Performance of State Premiers
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job <NAME> is doing as State Premier?
[Only asked in NSW, VIC, QLD, SA and WA]
|
|
Gladys Berejiklian
NSW |
Daniel Andrews
VIC |
Annastacia Palaszczuk
QLD |
Mark McGowan
WA |
| Strongly approve | 28% | 29% | 28% | 45% |
| Approve | 40% | 31% | 37% | 33% |
| Disapprove | 13% | 15% | 16% | 6% |
| Strongly disapprove | 8% | 18% | 8% | 7% |
| Don’t know | 11% | 6% | 11% | 10% |
| TOTAL: Approve | 68% | 61% | 65% | 78% |
| TOTAL: Disapprove | 21% | 33% | 24% | 12% |
| Base (n) | 345 | 275 | 209 | 102 |
| RESULTS FROM 19/10/20
|
Gladys Berejiklian
NSW |
Daniel Andrews
VIC |
Annastacia Palaszczuk
QLD |
Mark McGowan
WA |
| Strongly approve | 27% | 25% | 23% | 53% |
| Approve | 41% | 29% | 39% | 31% |
| Disapprove | 14% | 16% | 12% | 6% |
| Strongly disapprove | 9% | 24% | 15% | 1% |
| Don’t know | 11% | 6% | 10% | 10% |
| TOTAL: Approve | 67% | 54% | 62% | 84% |
| TOTAL: Disapprove | 22% | 40% | 28% | 7% |
| Base (n) | 352 | 274 | 217 | 105 |
- In NSW, Gladys Berejiklian has maintained her approval ratings over the past two weeks with 68% approval (67% earlier in October).
- After the easing of lockdown restrictions, Daniel Andrews has seen his approval rating increase from 54% to 61%. He still has the highest disapproval of State premiers however (33%), but lower than 40% disapproval earlier in the month.
- On the eve of her Queensland election victory, Annastacia Palaszczuk had 65% approval.
Pauline Hanson in Parliament
Q. Pauline Hanson has announced she will run for the Senate in New South Wales in the next Federal election. How likely would Pauline Hanson be to make a positive contribution to Federal Parliament?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
Julian Assange Apr 13 |
|
| Total likely |
30% |
27% |
34% |
13% |
32% |
||
| Total not likely |
58% |
62% |
58% |
78% |
50% |
||
| Very likely |
10% |
7% |
10% |
4% |
12% |
||
| Somewhat likely |
20% |
20% |
24% |
9% |
20% |
||
| Not very likely |
20% |
17% |
24% |
23% |
25% |
||
| Not at all likely |
38% |
45% |
34% |
55% |
25% |
||
| Don’t know |
12% |
11% |
8% |
8% |
17% |
30% think it is very or somewhat likely that Pauline Hanson would make a positive contribution if elected to Federal Parliament and 58% think it is not very or not at all likely. Those most likely to think she would make a positive contribution were Liberal/National voters (34%), voters for other parties or independents (48%) and those on incomes less than $600pw (38%).
When a similar question was asked about Julian Assange in April, 32% thought it likely he would make a positive contribution and 50% thought it not likely.
Updated: NSW State Voting Intention
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| First preference /leaning to | Total | Men | Women | Sydney | Other NSW | Aged 18-34 | Aged 35-54 | Aged 55+ |
| Sample | 971 | 481 | 490 | 622 | 349 | 309 | 391 | 271 |
| Labor | 23% | 23% | 24% | 20% | 29% | 21% | 24% | 25% |
| Liberal/National | 55% | 56% | 53% | 60% | 46% | 55% | 54% | 55% |
| Greens | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 14% | 9% | 9% |
| Independent/Other | 11% | 10% | 12% | 10% | 15% | 10% | 13% | 11% |
| 2PP | ||||||||
| Labor | 34% | 33% | 35% | 29% | 42% | 32% | 35% | 34% |
| Liberal/National | 66% | 67% | 65% | 71% | 58% | 68% | 65% | 66% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 3-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by separately distributing the votes of the Greens and the Independents/other parties according to their preferences at the previous election. This calculation excludes exhausted votes.
NSW State Voting Intention
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| First preference /leaning to | Total | Men | Women | Sydney | Other NSW | Aged 18-34 | Aged 35-54 | Aged 55+ |
| Sample | 967 | 483 | 484 | 615 | 352 | 300 | 396 | 271 |
| Labor | 24% | 24% | 23% | 21% | 27% | 25% | 23% | 23% |
| Liberal/National | 54% | 54% | 53% | 57% | 47% | 50% | 53% | 58% |
| Greens | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 9% |
| Independent/Other | 11% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 13% | 10% | 11% | 11% |
| 2PP | ||||||||
| Labor | 35% | 35% | 35% | 31% | 41% | 38% | 35% | 32% |
| Liberal/National | 65% | 65% | 65% | 69% | 59% | 62% | 65% | 68% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 3-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by separately distributing the votes of the Greens and the Independents/other parties according to their preferences at the previous election. This calculation excludes exhausted votes.
NSW State Voting Intention
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| First preference/leaning to
(sample) |
Jan/Feb 2011
(1,247) |
Sept/Oct 10
(1,953) |
Election
Mar 07 |
Change |
| Liberal/National | 51% | 50% | 37.0% | +14.0% |
| Labor | 27% | 29% | 39.0% | -12.0% |
| Greens | 12% | 11% | 9.0% | +3.0% |
| Other/Independent | 11% | 10% | 15.0% | -4.0% |
| 2PP | Jan/Feb 2011 | Sept/Oct 10 | Election
Mar 07 |
Change |
| Liberal/National | 59% | 58% | 47.7% | +11.3% |
| Labor | 41% | 42% | 52.3% | -11.3% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 4-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the previous election.
NSW State Voting Intention – Demographic Analysis
| First preference /leaning to | Total | Men | Women | Sydney | Other NSW | 18-34 | 35-54 | 55+ |
| Sample | 1248 | 625 | 623 | 799 | 449 | 404 | 491 | 353 |
| Labor | 27% | 27% | 27% | 26% | 30% | 31% | 29% | 20% |
| Liberal/National | 51% | 49% | 53% | 54% | 46% | 46% | 48% | 59% |
| Greens | 12% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 15% | 12% | 8% |
| Independent/Other | 11% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 15% | 7% | 11% | 13% |
| 2PP | ||||||||
| Labor | 41% | 42% | 40% | 39% | 44% | 46% | 43% | 32% |
| Liberal/National | 59% | 58% | 60% | 61% | 56% | 54% | 57% | 68% |
NSW – voting intention
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,953
| First preference/leaning to | Total | Election
Mar 07 |
Change |
| Liberal | 47% | 26.9% | |
| National | 3% | 10.1% | |
| Total Lib/Nat | 50% | 37.0% | +13.0% |
| Labor | 29% | 39.0% | -10.0% |
| Greens | 11% | 9.0% | +2.0% |
| Other/Independent | 10% | 15.0% | -5.0% |
| 2PP | Total | Election
Mar 07 |
Change |
| Total Lib/Nat | 58% | 47.7% | +10.3% |
| Labor | 42% | 52.3% | -10.3% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 6-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the previous election. Comments »
Special Essential Report – Federal Voting Intention by State
Q. The Federal Election will be held on 21 August – to which party will you probably give your first preference in the House of Representatives? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to for the House of Representatives?
First preference
| Total | NSW | Victoria | Queensland | SA | WA | |
| Liberal | 40% | 42% | 37% | 42% | 39% | 47% |
| National | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | – | 2% |
| Coalition | 43% | 46% | 40% | 46% | 40% | 49% |
| Labor | 40% | 38% | 43% | 36% | 39% | 37% |
| Greens | 10% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 10% |
| Others | 7% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 5% |
2PP
| Total | NSW | Victoria | Queensland | SA | WA | |
| Liberal/National | 49% | 52% | 45% | 53% | 46% | 53% |
| Labor | 51% | 48% | 55% | 47% | 54% | 47% |
| Labor 2PP 2007 election | 52.7% | 53.7% | 54.3% | 50.4% | 52.4% | 46.7% |
| Shift in Labor vote since 2007 election | -1.7 | -5.7 | +0.7 | -3.4 | +1.6 | +0.3 |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 3-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.
COVID-19 RESEARCH
Read Essential's ongoing research on the public response to Covid-19.
Download this week's ReportEssential Report
Two Party Preferred:
In this week's report:
- Performance of Scott Morrison
- Performance of Anthony Albanese
- Preferred Prime Minister
- Top Federal Government priorities for 2021
- Uptake of a Covid-19 vaccine
- Perceptions of change in the standard of living for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples
- Changing views towards Australia Day
- Support towards a separate national day
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