Views towards 2050 net zero emissions target

Feb 16, 2021

Q. In a recent speech, Scott Morrison stated Australia’s goal is to “…reach net zero emissions as soon as possible, and preferably by 2050”.

However, the Prime Minister did not formally commit to this goal or specify how the federal government plans to achieve it.

‘Net zero’ carbon emissions means a situation when Australia’s carbon emissions become less than or equal to the amount of carbon we are removing from the atmosphere.

Which of the following is closer to your view?

  Total Federal Voting Intention
Labor TOTAL: Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
We need to set a target for when we will get carbon emissions down to ‘net zero’, and worry about setting dates for reductions along the way later 32% 36% 31% 38% 33%
It is more important that we set realistic targets for reducing our emissions by 2030, than having a target date for achieving net zero 58% 57% 57% 62% 50%
We shouldn’t have targets for reducing carbon emissions 9% 7% 12% 1% 17%
Base (n) 1,109 359 428 101 131
  • Most people prefer the government to set concrete targets for reducing emissions, rather than setting a target date for achieving net zero emissions in the future.
  • Over half (58%) of people think it is more important that we set realistic targets for reducing our emissions by 2030, than having a target date for achieving net zero. This is the prevalent view across all voting intentions.
  • Just over a third (32%) think we need to set a target for when we will get carbon emissions down to ‘net zero’, and worry about setting dates for reductions along the way later. 9% think we shouldn’t have targets for reducing carbon emissions.

Support towards excluding agriculture from 2050 net zero emissions target

Feb 16, 2021

Q. The deputy PM Michael McCormack says agriculture could be excluded from the new 2050 net zero emissions target because regional Australia is still recovering from drought, bushfires, flood and the Covid-19 pandemic, and this target will “…hurt regional Australia”.

To what extent do you support or oppose this proposition to exclude agriculture from the new 2050 net zero emissions target? 

  Total Federal Voting Intention
  Labor TOTAL: Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
Strongly support 17% 10% 26% 8% 22%
Somewhat support 27% 31% 29% 21% 17%
Somewhat oppose 17% 19% 15% 18% 17%
Strongly oppose 15% 16% 10% 30% 20%
Unsure 24% 24% 20% 22% 23%
TOTAL: Support 44% 41% 55% 29% 39%
TOTAL: Oppose 32% 35% 25% 48% 37%
Base (n) 1,109 359 428 101 131
  • More people support excluding agriculture from the 2050 net zero emissions target than those who oppose this proposition (44% vs 32%).
  • About a quarter (24%) are unsure.
  • Compared to other voters, Greens voters are the most likely to oppose this exclusion (48%) and Coalition voters are the most likely to support it (55%).

Attitudes towards bushfires and climate change

Jan 19, 2021

Q. Thinking about the bushfires in some parts of the country, which of the following statements is closest to your view?

Jan’21 Jan’20 Nov’19 Oct’13
It is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change and it is appropriate to publicly raise this issue 49% 44% 43% 27%
It is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change, but it is inappropriate to publicly raise this issue at this this time 18% 19% 17% 14%
It is unlikely the bushfires are linked to climate change 20% 26% 30% 48%
Don’t know 12% 11% 11% 11%
Base (n) 1,084 1,081 1,083 1,075
  •  Just under half (49%) of people think it is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change and it is appropriate to publicly raise this issue, the highest proportion in the last three years (up from 44% this time last year). Correspondingly, fewer think it is unlikely the bushfires are linked to climate change (20%, down from 26%).
  • About the same amount of people as previous years think it is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change, but it is inappropriate to publicly raise this issue at this this time (18%).
  Total Gender Age Group Federal Voting Intention
  Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Labor TOTAL: Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
It is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change and it is appropriate to publicly raise this issue 49% 49% 50% 49% 51% 48% 58% 42% 65% 42%
It is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change, but it is inappropriate to publicly raise this issue at this this time 18% 20% 16% 26% 17% 12% 15% 20% 24% 17%
It is unlikely the bushfires are linked to climate change 20% 21% 20% 10% 18% 32% 15% 28% 4% 32%
Don’t know 12% 10% 14% 14% 14% 8% 11% 9% 7% 9%
Base (n) 1,084 539 545 341 358 385 334 431 118 106
  •  About a third (32%) of those over 55 think it is unlikely the bushfires are linked to climate change, the highest among the three age brackets.
  • More people aged 18-34 think it is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change, but it is inappropriate to publicly raise this issue at this this time, than those aged 35-54 and those over 55 (26% to 17% and 12% respectively).
  • The view that it is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change and it is appropriate to publicly raise this issue is high; this is highest among Greens voters (65%), followed by Labor voters (58%), Coalition voters (42%) and other voters (42%).
  • Minor and independent party voters and Coalition voters are the most likely to think it is unlikely the bushfires are linked to climate change (32% and 28% respectively).

Climate change acceptance

Jan 19, 2021

Q. Do you believe that there is fairly conclusive evidence that climate change is happening and caused by human activity or do you believe that the evidence is still not in and we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate which happens from time to time?

Jan’21 Jan’20 Nov’19 Mar’19 Oct’18 Sep’17 Aug’16
Climate change is happening and is caused by human activity 58% 56% 61% 62% 63% 64% 57%
We are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate 32% 32% 28% 27% 25% 24% 26%
Don’t know 10% 13% 11% 12% 13% 12% 17%
Base (n) 1,084 1,081 1,083 1,089 1,027 1,011 1,022
  • There has been little shift in attitudes to the acceptance of climate change over recent years. Over half of people (58%) believe climate change is happening and is caused by human activity.
  • Over a third still believe we are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate (32%) and 10% aren’t sure which they believe. 
  Total Gender Age Group Federal Voting Intention
  Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Labor TOTAL: Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
Climate change is happening and is caused by human activity 58% 54% 61% 62% 58% 54% 67% 50% 78% 45%
We are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate 32% 36% 28% 24% 31% 40% 24% 43% 17% 44%
Don’t know 10% 9% 11% 15% 11% 6% 9% 7% 5% 11%
Base (n) 1,084 539 545 341 358 385 334 431 118 106
  • Acceptance that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity is high across all voters, but highest among Greens voters (78%) and Labor voters (67%), followed by Coalition voters (50%) and other voters (45%).
  • Climate change denial is highest among Coalition voters (43%), those over 55 (40%) and men (36%), whom are the most likely to believe we are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate.

Addressing climate change

Jan 19, 2021

Q. As far as you know, do you think Australia is doing enough, not enough or too much to address climate change?

Jan’21 Jan’20 Nov’19 Mar’19 Dec’18 Oct’18 Sep’17 Aug’16
Not doing enough 42% 62% 60% 51% 53% 56% 56% 52%
Doing enough 35% 19% 22% 27% 24% 23% 20% 22%
Doing too much 10% 8% 8% 11% 9% 7% 8% 8%
Don’t know 13% 11% 10% 12% 14% 13% 16% 18%
Base (n) 1,084 1,081 1,083 1,089 1,032 1,027 1,011 1,022
  • Over a third (35%) of people think Australia is doing enough to address climate change, the highest proportion in the last five years.
  • 42% still think not enough is being done, however this is a significant drop from last year (62%) and the years before.
  • 10% think Australia is doing too much to address climate change and 13% don’t know. Both figures are similar to previous years. 
  Total Gender Age Group Federal Voting Intention
  Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Labor TOTAL: Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
Not doing enough 42% 36% 48% 40% 41% 45% 56% 28% 69% 39%
Doing enough 35% 38% 33% 33% 34% 39% 29% 52% 17% 28%
Doing too much 10% 15% 4% 9% 13% 7% 6% 12% 7% 21%
Don’t know 13% 11% 15% 17% 12% 9% 9% 8% 8% 12%
Base (n) 1,084 539 545 341 358 385 334 431 118 106
  • Greens voters are the most likely to think Australia is not doing enough to address climate change (69%), followed by Labor voters (56%).
  • Compared to other voters, Coalition voters are the most likely to think enough is being done (52%), and those voting for minor and independent parties are the most likely to think Australia is doing too much for climate change (21%).
  • Women are more likely to think not enough is being done to address climate change than men (48% to 36% respectively).

Support for government action on climate change

Dec 1, 2020

Q. To what extent would you support or oppose the following policy proposals if they were adopted by the Federal Government?

TOTAL: Support Nov’20 Jan’20
Requiring mining companies to fund bushfire hazard reduction 80% 68%
Setting a zero-carbon pollution target for 2030 75% 64%
Setting a zero-carbon pollution target for 2050 81% 71%
Ban all political donations from fossil fuel companies 72% 62%
Accelerate development of new industries and jobs that are powered by renewable energy 87% 81%
New coal mines opening in Australia 49%
The fossil fuel industry receiving taxpayer funded subsidies 42%
  • Support for government action on climate change has increased since earlier this year across the policy proposals put forward.
  TOTAL: Support TOTAL: Oppose Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose
Requiring mining companies to fund bushfire hazard reduction 80% 20% 31% 49% 15% 5%
Setting a zero-carbon pollution target for 2030 75% 25% 35% 40% 16% 8%
Setting a zero-carbon pollution target for 2050 81% 19% 36% 44% 13% 7%
Ban all political donations from fossil fuel companies 72% 28% 30% 42% 21% 7%
Accelerate development of new industries and jobs that are powered by renewable energy 87% 13% 44% 43% 9% 4%
New coal mines opening in Australia 49% 51% 15% 34% 27% 24%
The fossil fuel industry receiving taxpayer funded subsidies 42% 58% 11% 31% 34% 24%
  • 87% would support accelerating development of new industries and jobs that are powered by renewable energy and 80% would support requiring mining companies to fund bushfire hazard reduction.
  • 81% would support setting a zero-carbon pollution target for 2050 and 75% would support setting this target for 2030.
  • The most contentious issues are new coal mines opening in Australia (49% support vs 51% oppose) and the fossil fuel industry receiving taxpayer funded subsidies (42% support vs 58% oppose), where we see more of a divide between support and opposition compared to other policy proposals.
TOTAL: Support Total Gender Age Group Federal Voting Intention
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Labor TOTAL: Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
Requiring mining companies to fund bushfire hazard reduction 80% 75% 85% 76% 83% 80% 82% 79% 88% 77%
Setting a zero-carbon pollution target for 2030 75% 69% 81% 74% 81% 72% 82% 67% 93% 74%
Setting a zero-carbon pollution target for 2050 81% 78% 83% 81% 84% 77% 88% 75% 88% 72%
Ban all political donations from fossil fuel companies 72% 71% 73% 71% 78% 67% 74% 65% 87% 75%
Accelerate development of new industries and jobs that are powered by renewable energy 87% 84% 89% 81% 88% 91% 88% 87% 92% 82%
New coal mines opening in Australia 49% 56% 42% 53% 54% 41% 43% 57% 23% 52%
The fossil fuel industry receiving taxpayer funded subsidies 42% 43% 40% 48% 48% 29% 41% 44% 23% 40%
Base (n) 1,034 528 506 329 320 385 322 430 88 107
  • Support for government action on climate change is higher among women compared to men, especially regarding setting a zero-carbon pollution target for 2030 (81% to 69%) and requiring mining companies to fund bushfire hazard reduction (85% to 75%). Women are less likely than men to support the opening of new coal mines (49% to 56%).
  • Coalition voters have the highest support for opening new coal mines (57% compared to 52% minor party voters, 43% Labor voters and 23% Greens voters).

Relative concern for the climate change

Mar 31, 2020

Q. Considering everything which has happened so far this year, are you now more or less concerned about the impact of climate change than you were a year ago?

    Gender Age Group Location
Total Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Capital Non-Capital
More concerned about the impact of climate change 31% 32% 30% 41% 27% 27% 34% 25%
No more or less concerned about the impact of climate change 53% 49% 56% 45% 56% 56% 50% 58%
Less concerned about the impact of climate change 16% 19% 14% 14% 17% 17% 16% 17%
Base (n) 1,086 539 547 341 362 383 727 359

Addressing Climate Change

Mar 31, 2020

Q. As far as you know, do you think Australia is doing enough, not enough or too much to address climate change?

  Mar’20 Nov’19 Mar’19 Dec’18 Oct’18 Sep’17 Aug’16
Doing enough 23% 22% 27% 24% 23% 20% 22%
Not doing enough 55% 60% 51% 53% 56% 56% 52%
Doing too much 9% 8% 11% 9% 7% 8% 8%
Don’t know 13% 10% 12% 14% 13% 16% 18%
Base (n) 1,086 1,083 1,089 1,032 1,027 1,011 1,022

 

    Gender Age Group Voting Intention
Total Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
Doing enough 23% 26% 21% 19% 24% 26% 18% 36% 8% 20%
Not doing enough 55% 51% 59% 63% 54% 49% 66% 37% 86% 52%
Doing too much 9% 12% 5% 7% 6% 13% 5% 13% 2% 15%
Don’t know 13% 11% 16% 12% 15% 12% 11% 14% 4% 14%
Base (n) 1,086 539 547 341 362 383 328 372 95 146

 

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