|
Election Mar 2011 |
|
Mar 2014 |
|
| Sample |
|
659 |
|
| First preference vote |
|
||
| Liberal/National |
51.1% |
44% |
|
| Labor |
25.6% |
36% |
|
| Greens |
10.3% |
9% |
|
| Other/Independent |
13.0% |
11% |
|
| 2PP | |||
| Liberal/National |
64.2% |
53% |
|
| Labor |
35.8% |
47% |
NB. Respondents who selected ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate has been calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties based on an estimate of preference flows at previous elections.
2PP, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, Greens, Independent, Labor, Liberal, NSW, NSW 2PP, NSW Election, NSW vote, NSW voting intention, Polling, polls, Voting intention
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| First preference /leaning to | Total | Men | Women | Sydney | Other NSW | Aged 18-34 | Aged 35-54 | Aged 55+ |
| Sample | 971 | 481 | 490 | 622 | 349 | 309 | 391 | 271 |
| Labor | 23% | 23% | 24% | 20% | 29% | 21% | 24% | 25% |
| Liberal/National | 55% | 56% | 53% | 60% | 46% | 55% | 54% | 55% |
| Greens | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 14% | 9% | 9% |
| Independent/Other | 11% | 10% | 12% | 10% | 15% | 10% | 13% | 11% |
| 2PP | ||||||||
| Labor | 34% | 33% | 35% | 29% | 42% | 32% | 35% | 34% |
| Liberal/National | 66% | 67% | 65% | 71% | 58% | 68% | 65% | 66% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 3-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by separately distributing the votes of the Greens and the Independents/other parties according to their preferences at the previous election. This calculation excludes exhausted votes.
2PP, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, Greens, Independent, Labor, Liberal, NSW, NSW 2PP, NSW Election, NSW vote, NSW voting intention, Polling, polls, Voting intention
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| First preference /leaning to | Total | Men | Women | Sydney | Other NSW | Aged 18-34 | Aged 35-54 | Aged 55+ |
| Sample | 967 | 483 | 484 | 615 | 352 | 300 | 396 | 271 |
| Labor | 24% | 24% | 23% | 21% | 27% | 25% | 23% | 23% |
| Liberal/National | 54% | 54% | 53% | 57% | 47% | 50% | 53% | 58% |
| Greens | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 9% |
| Independent/Other | 11% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 13% | 10% | 11% | 11% |
| 2PP | ||||||||
| Labor | 35% | 35% | 35% | 31% | 41% | 38% | 35% | 32% |
| Liberal/National | 65% | 65% | 65% | 69% | 59% | 62% | 65% | 68% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 3-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by separately distributing the votes of the Greens and the Independents/other parties according to their preferences at the previous election. This calculation excludes exhausted votes.