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2PP, Election, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, federal politics, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Polling, polls, two party preferred, Voting intention
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,936
First preference/leaning to Election 21 Aug 10
2 weeks ago Last week This week Liberal 42% 42% 43% National 3% 3% 3% Total Lib/Nat 43.6 45% 45% 46% Labor 38.0 37% 37% 38% Greens 11.8 11% 11% 10% Other/Independent 6.6 7% 7% 7% 2PP Election 21 Aug 10
2 weeks ago Last week This week Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 51% 51% 51% Labor 50.1% 49% 49% 49% NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
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2PP, Election, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, federal politics, Greens, Labor, Liberal, two party preferred, Voting intention
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,906
First preference/leaning to Election 21 Aug 10
2 weeks ago Last week This week Liberal 43% 42% 42% National 3% 3% 3% Total Lib/Nat 43.6 46% 45% 45% Labor 38.0 38% 37% 37% Greens 11.8 10% 11% 11% Other/Independent 6.6 6% 7% 7% 2PP Election 21 Aug 10
2 weeks ago Last week This week Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 52% 51% 51% Labor 50.1% 48% 49% 49% NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
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2PP, Election, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, federal politics, Greens, Labor, Liberal, two party preferred, Voting intention
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,896
First preference/leaning to Election 21 Aug 10
Last week This week Liberal 43% 42% National 3% 3% Total Lib/Nat 43.6 46% 45% Labor 38.0 38% 37% Greens 11.8 10% 11% Other/Independent 6.6 6% 7% 2PP Election 21 Aug 10
Last week This week Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 52% 51% Labor 50.1% 48% 49% NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
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2PP, Election, Voting intention
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to
sample size = 1,924
First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week Liberal 38% 42% 41% 42% 43% National 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% Total Lib/Nat 41% 45% 44% 45% 46% Labor 35% 39% 38% 38% 37% Greens 14% 10% 11% 11% 10% Other/Independent 10% 7% 7% 6% 7% 2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week Total Lib/Nat 49% 51% 51% 51% 52% Labor 51% 49% 49% 49% 48% NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. Comments »
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Anil Lambert, Better State, Campaigning, Election, EMC, Politics, Unions NSW
Better State – campaigning in a climate of certainty
You would have to completely disregard the polls, history and any semblance of common sense to predict a Labor victory in the March 2011 NSW election.Although there’s no such thing as a sure bet in Australian politics, a NSW Coalition government in 2011 is about as close as you’re likely to get. (The bookies have Labor at $6.25 to win next year. You won’t find those sort of odds in any 2011 NRL fixture.)
This climate of certainty makes a traditional approach to election time campaigning impossible.
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2PP, Election, New South Wales, NSW, NSW State Election, State Election, Voting intention
NSW – voting intention
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,953
First preference/leaning to Total Election Mar 07
Change Liberal 47% 26.9% National 3% 10.1% Total Lib/Nat 50% 37.0% +13.0% Labor 29% 39.0% -10.0% Greens 11% 9.0% +2.0% Other/Independent 10% 15.0% -5.0% 2PP Total Election Mar 07
Change Total Lib/Nat 58% 47.7% +10.3% Labor 42% 52.3% -10.3% NB. The data in the above tables comprise 6-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the previous election. Comments »
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2PP, Election, State Election, VIC State Election, Victoria, Voting intention
Victoria – voting intention
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,465
First preference/leaning to Total Election Nov 06 Change Liberal 42% 34.4% National 2% 5.2% Total Lib/Nat 44% 39.6% +4.4% Labor 38% 43.1% -5.1% Greens 12% 10.0% +2.0% Other/Independent 6% 7.3% -1.3% 2PP Total Election Nov 06 Change Total Lib/Nat 50% 45.6% +4.4% Labor 50% 54.4% 4.4% NB. The data in the above tables comprise 6-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the previous election. Comments »
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2PP, Election, QLD, QLD State Election, State Election, Voting intention
Queensland – voting intention
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,138
First preference/leaning to Total Election Mar 09
Change Liberal National 50% 41.6% +8.4% Labor 29% 42.2% -13.2% Greens 9% 8.4% +0.6% Other/Independent 12% 7.8% +4.2% 2PP Total Election Mar 07
Change Total Lib/Nat 59% 49.1% +9.9% Labor 41% 50.9% -9.9% NB. The data in the above tables comprise 6-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the previous election. Comments »