Climate change and bushfires

Oct 29, 2013

Q. Thinking about the bushfires in New South Wales, which of the following statements is closest to your view?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

It likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change and it is appropriate to publicly raise this issue

27%

41%

13%

64%

22%

It likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change but it is inappropriate to publicly raise this issue at this time

14%

14%

15%

9%

9%

It is unlikely the bushfires are linked to climate change

48%

37%

63%

19%

62%

Don’t know

11%

8%

9%

7%

7%

41% think that the NSW bushfires are likely to be linked to climate change and 48% think it unlikely they are linked to climate change. 27% think they are linked and it is appropriate to raise this issue while 14% think they are linked but it is inappropriate to raise this issue at this time.

Those most likely to think the bushfires and climate change are linked were aged under 35 (49%), Labor voters (55%), Greens voters (73%) and those with university education (53%).

Those who think it is unlikely they are linked tended to be aged 55+ (61%), Liberal/National voters (63%) and those who had not completed secondary education (60%).

Actions on climate change

Oct 29, 2013

Q. Which of the following actions on climate change do you most support?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Keeping the carbon tax

15%

30%

2%

44%

4%

Replacing the carbon tax with an emissions trading scheme

21%

25%

15%

35%

24%

Replacing the carbon tax with the Liberal’s “direct action” plan

15%

2%

28%

3%

19%

Dumping the carbon tax and not replacing it at all

31%

25%

41%

5%

35%

Don’t know

18%

18%

14%

14%

17%

31% think the carbon tax should be dumped and not replaced, 21% support replacing it with an emissions trading scheme, 15% prefer the Liberal’s “direct action” plan and 15% think the Government should keep the carbon tax.

Those most likely to support keeping the tax or changing to an emissions trading scheme were Labor voters (55%) and Greens voters (79%), people aged under 25 (59%) and those with a university education (45%).

Those most likely to think the carbon tax should be dumped and not replaced were Liberal/National voters (41%) and those who had no post-secondary education (42%). Only 28% of Liberal/National voters preferred the Liberal’s “direct action” plan.

Climate change

Oct 1, 2013

Q. Do you believe that there is fairly conclusive evidence that climate change is happening and caused by human activity or do you believe that the evidence is still not in and we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate which happens from time to time?

 

Nov 09

Dec 10

30 May 11

14 Jun

15 Oct 12

 29 Jan 13

27 May

 

Total

1 Oct

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Climate change is happening and is caused by human activity

53%

45%

52%

50%

48%

51%

51%

52%

67%

36%

82%

We are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate

34%

36%

36%

39%

39%

40%

35%

36%

22%

51%

10%

Don’t know

13%

19%

12%

12%

13%

9%

14%

12%

10%

12%

8%

52% agree that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity and 36% believe that we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate. This is a similar result to when this question was previously asked in May.

By age groups, those aged under 35 split 61%/25% and those aged 55+ split 42%/48%. People with higher education were more likely to think climate change is happening and is caused by human activity – those with university degrees split 64%/27%.

Other issue of most concern

Sep 2, 2013

Q. And which of these other issues are you personally most concerned about?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Border security

30%

20%

48%

5%

Climate change

16%

23%

5%

45%

Population growth

12%

10%

13%

4%

Marriage equality

9%

11%

4%

24%

Treatment of the aged

17%

21%

16%

12%

Treatment of the disabled

7%

10%

4%

7%

None of them

5%

3%

7%

4%

Don’t know

4%

2%

3%

30% were most concerned about border security, 17% treatment of the aged and 16% climate change.

Border security (48%) was the main issue of concern to Liberal/National voters and 45% of Greens voters nominated climate change.

Party leader trust most on issues

Aug 5, 2013

Q.  Which party leader – Kevin Rudd or Tony Abbott – would you trust most to handle the following issues?

 

Kevin Rudd

Tony Abbott

No difference

Don’t know

Net difference

Difference for parties

23 Jul 13

Management of the economy

32%

35%

21%

11%

-3

-15

Ensuring a quality education for all children

41%

25%

24%

10%

+16

+9

Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system

37%

27%

25%

11%

+10

+1

Protecting the environment

33%

22%

31%

14%

+11

na

A fair industrial relations system

41%

28%

19%

12%

+13

+11

Political leadership

37%

32%

22%

9%

+5

-7

Addressing climate change

35%

21%

31%

13%

+14

na

Controlling interest rates

24%

32%

32%

12%

-8

-14

Australian jobs and protection of local industries

32%

30%

25%

13%

+2

-1

Ensuring a quality water supply

26%

23%

36%

15%

+3

-7

Housing affordability

26%

25%

34%

15%

+1

-2

Ensuring a fair taxation system

31%

32%

26%

11%

-1

-2

Security and the war on terrorism

25%

29%

33%

13%

-4

-15

Treatment of asylum seekers

26%

31%

32%

11%

-5

-11

Managing population growth

21%

28%

37%

15%

-7

-13

Substantially more respondents said they would trust Kevin Rudd more than Tony Abbott to handle a quality education for all children, a fair industrial relations system, addressing climate change, protecting the environment and ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system. Tony Abbott is more trusted to control interest rates and manage population growth.

When compared with a similar question about trust in the parties asked last month, Kevin Rudd rates considerably better that the Labor Party on management of the economy, political leadership and security and the war on terrorism.

Climate change

May 27, 2013

Q. Do you believe that there is fairly conclusive evidence that climate change is happening and caused by human activity or do you believe that the evidence is still not in and we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate which happens from time to time?

 

Nov 09

Dec 10

30 May 11

14 Jun

15
Oct
12

 29 Jan 13

Total
27
May

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Climate change is happening and is caused by human activity

53%

45%

52%

50%

48%

51%

51%

68%

38%

83%

We are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate

34%

36%

36%

39%

39%

40%

35%

23%

50%

10%

Don’t know

13%

19%

12%

12%

13%

9%

14%

9%

12%

8%

51% agree that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity and 35% believe that we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate. This is a five point decline in those thinking it is just a fluctuation in the earth’s climate since this question was previously asked in January.

By age groups, those aged under 35 split 60%/22% and those aged 55+ split 42%/49%. People on higher incomes were more likely to think climate change is happening and is caused by human activity – those earning under $600pw split 42%/44% while those earning over $1,600pw split 54%/34%.

Climate change policies

May 27, 2013

Q. If they win the election the Liberal Party plans to dump the carbon tax and replace it with what they call a “direct action” plan which involves planting trees and paying companies to reduce their carbon pollution. Which approach to climate change would you favour?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

The Government’s tax on the largest polluting companies to encourage them to reduce carbon pollution

39%

67%

20%

63%

The Liberal’s policy to plant trees and pay companies to reduce carbon pollution

29%

9%

49%

15%

Neither

18%

11%

23%

14%

Don’t know

14%

13%

8%

8%

39% favour the Government’s policy on addressing climate change and 29% favour the Liberal Party’s “direct action” plan. 18% do not support either approach.

The Government’s approach had strongest support from Labor voters (67%), Greens voters (63%) and people aged under 35 (44%).

The Liberal Party’s plan had strongest support from Liberal/National voters (49%) and people aged 65+ (45%).

Important election issues

Feb 11, 2013

Q.  Which are the three most important issues in deciding how you would vote at a Federal election?

 

Total

11 Feb 13

19 Nov 12

30 Jul 12

5 Dec 11

6 June 11

25 Jan 10

Management of the economy

62%

66%

64%

62%

61%

63%

Ensuring a quality education for all children

29%

35%

26%

22%

26%

23%

Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system

52%

57%

47%

47%

49%

48%

Protecting the environment

14%

14%

11%

13%

15%

16%

A fair industrial relations system

12%

8%

12%

11%

8%

na

Political leadership

14%

15%

25%

18%

17%

23%

Addressing climate change

9%

9%

9%

10%

15%

16%

Controlling interest rates

9%

11%

9%

11%

13%

15%

Australian jobs and protection of local industries

40%

32%

41%

36%

32%

33%

Ensuring a quality water supply

4%

5%

3%

4%

5%

12%

Housing affordability

11%

14%

13%

13%

16%

14%

Ensuring a fair taxation system

21%

17%

18%

16%

17%

14%

Security and the war on terrorism

6%

5%

5%

4%

8%

9%

Treatment of asylum seekers

6%

6%

10%

8%

5%

na

Managing population growth

9%

7%

8%

8%

12%

na

*Not asked

62% of people surveyed rated management of the economy as one of their three most important issues, followed by 52% ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system, 40% Australian jobs and protection of local industries and 29% ensuring a quality education for all children.

Since November, there has been an increase in the importance of Australian jobs and protection of local industries (+8%) and a decline in the importance of ensuring a quality education for all children (-6%) and ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system (-5%).

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