Essential Report

Approval of Tony Abbott

Aug 16, 2010

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

  18 Jan 22 Feb 29 Mar 3 May 31 May 28 Jun 5 Jul 19 Jul 26 Jul 2 Aug 9 Aug 16 Aug
Total approve 37% 45% 33% 39% 35% 40% 37% 40% 35% 38% 40% 41%
Total disapprove 37% 36% 50% 43% 50% 39% 47% 44% 46% 48% 45% 44%
Strongly approve 5% 12% 8% 5% 5% 9% 8% 6% 6% 8% 8% 9%
Approve 32% 33% 25% 34% 30% 31% 29% 34% 29% 30% 32% 32%
Disapprove 20% 20% 28% 24% 28% 20% 23% 22% 22% 27% 25% 22%
Strongly disapprove 17% 16% 22% 19% 22% 19% 24% 22% 24% 21% 20% 22%
Don’t know 26% 18% 16% 18% 16% 20% 16% 16% 19% 14% 15%

15%

41% approve Tony Abbott’s performance as Opposition Leader and 44% disapprove. Since this question was asked last week, approval has increased by 1% and disapproval decreased by 1%. 81% of Liberal/National voters approve and 10% disapprove. Among Labor voters, 15% approve and 75% disapprove.

By gender – men 44% approve/45% disapprove and women 38% approve/43% disapprove. Comments »

Involvement in Election

Aug 16, 2010

Q. Over the last few weeks, which of the following types on involvement have you had in the Federal election campaign?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Seen TV advertising or heard radio advertising from political parties 66% 69% 72% 77%
Received election leaflets in my letterbox 58% 67% 59% 55%
Watched interviews with politicians on TV or heard them on radio 55% 59% 64% 58%
Read articles about the election in newspapers or magazines 45% 51% 48% 52%
Been handed election materials in the street 8% 10% 8% 8%
Met one of my local candidates 6% 7% 7% 1%
Seen election advertising on Youtube or Facebook 5% 4% 5% 10%
Been door-knocked by a political party 3% 2% 4% 2%
Had a phone call from a political party 2% 3% 2% 2%
Been surveyed by phone or door-to-door (not online surveys) 2% 2% 2% 2%
Joined a Facebook group related to the election 2% 1% 1% 6%
Been to a political meeting or event 1% 1% 1% 1%
Done volunteer work for a candidate (e.g. letterboxing) 1% * 1% 2%
None of these 21% 15% 18% 16%

 The most common forms of involvement in the election are being exposed to TV and radio advertising (66%), letterboxed leaflets (58%), interviews with politicians on TV/radio (55%) and articles in newspapers and magazines (45%). Only 5% said they had seen election advertising on Facebook or Youtube (including 11% of respondents aged 18-24). Comments »

Importance of Issues in Voting

Aug 16, 2010

 

Q. How important are the following in deciding which party you will vote for?

  Top priority Very important Quite important Not so important Don’t know
Better at handling Australia’s economy 37% 48% 10% 1% 4%
They have better policies on things like education and health 31% 47% 16% 1% 4%
They are more capable of governing effectively than the other parties 30% 47% 16% 1% 6%
They are more likely to represent the interests of all Australians 30% 45% 18% 3% 5%
They will do things that help me and my family 28% 42% 21% 4% 5%
They have better policies on things like national security and immigration 24% 42% 22% 6% 5%
Better at looking after the interests people like me 23% 47% 22% 4% 4%
They have better policies on things like industrial relations and supporting Australian workers 23% 44% 24% 4% 5%
More trustworthy than the other parties 22% 44% 21% 5% 8%
They have better policies on things like environment and climate change 21% 41% 23% 9% 5%
They have a better leader 16% 40% 28% 8% 7%
I always vote for them 9% 15% 24% 42% 10%

 Key factors in deciding which party to vote for are handling the economy (37% top priority), policies on education and health (31%), capable of governing effectively (30%) and representing the interests of all Australians (30%). Comments »

Importance of Issues in Voting – by Party

Aug 16, 2010

Q. How important are the following in deciding which party you will vote for?

Top priority Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Better at handling Australia’s economy 37% 33% 51% 19%
They have better policies on things like education and health 31% 41% 25% 35%
They are more capable of governing effectively than the other parties 30% 30% 35% 18%
They are more likely to represent the interests of all Australians 30% 36% 25% 25%
They will do things that help me and my family 28% 32% 27% 17%
They have better policies on things like national security and immigration 24% 24% 29% 20%
Better at looking after the interests people like me 23% 27% 21% 22%
They have better policies on things like industrial relations and supporting Australian workers 23% 36% 17% 20%
More trustworthy than the other parties 22% 23% 23% 21%
They have better policies on things like environment and climate change 21% 26% 13% 46%
They have a better leader 16% 24% 14% 13%
I always vote for them 9% 11% 11% 6%

 The most important issues for Labor voters are policies on education and health (41% top priority), representing the interests of all Australians (36%), policies on industrial relations and supporting workers (36%) and doing things to help me and my family (32%).

For Liberal/National voters the key issues are handling the economy (51% top priority), capable of governing effectively (35%) and policies on national security and immigration (29%).

The major issue for Greens voters is policies on the environment and climate change (46%).  Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 9, 2010

Q. The Federal Election will be held on 21 August –  to which party will you probably give your first preference in the House of Representatives? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to for the House of Representatives?

 2,763 sample size

First preference/leaning to  6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Liberal 35% 36% 37% 37% 39%
National 3% 3% 2% 2% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 38% 38% 39% 39% 42%
Labor 44% 41% 41% 40% 41%
Greens 10% 13% 13% 13% 10%
Family First 2% 2% 2% 3% 3%
Other/Independent 6% 6% 5% 5% 5%

 

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Total Lib/Nat 45% 45% 45% 46% 48%
Labor 55% 55% 55% 54% 52%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data.   Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 2, 2010

Q. The Federal Election will be held on 21 August –  to which party will you probably give your first preference in the House of Representatives? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to for the House of Representatives?

2,418 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Liberal 35% 36% 37% 37% 37%
National 3% 3% 2% 2% 2%
Total Lib/Nat 38% 39% 39% 39% 39%
Labor 45% 42% 41% 41% 40%
Greens 9% 11% 13% 13% 13%
Family First 2% 2% 2% 2% 3%
Other/Independent 6% 6% 5% 5% 5%

 

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Total Lib/Nat 44% 46% 45% 45% 46%
Labor 56% 54% 55% 55% 54%

 NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data.   Comments »

The Punch: Why the election has got nothing to do with you

Jul 27, 2010

First Published on The Punch 27/07/2010

If you are a political junkie like me, chances are you found Sunday night’s debate a little like watching a nil-nil draw without even the climax of the penalty shoot-out. About the only thing more boring than the debate is the pundits who say the debate was boring.

It’s the curse of Australian elections, if you are engaged in politics and have a defined set of ideological values, then the campaign has very little to do with you.

Put another way, if you are reading The Punch the parties don’t really care what you think. Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 26, 2010

Q. The Federal Election will be held on 21 August –  to which party will you probably give your first preference in the House of Representatives? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to for the House of Representatives?

1,747 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Liberal 34% 36% 36% 37% 37%
National 2% 3% 3% 2% 2%
Total Lib/Nat 37% 39% 38% 39% 39%
Labor 46% 42% 41% 41% 41%
Greens 8% 9% 13% 13% 13%
Family First 2% 3% 2% 2% 2%
Other/Independent 7% 7% 6% 5% 5%

 

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Total Lib/Nat 44% 46% 45% 45% 45%
Labor 56% 54% 55% 55% 55%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data.   Comments »

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