Essential Report

Voting intention – NSW

Mar 26, 2015
 

Election

Mar 2011

 

Mar 2014

Sample

 

659

First preference vote

 

Liberal/National

51.1%

44%

Labor

25.6%

36%

Greens

10.3%

9%

Other/Independent

13.0%

11%

2PP
Liberal/National

64.2%

53%

Labor

35.8%

47%

NB. Respondents who selected ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate has been calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties based on an estimate of preference flows at previous elections.

Updated: NSW State Voting Intention

Mar 23, 2011

Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

First preference /leaning to Total Men Women Sydney Other NSW Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+
Sample 971 481 490 622 349 309 391 271
Labor 23% 23% 24% 20% 29% 21% 24% 25%
Liberal/National 55% 56% 53% 60% 46% 55% 54% 55%
Greens 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% 14% 9% 9%
Independent/Other 11% 10% 12% 10% 15% 10% 13% 11%
2PP
Labor 34% 33% 35% 29% 42% 32% 35% 34%
Liberal/National 66% 67% 65% 71% 58% 68% 65% 66%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 3-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by separately distributing the votes of the Greens and the Independents/other parties according to their preferences at the previous election. This calculation excludes exhausted votes.

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NSW State Voting Intention

Mar 18, 2011

Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

First preference /leaning to Total Men Women Sydney Other NSW Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+
Sample 967 483 484 615 352 300 396 271
Labor 24% 24% 23% 21% 27% 25% 23% 23%
Liberal/National 54% 54% 53% 57% 47% 50% 53% 58%
Greens 12% 12% 13% 12% 13% 15% 13% 9%
Independent/Other 11% 10% 11% 9% 13% 10% 11% 11%
2PP
Labor 35% 35% 35% 31% 41% 38% 35% 32%
Liberal/National 65% 65% 65% 69% 59% 62% 65% 68%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 3-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by separately distributing the votes of the Greens and the Independents/other parties according to their preferences at the previous election. This calculation excludes exhausted votes.

Comments »

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