federal Coalition government deserves to be re-elected. 23% are unsure.
  • Those most likely to think the current government deserves to be re-elected include men (43%), those over 55 (45%), and Coalition voters (71%).
  • People aged 18-34 (50%), Labor voters (65%), and Greens voters (69%) are the most likely to think it’s time to give someone else a go.
  • NSW residents are more likely to think it’s time to give someone else a go than Victorians (45% to 37% respectively).

Early election

Jul 21, 2015

Q. Do you expect the Coalition Government will run its full term until later in 2016 when the next Federal election is due or will they call an early election?

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote Other

Will run full term

48%

34%

72%

35%

43%

Will call early election

25%

41%

11%

40%

27%

Don’t know

27%

25%

17%

25%

30%

48% think the Government will run its full term and 25% think the Government will call an early election.

A majority of 72% of Liberal/National voters think the Government will run its full term while Labor voters (41%) and Greens voters (40%) tend to think there will be an early election.

Most important election issues

Apr 22, 2014

Q.  Which are the three most important issues in deciding how you would vote at a Federal election?

 

Total

22 Apr 14

 

Vote ALP

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Grn

Vote other

 

23 Jul 13

30 Jul 12

6 June 11

25 Jan 10

Management of the economy

54%

43%

75%

22%

44%

45%

64%

61%

63%

Ensuring a quality education for all children

27%

35%

18%

38%

20%

25%

26%

26%

23%

Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system

50%

54%

43%

62%

52%

42%

47%

49%

48%

Protecting the environment

13%

12%

7%

42%

14%

12%

11%

15%

16%

A fair industrial relations system

12%

17%

11%

8%

12%

10%

12%

8%

na

Political leadership

15%

11%

24%

6%

13%

21%

25%

17%

23%

Addressing climate change

10%

13%

4%

28%

9%

11%

9%

15%

16%

Controlling interest rates

9%

9%

11%

2%

7%

13%

9%

13%

15%

Australian jobs and protection of local industries

37%

39%

37%

18%

37%

39%

41%

32%

33%

Ensuring a quality water supply

4%

5%

3%

3%

5%

3%

3%

5%

12%

Housing affordability

17%

18%

16%

13%

19%

17%

13%

16%

14%

Ensuring a fair taxation system

20%

19%

20%

9%

23%

20%

18%

17%

14%

Security and the war on terrorism

5%

3%

8%

3%

5%

8%

5%

8%

9%

Treatment of asylum seekers

8%

5%

5%

32%

9%

14%

10%

5%

na

Managing population growth

9%

6%

10%

8%

16%

9%

8%

12%

na

54% of people surveyed rated management of the economy as one of their three most important issues, followed by 50% ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system, 37% Australian jobs and protection of local industries and 27% ensuring a quality education for all children.

Main changes since this question was asked last July – management of the economy up 9%, ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system up 8%, political leadership down 6% and treatment of asylum seekers down 6%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 29, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,792 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

1/10/12

2 weeks ago

15/10/12

Last week

22/10/12

This week

29/10/12

Liberal

44%

44%

44%

44%

National

3%

3%

3%

4%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

47%

47%

47%

48%

Labor

38.0%

36%

36%

36%

36%

Greens

11.8%

9%

9%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

7%

8%

7%

7%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

53%

53%

53%

54%

Labor

50.1%

47%

47%

47%

46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Better Prime Minister

Aug 13, 2012

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

 

5 Jul 2010

14 Mar 2011

14 June

12 Sept

12 Dec

12 Mar 2012

12 Jun

16 Jul

Total 13 Aug

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Julia Gillard

53%

44%

41%

36%

39%

40%

37%

37%

36%

78%

4%

78%

Tony Abbott

26%

33%

36%

40%

35%

37%

37%

38%

38%

8%

77%

4%

Don’t know

21%

23%

24%

24%

26%

23%

26%

26%

26%

13%

18%

18%

36% (down 1%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 38% (no change) prefer Tony Abbott.

Men prefer Tony Abbott 42%/33% and women prefer Julia Gillard 39%/35%.

Federal politics – voting intention

May 28, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,884 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

30/4/12

2 weeks ago

14/5/12

Last week

21/5/12

This week

28/5/12

Liberal

46%

47%

46%

47%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

50%

50%

49%

50%

Labor

38.0%

31%

30%

33%

33%

Greens

11.8%

11%

11%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

8%

7

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

57%

57%

56%

57%

Labor

50.1%

43%

43%

44%

43%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

Comments »

Next Election

Apr 30, 2012

Q. Do you think the Labor Government should run its full term until 2013 when the next Federal election is due or should a new election be held now?

 

5 Sept 11

5 Dec 11

30 Jan 12

5 Mar 12

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Should run to 2013

40%

47%

48%

46%

48%

87%

21%

74%

Should hold election now

48%

41%

41%

44%

42%

7%

75%

20%

Don’t know

12%

12%

10%

10%

10%

5%

5%

6%

 

48% think the Labor Government should run its full term until the 2013 election and 42% think an election should be held now.

10% don’t know.

Opinions have shifted a little toward having an election now since this question was polled in March 2012.

Comments »

Next Election

Mar 5, 2012

Q. Do you think the Labor Government should run its full term until 2013 when the next Federal election is due or should a new election be held now?

 

5 Sept 11

5 Dec 11

30 Jan 12

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Should run to 2013

40%

47%

48%

46%

90%

17%

80%

Should hold election now

48%

41%

41%

44%

7%

77%

12%

Don’t know

12%

12%

10%

10%

4%

5%

8%

46% think the Labor Government should run its full term until the 2013 election and 44% think an election should be held now.

Opinions have shifted a little toward having an election now since this question was polled in January.

Comments »

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