Liberal Party Leadership

Nov 1, 2010

Q. Which of the following do you think would be the best person to lead the Liberal Party at the next election?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Tony Abbott 23% 5% 50% 5%
Malcolm Turnbull 22% 27% 19% 39%
Joe Hockey 14% 15% 15% 12%
Julie Bishop 6% 9% 5% 7%
Andrew Robb 1% 1% 1%
Someone else 15% 22% 3% 18%
Don’t know 19% 21% 7% 19%

23% think Tony Abbott would be the best person to lead the Liberal Party at the next election, 22% prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 14% Joe Hockey.

Among Coalition voters, 50% prefer Tony Abbott, 19% Malcolm Turnbull and 15% Joe Hockey.

Tony Abbott is preferred over Malcolm Turnbull by those aged under 45 22% to 19% but the over 45’s prefer Malcolm Turnbull over Tony Abbott 27% to 25%.

A similar question (although not exactly the same) asked in September showed Tony Abbott with a 26% to 20% lead over Malcolm Turnbull overall and 53% to 15% among Coalition voters. Joe Hockey’s support was 15% in total and 17% among Liberal voters. Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 25, 2010

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,873

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 36% 40% 42% 42% 41%
National 3% 3% 2% 2% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 39% 43% 44% 44% 44%
Labor 42% 42% 41% 40% 41%
Greens 9% 9% 8% 9% 8%
Other/Independent 10% 6% 7% 7% 7%
2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week

This week
Total Lib/Nat 46% 49% 49% 50% 50%
Labor 54% 51% 51% 50% 50%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 18, 2010

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,901

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week

 

This week
Liberal 37% 42% 42% 42% 42%
National 2% 3% 2% 2% 2%
Total Lib/Nat 39% 45% 44% 44% 44%
Labor 42% 40% 42% 41% 40%
Greens 11% 9% 8% 8% 9%
Other/Independent 8% 6% 7% 7% 7%

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Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 11, 2010

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

1,912 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Liberal 37% 41% 40% 42% 42%
National 3% 3% 3% 2% 2%
Total Lib/Nat 40% 44% 43% 44% 44%
Labor 41% 39% 42% 42% 41%
Greens 11% 10% 9% 8% 8%
Other/Independent 8% 6% 6% 7% 7%

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Total Lib/Nat 46% 50% 49% 49% 49%
Labor 54% 50% 51% 51% 51%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.

Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 4, 2010

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

1921 sample size

First preference/leaning to  6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Liberal 36% 40% 42% 40% 42%
National 3% 3% 3% 3% 2%
Total Lib/Nat 39% 43% 45% 43% 44%
Labor 43% 39% 40% 42% 42%
Greens 10% 11% 9% 9% 8%
Other/Independent 8% 7% 6% 6% 8%

 

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Total Lib/Nat 46% 49% 50% 49% 49%
Labor 54% 51% 50% 51% 51%

 NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election. Comments »

View of both leaders

Oct 4, 2010

 

 Q.  Some people say that with such a closely divided Parliament, both leaders – Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott – should be willing to modify some of their previously-held positions and made more compromises with the opposing side. Others say, that is wrong, that they should stick to the positions they were each elected on. Which is closer to your view?

Both leaders should be willing to modify some of their previously-held positions and made more compromises with the opposing side 52%
Both leaders should they should stick to the positions they were each elected on 48%

 Labor (64%) and Green voters (65%) voters were more likely to state that both leaders should be willing to modify some of their previously-held positions. Lib/Nat voters were more likely to state that both leaders should they should stick to the positions (64%).

 Those aged 25-34 were more likely (65%) to state that both leaders should be willing to modify some of their previously-held positions. Comments »

New election

Oct 4, 2010

Q.  Australia would do better to have a new election, so we can have a Government with a working majority…so it can get things done. Do you agree with that or not?

Strongly agree 28%
Agree 27%
Neither agree nor disagree 22%
Disagree 15%
Strongly Disagree 8%

 Those aged 55-64 (36%) and 65+ (43%) were more likely to strongly agree that there should be a new election. Those in NSW (34%) were also more likely to strongly agree that there should be a new election.  

 Lib/Nat voters were also more likely to either strongly agree (47%) or agree (32%) that there should be a new election.

 Labor voters were more likely to strongly disagree (14%) or disagree (23%) with a new election. Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 27, 2010

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

1910 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week


Liberal 36% 41% 41% 42% 40%
National 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 39% 44% 44% 45% 43%
Labor 43% 38% 39% 40% 42%
Greens 9% 11% 10% 9% 9%
Other/Independent 9% 7% 7% 6% 6%


2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week


Total Lib/Nat 46% 50% 50% 50% 49%
Labor 54% 50% 50% 50% 51%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.

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