Preferred System for Electing Party Leaders

Mar 5, 2012

Q. Which of the following do you think would be the best way to elect national party leaders?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

The Australian system where the leader is elected by the Members of Parliament

36%

45%

36%

45%

The US system where registered voters in primaries elect the party’s candidate for President

31%

25%

36%

23%

The UK system where MPs, party members (and in Labour’s case, union members from affiliated unions) all get to vote for the party leader

11%

10%

8%

15%

Don’t know

23%

19%

19%

17%

36% prefer the Australian system of electing the party leader – 31% prefer the US system and 11% the UK system.

Labor and Greens voters were more likely to prefer the Australian system (45%) and Liberal/National voters the US system (36%).

45% of people aged 55+ and 45% of those on income of $1,600+ pw favoured the Australian system.

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Leaders at the Next Election

Feb 13, 2012

Q. Do you think Julia Gillard will still be leading the Labor Party at the election due next year?

Q. Do you think Tony Abbott will still be leading the Liberal Party at the election due next year?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Julia Gillard Yes 31% 54% 19% 43%
No 47% 22% 70% 26%
Don’t know 22% 24% 11% 31%
Tony Abbott Yes 47% 37% 67% 34%
No 25% 37% 12% 31%
Don’t know 28% 26% 21% 35%

31% think Julia Gillard will still be the leader of the Labor Party at the election due next year and 47% think she will not be the leader. Opinions are closely associated with party preference. 54% of Labor voters think she will still be the leader.

47% think Tony Abbott will still be the leader of the Liberal Party at the election due next year and 25% think he will not be the leader. Opinions are closely associated with party preference. 67% of Liberal/National voters think he will still be the leader.

Among non-major party voters, 36% think Julia Gillard will still be leading the Labor Party and 33% think Tony Abbott will still be leading the Liberal Party.

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Next Election

Jan 30, 2012

Q. Do you think the Labor Government should run its full term until 2013 when the next Federal election is due or should a new election be held now?

5 Sept 11 5 Dec 11 Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Should run to 2013 40% 47% 48% 80% 19% 82%
Should hold election now 48% 41% 41% 12% 73% 11%
Don’t know 12% 12% 10% 8% 8% 7%

48% think that the Labor Government should be allowed to run its full term through to 2013 and 41% think a new election should be held. This is very similar to the results of this question when last asked in early December. Views closely follow voting voting intentions.

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Federal Election

Dec 19, 2011

Q. Do you expect that an early Federal election will be held in 2012?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Yes 32% 24% 42% 26%
No 42% 55% 37% 50%
Don’t know 26% 21% 21% 23%

Respondents were more likely to think there will not be a Federal election next year – 32% expect there will be an election and 42% think there will not.

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Federal Election

Dec 5, 2011

Q. Do you think the Labor Government should run its full term until 2013 when the next Federal election is due or should a new election be held now?

5 Sept 11 Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Should run to 2013 40% 47% 89% 20% 73%
Should hold election now 48% 41% 7% 74% 16%
Don’t know 12% 12% 4% 6% 11%

47% think that the Labor Government should be allowed to run its full term trough to 2013 and 41% think a new election should be held. This is almost exactly the reverse of the results when this question was previously asked in September when 48% thought an election should be held now and 40% thought the Government should run its full term.

Support for the Government to run its full term has increased among Labor voters (from 82% to 89%) and Liberal/National voters (11% to 20%) but dropped from 80% to 73% for Greens voters.

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Important election issues

Dec 5, 2011

Q. Which are the three most important issues in deciding how you would vote at a Federal election?

First Second Third Total 6 June 11 24 Jan 11 11 Oct 10 25 Jan 10
Management of the economy 39% 16% 7% 62% 61% 65% 62% 63%
Ensuring a quality education for all children 4% 8% 10% 22% 26% 26% 32% 23%
Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system 12% 18% 17% 47% 49% 49% 48% 48%
Protecting the environment 4% 5% 4% 13% 15% 13% 12% 16%
A fair industrial relations system 3% 4% 4% 11% 8% 10% 11% *
Political leadership 7% 6% 5% 18% 17% 16% 16% 23%
Addressing climate change 3% 4% 3% 10% 15% 10% 11% 16%
Controlling interest rates 2% 4% 5% 11% 13% 21% 17% 15%
Australian jobs and protection of local industries 11% 12% 13% 36% 32% 30% 30% 33%
Ensuring a quality water supply * 2% 2% 4% 5% 6% 6% 12%
Housing affordability 3% 4% 6% 13% 16% 16% 17% 14%
Ensuring a fair taxation system 3% 5% 8% 16% 17% 18% 16% 14%
Security and the war on terrorism 1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 5% 6% 9%
Treatment of asylum seekers 2% 3% 3% 8% 5% 5% 5% *
Managing population growth 1% 3% 4% 8% 12% 11% 10% *

*Not asked

62% of people surveyed rated management of the economy as one of their three most important issues, followed by 47% ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system and 36% Australian jobs and protection of local industries.

Since June, there have been only minor changes in these figures – there has been an increase in the importance of Australian jobs and protection of local industries (+4%) and declines in the importance of addressing climate change (-5%), ensuring a quality education for all children (-4%), managing population growth (-4%) and security and the war on terrorism (-4%).

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Party trust to handle important election issues

Dec 5, 2011

Q. And which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?

Labor Liberal Greens Don’t know
Management of the economy 27% 45% 2% 25%
Ensuring a quality education for all children 34% 36% 5% 25%
Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system 31% 34% 6% 29%
Protecting the environment 16% 23% 37% 24%
A fair industrial relations system 38% 34% 5% 23%
Political leadership 23% 40% 5% 33%
Addressing climate change 19% 25% 31% 25%
Controlling interest rates 24% 42% 2% 32%
Protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries 32% 35% 4% 29%
Ensuring a quality water supply 18% 30% 24% 29%
Housing affordability 23% 33% 5% 38%
Ensuring a fair taxation system 28% 37% 4% 31%
Security and the war on terrorism 21% 40% 3% 35%
Treatment of asylum seekers 17% 36% 12% 35%
Managing population growth 18% 35% 9% 39%

Labor does not have a substantial lead over the Liberal Party on any item measured.  The 9% lead it had in June on “a fair industrial relations system” has been reduced to 4%. There is also little difference between Labor and the Liberals for ensuring a quality education for all children, ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system and protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries.

The Liberal Party has maintained strong leads on management of the economy, controlling interest rates, political leadership and security and the war on terrorism.

Overall, there has been a slight weakening of Labor’s position since June.

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Concern about Liberals Bringing Back WorkChoices

Nov 21, 2011

Q. If the Liberals won the election and reintroduced WorkChoices or similar laws, how concerned would you be?

31 May 10 12 July 10 Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Very concerned 28% 29% 26% 53% 4% 54%
Quite concerned 17% 19% 15% 22% 11% 15%
A little concerned 20% 16% 20% 12% 24% 21%
Not concerned 24% 25% 27% 6% 52% 6%
Don’t know 11% 11% 11% 7% 9% 4%

Respondents were also less concerned about the re-introduction of WorkChoices than last year. 41% (down 7%) would be quite or very concerned if WorkChoices or similar laws were re-introduced and 47% (up 6%) were only a little or not concerned.

75% of Labor voters and 69% of Greens voters would be concerned. 76% of Liberal/National voters would be a little/not concerned and 15% concerned. Those most concerned were aged 25-34 (47%) and aged 45-54 (48%).

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