2PP, Election, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,844
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Liberal | 36% | 42% | 42% | 41% | 41% |
| National | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 39% | 44% | 44% | 44% | 44% |
| Labor | 40% | 42% | 40% | 41% | 41% |
| Greens | 11% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% |
| Other/Independent | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat | 47% | 49% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Labor | 53% | 51% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. Comments »
Abbott, Andrew Robb, Election, Hockey, Joe Hockey, Julie Bishop, leadership, Liberal, Liberal Party, malcolm turnbull, Opposition leader, Turnbull
Q. Which of the following do you think would be the best person to lead the Liberal Party at the next election?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Tony Abbott | 23% | 5% | 50% | 5% |
| Malcolm Turnbull | 22% | 27% | 19% | 39% |
| Joe Hockey | 14% | 15% | 15% | 12% |
| Julie Bishop | 6% | 9% | 5% | 7% |
| Andrew Robb | 1% | 1% | 1% | – |
| Someone else | 15% | 22% | 3% | 18% |
| Don’t know | 19% | 21% | 7% | 19% |
23% think Tony Abbott would be the best person to lead the Liberal Party at the next election, 22% prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 14% Joe Hockey.
Among Coalition voters, 50% prefer Tony Abbott, 19% Malcolm Turnbull and 15% Joe Hockey.
Tony Abbott is preferred over Malcolm Turnbull by those aged under 45 22% to 19% but the over 45’s prefer Malcolm Turnbull over Tony Abbott 27% to 25%.
A similar question (although not exactly the same) asked in September showed Tony Abbott with a 26% to 20% lead over Malcolm Turnbull overall and 53% to 15% among Coalition voters. Joe Hockey’s support was 15% in total and 17% among Liberal voters. Comments »
2PP, Election, Federal Election, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,873
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Liberal | 36% | 40% | 42% | 42% | 41% |
| National | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 39% | 43% | 44% | 44% | 44% |
| Labor | 42% | 42% | 41% | 40% | 41% |
| Greens | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% |
| Other/Independent | 10% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat | 46% | 49% | 49% | 50% | 50% |
| Labor | 54% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
2PP, Election, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,901
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week
|
This week |
| Liberal | 37% | 42% | 42% | 42% | 42% |
| National | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 39% | 45% | 44% | 44% | 44% |
| Labor | 42% | 40% | 42% | 41% | 40% |
| Greens | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 9% |
| Other/Independent | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
2PP, Election, Federal Election, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
1,912 sample size
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Liberal | 37% | 41% | 40% | 42% | 42% |
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 40% | 44% | 43% | 44% | 44% |
| Labor | 41% | 39% | 42% | 42% | 41% |
| Greens | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% |
| Other/Independent | 8% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Total Lib/Nat | 46% | 50% | 49% | 49% | 49% |
| Labor | 54% | 50% | 51% | 51% | 51% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.
2PP, Election, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
1921 sample size
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Liberal | 36% | 40% | 42% | 40% | 42% |
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 39% | 43% | 45% | 43% | 44% |
| Labor | 43% | 39% | 40% | 42% | 42% |
| Greens | 10% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% |
| Other/Independent | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 8% |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Total Lib/Nat | 46% | 49% | 50% | 49% | 49% |
| Labor | 54% | 51% | 50% | 51% | 51% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election. Comments »
Abbott, Election, Gillard, leadership
Q. Some people say that with such a closely divided Parliament, both leaders – Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott – should be willing to modify some of their previously-held positions and made more compromises with the opposing side. Others say, that is wrong, that they should stick to the positions they were each elected on. Which is closer to your view?
| Both leaders should be willing to modify some of their previously-held positions and made more compromises with the opposing side | 52% |
| Both leaders should they should stick to the positions they were each elected on | 48% |
Labor (64%) and Green voters (65%) voters were more likely to state that both leaders should be willing to modify some of their previously-held positions. Lib/Nat voters were more likely to state that both leaders should they should stick to the positions (64%).
Those aged 25-34 were more likely (65%) to state that both leaders should be willing to modify some of their previously-held positions. Comments »
Q. Australia would do better to have a new election, so we can have a Government with a working majority…so it can get things done. Do you agree with that or not?
| Strongly agree | 28% |
| Agree | 27% |
| Neither agree nor disagree | 22% |
| Disagree | 15% |
| Strongly Disagree | 8% |
Those aged 55-64 (36%) and 65+ (43%) were more likely to strongly agree that there should be a new election. Those in NSW (34%) were also more likely to strongly agree that there should be a new election.
Lib/Nat voters were also more likely to either strongly agree (47%) or agree (32%) that there should be a new election.
Labor voters were more likely to strongly disagree (14%) or disagree (23%) with a new election. Comments »