2PP, demographic, Greens, Independent, Labor, Liberal, National, NSW, voting
| First preference /leaning to | Total | Men | Women | Sydney | Other NSW | 18-34 | 35-54 | 55+ |
| Sample | 1248 | 625 | 623 | 799 | 449 | 404 | 491 | 353 |
| Labor | 27% | 27% | 27% | 26% | 30% | 31% | 29% | 20% |
| Liberal/National | 51% | 49% | 53% | 54% | 46% | 46% | 48% | 59% |
| Greens | 12% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 15% | 12% | 8% |
| Independent/Other | 11% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 15% | 7% | 11% | 13% |
| 2PP | ||||||||
| Labor | 41% | 42% | 40% | 39% | 44% | 46% | 43% | 32% |
| Liberal/National | 59% | 58% | 60% | 61% | 56% | 54% | 57% | 68% |
2PP, Election, Federal Election, Greens, Labor, Liberal, National, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
1910 sample size
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Liberal | 36% | 41% | 41% | 42% | 40% |
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 39% | 44% | 44% | 45% | 43% |
| Labor | 43% | 38% | 39% | 40% | 42% |
| Greens | 9% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% |
| Other/Independent | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Total Lib/Nat | 46% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 49% |
| Labor | 54% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 51% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.
Greens, Labor, Liberal, National, population
Q. It has been estimated that Australia will have a population of 36 million by 2050. Do you think this will be good or bad for Australia?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Total good | 16% | 17% | 18% | 16% |
| Total bad | 55% | 50% | 63% | 58% |
| Very good | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
| Good | 13% | 13% | 15% | 13% |
| Neither good nor bad | 21% | 26% | 15% | 22% |
| Bad | 32% | 32% | 35% | 36% |
| Very bad | 23% | 18% | 28% | 22% |
| Don’t know | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% |
55% believe that having a population of 36 million by 2050 will be bad for Australia – 16% think it will be good for Australia.
The concern about this level of population is fairly similar across voter groups – although Liberal/National voters (63%) are more likely to think it is bad than Labor voters (50%). Comments »
Greens, Labor, Liberal, National, population
Q. On average, Australia’s population increases by about 300,000 per year (less than 2%). Do you think this is too high, too low or about right?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Too high | 48% | 44% | 52% | 59% |
| Too low | 4% | 3% | 6% | 7% |
| About right | 35% | 39% | 35% | 31% |
| Don’t know | 12% | 13% | 6% | 3% |
Nearly half (48%) believe that the current rate of population growth is too high and only 4% think it is too low – 35% think it is about right.
Labor voters are split (44% too high compared to 42% about right or too low), but a majority of Liberal/National voters (52%) and Greens voters (59%) think it is too high.
Greens, Labor, Liberal, National, parental leave
Q. The Federal Government has recently passed legislation for paid parental leave which provides parents with 18 weeks of paid leave at the minimum wage of $543 a week. Do you approve or disapprove of this decision?
| Total approve | 55% |
| Total disapprove | 33% |
| Strongly approve | 21% |
| Approve | 34% |
| Disapprove | 18% |
| Strongly disapprove | 15% |
| Don’t know | 11% |
55% approved the Government’s paid parental leave scheme and 33% dispproved. Support was weaker among Liberal/National voters – 48% approve/43% disapprove. Labor voters split 64%/29% and Greens 68%/23%.
Younger respondent were much more supportive than older respondents – among those aged under 35, 75% approved and 9% disapproved.
41% of those aged 55+ approved and 53% disapproved. Women (58%/32%) were a little more supportive than men (53%/35%). Comments »
2PP, Election, Family First, Federal, Greens, Independent, Labor, Liberal, National, Polling, Voting intention
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
1,850 sample size
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Liberal | 32% | 41% | 39% | 38% | 38% |
| National | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 35% | 43% | 41% | 40% | 41% |
| Labor | 46% | 38% | 39% | 37% | 35% |
| Greens | 10% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 14% |
| Family First | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% |
| Other/Independent | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8 |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Total Lib/Nat | 42% | 50% | 49% | 48% | 49% |
| Labor | 58% | 50% | 51% | 52% | 51% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.
* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data.
Comments »
Democrats, Family First, Greens, Labor, Liberal, National, Party ID
Q. Now regardless of your present view of things, which federal party do you normally consider yourself closest to?
| % | |
| Labor | 40% |
| Liberal | 32% |
| National | 3% |
| Greens | 6% |
| Democrats | 2% |
| Family First | 2% |
| Independent or other party | 3% |
| Don’t know | 11% |
40% of those surveyed indicated the party they normally consider themselves closest to is Labor, 35% indicated Liberal/National, 6% Greens and 11% don’t know. Comments »
2PP, Federal Election, Greens, Labor, Liberal, National, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
*1979 sample size
| 2 week average | % | 2PP | 2PP shift from last week |
| Liberal | 31% | ||
| National | 4% | ||
| Total Lib/Nat | 35% | 42% | -3% |
| Labor | 47% | 58% | +3% |
| Greens | 8% | ||
| Family First | 3% | ||
| Other/Independent | 7% |
NB. The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.
* Sample is the culmination of two week’s data.