11 June 2013, 110613, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,906 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 13/5/13 |
2 weeks ago 27/5/13 |
Last week 3/6/13 |
This week 11/6/13 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
45% |
45% |
44% |
|
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
47% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
34% |
35% |
36% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
10% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 13/5/13 |
2 weeks ago 27/5/13 |
Last week 3/6/13 |
This week 11/6/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
55% |
55% |
55% |
54% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
45% |
45% |
46% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
11 June 2013, 110613, Approval of Julia Gillard
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?
|
19 |
20 |
14 |
12 |
12 |
10 |
14 |
11 |
11 |
15 |
13 |
11 Jun |
||
| Total approve |
52% |
43% |
34% |
34% |
32% |
37% |
41% |
36% |
36% |
34% |
38% |
37% |
|
| Total disapprove |
30% |
40% |
54% |
54% |
56% |
53% |
49% |
55% |
56% |
56% |
54% |
54% |
|
| Strongly approve |
11% |
10% |
6% |
6% |
6% |
10% |
9% |
7% |
8% |
8% |
10% |
10% |
|
| Approve |
41% |
33% |
28% |
28% |
26% |
27% |
32% |
29% |
28% |
26% |
28% |
27% |
|
| Disapprove |
17% |
24% |
29% |
25% |
22% |
25% |
23% |
25% |
24% |
23% |
23% |
21% |
|
| Strongly disapprove |
13% |
16% |
25% |
29% |
34% |
28% |
26% |
30% |
32% |
33% |
31% |
33% |
|
| Don’t know |
18% |
17% |
13% |
11% |
12% |
11% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
Julia Gillard’s approval ratings have changed little in the last month. 37% (down 1%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 54% (unchanged) disapprove – a 1-point change in net rating from -16 to -17 over the last 4 weeks.
79% of Labor voters approve (up 1%) and 14% disapprove (down 2%).
By gender – men 35% approve/58% disapprove, women 39% approve/51% disapprove. In net terms this represents a decline with men (from -21 to -23) and an improvement with women (from -13 to -12).
11 June 2013, 110613, Approval of Tony Abbott
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?
|
18 |
5 Jul
|
20 |
14 June 11 |
12 |
12 |
10 Dec |
14 |
11 |
11 |
15 |
13 |
|
11 Jun |
|
| Total approve |
37% |
37% |
39% |
38% |
32% |
32% |
33% |
33% |
36% |
37% |
37% |
40% |
40% |
|
| Total disapprove |
37% |
47% |
39% |
48% |
53% |
54% |
56% |
57% |
53% |
51% |
52% |
50% |
49% |
|
| Strongly approve |
5% |
8% |
9% |
6% |
6% |
6% |
8% |
8% |
7% |
7% |
8% |
9% |
10% |
|
| Approve |
32% |
29% |
30% |
32% |
26% |
26% |
25% |
25% |
29% |
30% |
29% |
31% |
30% |
|
| Disapprove |
20% |
23% |
21% |
25% |
25% |
24% |
25% |
27% |
22% |
22% |
24% |
18% |
17% |
|
| Strongly disapprove |
17% |
24% |
18% |
23% |
28% |
30% |
31% |
30% |
31% |
29% |
28% |
32% |
32% |
|
| Don’t know |
26% |
16% |
22% |
15% |
14% |
13% |
12% |
10% |
11% |
12% |
10% |
11% |
11% |
Tony Abbott’s approval ratings also remained much the same as last month. 40% (no change) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 49% (down 1%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -10 to -9 over the last 4 weeks, Tony Abbott’s best rating since July 2011.
80% (up 3%) of Coalition voters approve and 11% (down 2%) disapprove.
By gender – men 44% approve/47% disapprove, women 35% approve/52% disapprove. In net terms this represents a shift with men from -7 to -3 and with women from -13 to -17.
11 June 2013, 110613, Better PM, Julia Gillard, tony abbott
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
|
5 |
14 June |
12 Dec |
12 Jun 12 |
10 Dec |
14 Jan 13 |
11 Feb |
11 Mar |
15 Apr |
13 May |
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib |
Vote Greens |
||
| Julia Gillard |
53% |
41% |
39% |
37% |
43% |
42% |
39% |
39% |
37% |
39% |
39% |
82% |
4% |
73% |
|
| Tony Abbott |
26% |
36% |
35% |
37% |
34% |
33% |
37% |
39% |
39% |
41% |
40% |
5% |
84% |
7% |
|
| Don’t know |
21% |
24% |
26% |
26% |
23% |
24% |
24% |
22% |
24% |
20% |
21% |
13% |
12% |
20% |
39% (no change) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 40% (down 1%) prefer Tony Abbott.
Men prefer Tony Abbott 43%/35% and women prefer Julia Gillard 42%/38%.
11 June 2013, 110613, funding of political parties, political donations, public funding
Q. Currently political parties and candidates receive public funding for election campaigning based on their votes at elections. They can also receive funding in the form of donations from individuals, organisations (including unions) and businesses. There is no limit on donations but amounts of more than $12,000 must be publically disclosed.
Do you think political parties and candidates should receive some public funding or should they be totally funded by donations?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Should receive some public funding |
29% |
33% |
27% |
51% |
|
| Should be totally funded by donations |
47% |
41% |
53% |
35% |
|
| Don’t know |
23% |
26% |
20% |
14% |
29% agree that political parties and candidates should receive some public funding and 47% think they should be totally funded by donations.
Those most likely to support some public funding were Greens voters (51%), men (35%), aged 18-34 (34%) and people on incomes over $1,600pw (37%).
11 June 2013, 110613, capped political donations
Q. Should donations to political parties and candidates be unlimited or should it be capped (that is, no organisation or individual should be able to donate more than a specified amount)?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Donations should be unlimited |
17% |
13% |
25% |
10% |
|
| Donations should be capped |
65% |
71% |
61% |
75% |
|
| Don’t know |
17% |
16% |
14% |
15% |
65% think that donations to political parties and candidates should be capped and 17% think they should be unlimited. The highest support for unlimited donations came from Liberal/National voters (25%).
11 June 2013, 110613, disclosure, political donations
Q. At what level should donations to political parties and candidates be publically disclosed?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Donations over $1,000 should be disclosed |
36% |
37% |
30% |
51% |
|
| Donations over $5,000 should be disclosed |
26% |
24% |
30% |
28% |
|
| Donations over $12,000 should be disclosed |
17% |
18% |
19% |
11% |
|
| Donations should not have to be disclosed at all |
5% |
6% |
6% |
1% |
|
| Don’t know |
16% |
15% |
15% |
9% |
Only 5% think that political donations should not have to be disclosed – 79% think they should be disclosed at some level. 36% favour disclosure of donations over $1,000 and a further 26% think they should be disclosed over $5,000.
11 June 2013, 110613, ageism, homophobia, intolerance in australia, Racism, sexism
Q. For each of the following forms of intolerance, please indicate to what extent you think it is a problem in Australia.
|
Sept 12 Total large/ moderate |
|
Total large/ moderate |
A large problem |
Moderate problem |
Small problem |
Not a problem at all |
Don’t know |
|
| Racism |
71% |
69% |
29% |
40% |
24% |
5% |
2% |
|
| Religious intolerance |
65% |
54% |
22% |
32% |
32% |
10% |
4% |
|
| Sexism |
45% |
52% |
18% |
34% |
35% |
11% |
3% |
|
| Homophobia |
50% |
51% |
18% |
33% |
33% |
10% |
5% |
|
| Ageism |
44% |
46% |
16% |
30% |
34% |
11% |
9% |
69% think that racism is a major/moderate problem in Australia – a similar result to when this question was previously asked in September last year. Just over half believe that religious intolerance, sexism and homophobia are major/moderate problems. The percentage thinking religious intolerance is a major/moderate problem has dropped 11 points while those thinking sexism is a major/moderate problem has increased 7 points since September.
Those most likely to think racism a major/moderate problem were women (76%), Greens voters (87%) and Labor voters (75%).
Those most likely to think sexism a major/moderate problem were women (61%), Greens voters (76%) and Labor voters (69%).
Those most likely to think homophobia a major/moderate problem were women (61%), Greens voters (74%), Labor voters (61%) and aged 18-34 (57%).
55% of those aged 55+ think ageism is a major/moderate problem.
There were no substantial differences between groups on views about religious intolerance.