Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 21, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?

1,842 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Liberal 34% 39% 38% 38% 37%
National 3% 2% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 37% 41% 40% 41% 40%
Labor 47% 40% 37% 35% 38%
Greens 8% 10% 12% 14% 11%
Family First 2% 2% 3% 2% 3%
Other/Independent 6% 7% 7% 8% 8%
2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Total Lib/Nat 43% 48% 48% 49% 48%
Labor 57% 52% 52% 51% 52%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data. Comments »

Changing Leaders – Tony Abbott

Jun 21, 2010

Q. Do you think Tony Abbott is the best person to lead the Liberal Party to the next election or would the Liberal Party have a better chance of winning the next election if they changed leaders?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat
Tony Abbott is the best person to lead the Liberal Party to the next election 29% 14% 62%
The Liberal Party would have a better chance of winning the next election if they changed leaders 47% 65% 25%
Don’t know 24% 21% 13%

47% of respondents thought the Liberal Party would have a better chance of winning the next election if they changed leader – 29% thought Tony Abbott was the best person to be leader.

Liberal/National voters supported Tony Abbott as leader by 62% to 25%. 79% of Greens voters and 49% of other/independent voters thought the Liberal Party should change their leader. Men (34%) and those aged 65+ (34%) were the strongest supporters of Tony Abbott remaining as leader. Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 15, 2010

Federal politics – voting intention

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?

1,850 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Liberal 32% 41% 39% 38% 38%
National 3% 2% 2% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 35% 43% 41% 40% 41%
Labor 46% 38% 39% 37% 35%
Greens 10% 10% 9% 12% 14%
Family First 2% 2% 2% 3% 2%
Other/Independent 7% 7% 8% 7% 8
2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Total Lib/Nat 42% 50% 49% 48% 49%
Labor 58% 50% 51% 52% 51%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data.
Comments »

Party Best at

Jun 15, 2010

Q. Which of the following parties – Labor, Liberal or Greens – do you think is the best party when it comes to –

Labor Liberal Greens Don’t know
Representing the interests of Australian working people 42% 27% 6% 25%
Standing up to the big multinational corporations 32% 27% 13% 28%
Handling the economy in a way that best protects working people in Australia 36% 35% 4% 25%
Understanding the needs of the average Australian 29% 27% 9% 35%
Representing the interests of you and people like you 32% 34% 10% 24%
Having a vision for Australia’s future 29% 33% 9% 29%
Taking Australia forward, not backwards 29% 34% 9% 28%
Handling Australia’s relations with other countries 30% 38% 4% 27%
Handling Australia’s economy 30% 42% 3% 25%
Dealing with the issue of immigration 20% 41% 7% 32%
Being honest and ethical 19% 21% 15% 45%
Handling environmental and climate change issues 19% 19% 36% 27%

The Labor Party was thought to be better than the Liberal Party at “representing the interests of Australian working people” (42% to 27%) and “standing up to the big multinational corporations “ (32%/27%).

The Liberal Party was thought to be better than the Labor Party at “dealing with the issue of immigration “ (41% to 20%), “handling Australia’s economy” (42%/30%),  “handling Australia’s relations with other countries” (38%/30%),  “taking Australia forward, not backwards” (34%/29%) and “having a vision for Australia’s future” (33%/29%).

There was little difference between the Liberal and Labor Parties in terms of “handling the economy in a way that best protects working people in Australia”,  “understanding the needs of the average Australian” and “representing the interests of you and people like you”.

36% believed the Greens were best at “handling environmental and climate change issues” and 45% could not nominate a party best at “being honest and ethical”. Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

May 31, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?  

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?  

1,866 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week 
Liberal 31% 36% 41% 39% 39%
National 4% 3% 2% 2% 2%
Total Lib/Nat 35% 39% 43% 41% 41%
Labor 47% 40% 38% 40% 39%
Greens 8% 11% 10% 10% 9%
Family First 3% 3% 2% 2% 2%
Other/Independent 7% 7% 7% 7% 8%

 

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week 
Total Lib/Nat 42% 47% 50% 48% 49%
Labor 58% 53% 50% 52% 51%

 NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. 

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data. Comments »

Impact on Vote of Re-introducing WorkChoices

May 31, 2010

Q. If it turned out the Coalition was planning to reintroduce some of the Howard Government’s IR laws, like ending unfair dismissal protections and restoring individual contracts, would that make you more likely or less likely to vote for them in the upcoming federal election?

Total more likely 14%
Total less likely 46%
Much more likely 6%
Somewhat more likely 8%
Somewhat less likely 14%
Much less likely 32%
Make no difference 25%
Don’t know 15%

 46% said that they would be less likely to vote for the Coalition if they were planning to reintroduce some of the Howard Government’s IR laws – 14% said they would be more likely.

 Among Labor voters, 69% said they would be less likely to vote for the Coalition, 7% more likely and 16% make no difference.

Among Coalition voters, 20% said they would be less likely to vote for the Coalition, 30% more likely and 42% make no difference.

51% of those aged 35-54 said they would be less likely to vote for the Coalition, 11% more likely and 26% make no difference. Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

May 24, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?  

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?  

1,911 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Liberal 36% 36% 41% 39%
National 3% 3% 2% 2%
Total Lib/Nat 39% 39% 43% 41%
Labor 45% 42% 38% 40%
Greens 7% 9% 10% 10%
Family First 3% 3% 2% 2%
Other/Independent 6% 7% 7% 7%

 

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Total Lib/Nat 45% 46% 50% 48%
Labor 55% 54% 50% 52%

 NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. 

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data.   Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

May 17, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?  

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?  

1,851 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Liberal 36% 37% 39% 41%
National 3% 2% 3% 2%
Total Lib/Nat 39% 39% 42% 43%
Labor 45% 42% 37% 38%
Greens 9% 11% 11% 10%
Family First 2% 2% 2% 2%
Other/Independent 5% 7% 8% 7%

 

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Total Lib/Nat 45% 46% 50% 50%
Labor 55% 54% 50% 50%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. 

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data.   Comments »

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