Time for Covid-19 milestones to occur for NSW
Q. How long do you think it will take for the following to occur in NSW?
| This week
19/07 |
Two weeks up to one month | One month up to six months | Seven months up to one year | One to two years | More than two years | Never |
| The Covid-19 outbreak in NSW is controlled | 46% | 33% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 4% |
| The lockdown in Greater Sydney is lifted | 62% | 28% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 2% |
| The lockdown in other affected areas in NSW is lifted (e.g. Blue Mountains, Central Coast, Wollongong and Shellharbour) | 71% | 20% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
- 46% of people think the Covid-19 outbreak in NSW will be controlled within a month. A further third (33%) think this will most likely happen within six months.
- Most Australians are optimistic the NSW lockdown will be lifted within a month (62% in Greater Sydney and 71% in other affected areas of NSW).
| NSW | Two weeks up to one month | |
| 19/07 | 05/07 | |
| The Covid-19 outbreak in NSW is controlled | 47% | 50% |
| The lockdown in Greater Sydney is lifted | 62% | 76% |
| The lockdown in other affected areas in NSW is lifted (e.g. Blue Mountains, Central Coast, Wollongong and Shellharbour) | 69% | 77% |
| Base (n) | 354 | 553 |
- Most of those in NSW still expect the lockdown to be lifted within a month (62% in Greater Sydney and 69% in other affected areas of NSW), however this is less compared to the proportion who thought this two weeks ago (76% and 77% respectively).
Speed of NSW lockdown
Q. Overall, do you think NSW moved too quickly, too slowly or at about the right speed in terms of enforcing lockdown restrictions?
[ASKED TO RESPONDENTS IN NSW ONLY]
| Total | Gender | Age Group | Federal Voting Intention | |||||||
| Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-54 | 55+ | Labor | TOTAL: Coalition | Greens | TOTAL: Other | ||
| Moved too quickly | 10% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 21% |
| About the right speed | 51% | 50% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 51% | 41% | 62% | 49% | 44% |
| Moved too slowly | 39% | 41% | 38% | 35% | 41% | 41% | 50% | 30% | 43% | 35% |
| Base (n) | 553 | 268 | 285 | 147 | 203 | 203 | 182 | 226 | 41 | 44 |
- Half of NSW residents think the state government imposed Covid-19 lockdowns at the right speed (51%), 39% think the decision was too slow and 10% think it was made too quickly.
- Coalition voters are most likely to think the government acted at the right speed (62%), while Labor and Greens voters are most likely to say it was too slow (50% and 43%).
Time for Covid-19 milestones to occur for NSW
Q. How long do you think it will take for the following to occur in NSW?
[ASKED TO RESPONDENTS IN NSW ONLY]
| Two weeks up to one month | One month up to six months | Seven months up to one year | One to two years | More than two years | Never | |
| The Covid-19 outbreak in NSW is controlled | 50% | 18% | 7% | 10% | 7% | 7% |
| The lockdown in Greater Sydney is lifted | 76% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| The lockdown in other affected areas in NSW is lifted (e.g. Blue Mountains, Central Coast, Wollongong and Shellharbour) | 77% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Interstate travel will be allowed without restriction | 38% | 26% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 5% |
| Quarantine will no longer be required after interstate travel | 32% | 20% | 13% | 15% | 12% | 7% |
| The Covid-19 vaccine rollout will be completed in NSW | 14% | 14% | 28% | 24% | 12% | 8% |
- Most participants in NSW expect the lockdown restriction to be eased in the next month (76% in Sydney and 77% in other areas of NSW).
- Most think interstate travel will be allowed either within the next month (38%) or within 6 months (26%). A similar proportion also think there will be no quarantine requirements after this time (32% within the month, 20% within 6 months).
- 28% think the vaccine rollout will not be completed in under a year, 24% think it will take 1-2 years and 12% think it will take over 2 years.
Performance of State Premiers
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job <NAME> is doing as State Premier?
[Only asked in NSW, VIC, QLD, SA and WA]
|
|
Gladys Berejiklian
NSW |
Daniel Andrews
VIC |
Annastacia Palaszczuk
QLD |
Mark McGowan
WA |
| Strongly approve | 28% | 29% | 28% | 45% |
| Approve | 40% | 31% | 37% | 33% |
| Disapprove | 13% | 15% | 16% | 6% |
| Strongly disapprove | 8% | 18% | 8% | 7% |
| Don’t know | 11% | 6% | 11% | 10% |
| TOTAL: Approve | 68% | 61% | 65% | 78% |
| TOTAL: Disapprove | 21% | 33% | 24% | 12% |
| Base (n) | 345 | 275 | 209 | 102 |
| RESULTS FROM 19/10/20
|
Gladys Berejiklian
NSW |
Daniel Andrews
VIC |
Annastacia Palaszczuk
QLD |
Mark McGowan
WA |
| Strongly approve | 27% | 25% | 23% | 53% |
| Approve | 41% | 29% | 39% | 31% |
| Disapprove | 14% | 16% | 12% | 6% |
| Strongly disapprove | 9% | 24% | 15% | 1% |
| Don’t know | 11% | 6% | 10% | 10% |
| TOTAL: Approve | 67% | 54% | 62% | 84% |
| TOTAL: Disapprove | 22% | 40% | 28% | 7% |
| Base (n) | 352 | 274 | 217 | 105 |
- In NSW, Gladys Berejiklian has maintained her approval ratings over the past two weeks with 68% approval (67% earlier in October).
- After the easing of lockdown restrictions, Daniel Andrews has seen his approval rating increase from 54% to 61%. He still has the highest disapproval of State premiers however (33%), but lower than 40% disapproval earlier in the month.
- On the eve of her Queensland election victory, Annastacia Palaszczuk had 65% approval.
Pauline Hanson in Parliament
Q. Pauline Hanson has announced she will run for the Senate in New South Wales in the next Federal election. How likely would Pauline Hanson be to make a positive contribution to Federal Parliament?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
Julian Assange Apr 13 |
|
| Total likely |
30% |
27% |
34% |
13% |
32% |
||
| Total not likely |
58% |
62% |
58% |
78% |
50% |
||
| Very likely |
10% |
7% |
10% |
4% |
12% |
||
| Somewhat likely |
20% |
20% |
24% |
9% |
20% |
||
| Not very likely |
20% |
17% |
24% |
23% |
25% |
||
| Not at all likely |
38% |
45% |
34% |
55% |
25% |
||
| Don’t know |
12% |
11% |
8% |
8% |
17% |
30% think it is very or somewhat likely that Pauline Hanson would make a positive contribution if elected to Federal Parliament and 58% think it is not very or not at all likely. Those most likely to think she would make a positive contribution were Liberal/National voters (34%), voters for other parties or independents (48%) and those on incomes less than $600pw (38%).
When a similar question was asked about Julian Assange in April, 32% thought it likely he would make a positive contribution and 50% thought it not likely.
Updated: NSW State Voting Intention
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| First preference /leaning to | Total | Men | Women | Sydney | Other NSW | Aged 18-34 | Aged 35-54 | Aged 55+ |
| Sample | 971 | 481 | 490 | 622 | 349 | 309 | 391 | 271 |
| Labor | 23% | 23% | 24% | 20% | 29% | 21% | 24% | 25% |
| Liberal/National | 55% | 56% | 53% | 60% | 46% | 55% | 54% | 55% |
| Greens | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 14% | 9% | 9% |
| Independent/Other | 11% | 10% | 12% | 10% | 15% | 10% | 13% | 11% |
| 2PP | ||||||||
| Labor | 34% | 33% | 35% | 29% | 42% | 32% | 35% | 34% |
| Liberal/National | 66% | 67% | 65% | 71% | 58% | 68% | 65% | 66% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 3-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by separately distributing the votes of the Greens and the Independents/other parties according to their preferences at the previous election. This calculation excludes exhausted votes.
NSW State Voting Intention
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| First preference /leaning to | Total | Men | Women | Sydney | Other NSW | Aged 18-34 | Aged 35-54 | Aged 55+ |
| Sample | 967 | 483 | 484 | 615 | 352 | 300 | 396 | 271 |
| Labor | 24% | 24% | 23% | 21% | 27% | 25% | 23% | 23% |
| Liberal/National | 54% | 54% | 53% | 57% | 47% | 50% | 53% | 58% |
| Greens | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 9% |
| Independent/Other | 11% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 13% | 10% | 11% | 11% |
| 2PP | ||||||||
| Labor | 35% | 35% | 35% | 31% | 41% | 38% | 35% | 32% |
| Liberal/National | 65% | 65% | 65% | 69% | 59% | 62% | 65% | 68% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 3-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by separately distributing the votes of the Greens and the Independents/other parties according to their preferences at the previous election. This calculation excludes exhausted votes.
NSW State Voting Intention
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| First preference/leaning to
(sample) |
Jan/Feb 2011
(1,247) |
Sept/Oct 10
(1,953) |
Election
Mar 07 |
Change |
| Liberal/National | 51% | 50% | 37.0% | +14.0% |
| Labor | 27% | 29% | 39.0% | -12.0% |
| Greens | 12% | 11% | 9.0% | +3.0% |
| Other/Independent | 11% | 10% | 15.0% | -4.0% |
| 2PP | Jan/Feb 2011 | Sept/Oct 10 | Election
Mar 07 |
Change |
| Liberal/National | 59% | 58% | 47.7% | +11.3% |
| Labor | 41% | 42% | 52.3% | -11.3% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 4-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the previous election.
COVID-19 RESEARCH
Read Essential's ongoing research on the public response to Covid-19.
Essential Report
In this week's report:
- Federal voting intention
- Leader attributes: Scott Morrison
- Federal government response to Covid-19
- State government response to Covid-19
- Uptake of a Covid-19 vaccine
- Reason those who would get vaccinated against Covid-19 have not been vaccinated yet
- Speed of NSW lockdown
- Time for Covid-19 milestones to occur for NSW
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