Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
2,062 sample size
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Liberal | 35% | 41% | 41% | 40% | 41% |
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 38% | 44% | 44% | 43% | 44% |
| Labor | 45% | 39% | 38% | 39% | 39% |
| Greens | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% |
| Family First | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| Other/Independent | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Total Lib/Nat | 44% | 49% | 50% | 49% | 50% |
| Labor | 56% | 51% | 50% | 51% | 50% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election. Comments »
Q. How would you rate the performance of the following parties and politicians since the election?
| Total good | Total poor | Very good | Good | Average | Poor | Very poor | |
| Labor Party | 38% | 34% | 12% | 26% | 28% | 26% | 8% |
| Liberal and National Parties | 40% | 31% | 10% | 30% | 30% | 22% | 9% |
| The Greens | 28% | 39% | 5% | 23% | 33% | 28% | 11% |
| The independents | 27% | 42% | 5% | 22% | 31% | 31% | 11% |
Respondents rated the performance of the Coalition parties since the election a little higher than that of the Labor Party. The Coalition parties were rated 40% good/31% poor compared to Labor’s 38% good/34% poor.
Ratings of the Greens (28% good/39% poor) and the independents (27%/42%) were both negative.
In terms of party preferences, 78% of Labor voters rated Labor good, 70% of Coalition voters rated the Coalition parties good and 71% of Greens voters rated the Greens good. Voters for independents and other parties were split on the performance of the independents – 37% good/30% poor.
45% of Labor voters rated the independents’ performance as good and 58% of Coalition voters rated them poor. Comments »
Election, Independents, Minority Government
Q. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the decisions the independents have reached about which party they will support?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote ind/other | |
| Total approve | 41% | 82% | 5% | 72% | 40% |
| Total disapprove | 45% | 6% | 89% | 14% | 34% |
| Strongly approve | 12% | 29% | * | 15% | 3% |
| Approve | 29% | 53% | 5% | 57% | 37% |
| Disapprove | 20% | 5% | 35% | 11% | 18% |
| Strongly disapprove | 25% | 1% | 54% | 3% | 16% |
| Don’t know | 14% | 12% | 5% | 14% | 27% |
Respondents were split over the independents’ decision about the party to support – 41% approve and 45% disapprove.
82% of Labor voters and 72% of Greens voters approve while 89% of Coalition voters disapprove (and 54% strongly disapprove). Voters for independents and other parties split 40% approve/34% disapprove. Comments »
Election, Greens, Minority Government
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the agreement between the Labor Party and the Greens for the Greens to give their support to the Labor Party?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Total approve | 41% | 84% | 4% | 79% |
| Total disapprove | 46% | 7% | 90% | 10% |
| Strongly approve | 12% | 27% | – | 30% |
| Approve | 29% | 57% | 4% | 49% |
| Disapprove | 18% | 4% | 32% | 8% |
| Strongly disapprove | 28% | 3% | 58% | 2% |
| Don’t know | 14% | 10% | 6% | 13% |
Respondents were also split over the agreement between the Labor Party and the Greens for the Greens to give their support to the Labor Party – 41% approve and 46% disapprove – with views closely associated with party preferences.
84% of Labor voters and 79% of Greens voters approve while 90% of Coalition voters disapprove (and 58% strongly disapprove). Comments »
Q. Some people have suggested that the party which increased its strength most in the recent election was the Greens. Do you think the increased strength of the Greens is good or bad for Australia?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Total good | 45% | 68% | 19% | 96% |
| Total bad | 38% | 15% | 70% | 2% |
| Very good | 13% | 18% | 2% | 60% |
| Good | 32% | 50% | 17% | 36% |
| Bad | 18% | 11% | 30% | – |
| Very bad | 20% | 4% | 40% | 2% |
| Don’t know | 17% | 17% | 11% | 3% |
45% believe the increased strength of the Greens is good for Australia and 38% bad. 68% of Labor voters think it is good and 70% of Coalition voters think it is bad (40% say very bad). Comments »
Q. Do you think the independents will hold too much power in the next Federal Government?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote ind/other | |
| Yes | 44% | 36% | 63% | 21% | 16% |
| No | 36% | 40% | 27% | 57% | 64% |
| Don’t know | 20% | 25% | 10% | 22% | 20% |
Overall, respondents more likely to think the independents will hold too much power in the next Federal; Government – 44% agree and 36% disagree. 63% of Coalition voters agree but Labor voters are split 36% yes/40% no.
Greens voters and other voters are more likely to think the independents will not hold too much power. Comments »
Election, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
2,106 sample size
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Liberal | 37% | 39% | 42% | 41% | 40% |
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 40% | 42% | 45% | 44% | 43% |
| Labor | 43% | 41% | 38% | 38% | 39% |
| Greens | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| Family First | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Other/Independent | 7% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Total Lib/Nat | 46% | 48% | 50% | 50% | 49% |
| Labor | 54% | 52% | 50% | 50% | 51% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election. Comments »
Q. After the election neither the Labor Party nor the Coalition has a majority in the House of Representatives – they need the support of independents to govern. Do you think this will result in a better or worse Government for Australia?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Total better | 30% | 37% | 19% | 47% |
| Total worse | 42% | 33% | 62% | 30% |
| A lot better | 8% | 10% | 3% | 12% |
| A little better | 22% | 27% | 16% | 35% |
| A little worse | 22% | 19% | 28% | 23% |
| A lot worse | 20% | 14% | 34% | 7% |
| Make no difference | 15% | 16% | 11% | 10% |
| Don’t know | 13% | 14% | 8% | 13% |
42% believe that a minority Government supported by the independents will result in a worse Government for Australia and 30% think it will be a better Government. Liberal/National voters are more likely to think it would be a worse Government (62%) while 47% of Greens voters think it would be a better Government. Labor voters are split – 37% better/33% worse.
Older voters are most likely to think it would be a worse Government – of those aged 55+, 47% say worse and 28% better. Comments »