16 July 2012, 160712, 2PP, federal politics voting intention, first preference vote, Greens party, Independents, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,857 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 18/6/12 |
2 weeks ago 2/7/12 |
Last week 9/7/12 |
This week 16/7/12 |
| Liberal |
46% |
45% |
46% |
46% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
4% |
3% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
33% |
32% |
31% |
31% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
10% |
11% |
10% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
56% |
56% |
56% |
57% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
44% |
44% |
43% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.
16 July 2012, 160712, Gillard approval, Julia Gillard, performance as prime minister
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?
|
|
19 Jul 2010 |
20 Dec |
14 Mar 2011 |
14 June |
12 Sept |
12 Dec |
12 Mar 2012 |
12 Jun |
16 Jul |
| Total approve |
52% |
43% |
41% |
34% |
28% |
34% |
32% |
32% |
32% |
| Total disapprove |
30% |
40% |
46% |
54% |
64% |
54% |
61% |
56% |
58% |
| Strongly approve |
11% |
10% |
7% |
6% |
5% |
6% |
8% |
6% |
5% |
| Approve |
41% |
33% |
34% |
28% |
23% |
28% |
24% |
26% |
27% |
| Disapprove |
17% |
24% |
22% |
29% |
28% |
25% |
29% |
22% |
26% |
| Strongly disapprove |
13% |
16% |
24% |
25% |
36% |
29% |
32% |
34% |
32% |
| Don’t know |
18% |
17% |
13% |
13% |
8% |
11% |
7% |
12% |
10% |
Julia Gillard’s approval rating has changed little since last month. 32% (no change) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 58% (up 2%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -24 to -26 over the last 5 weeks.
73% of Labor voters approve (down 1%) and 19% disapprove (up 3%).
By gender – men 32% approve/60% disapprove, women 33% approve/57% disapprove.
16 July 2012, 160712, Abbott approval, Approval of Tony Abbott, Opposition leader, tony abbott
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?
|
18 Jan 2010 |
5 Jul
|
20 Dec |
14 Mar 2011 |
14 June |
12 Sept |
12 Dec |
12 Mar 2012 |
12 Jun |
16 Jul |
|
| Total approve |
37% |
37% |
39% |
38% |
38% |
39% |
32% |
36% |
32% |
35% |
| Total disapprove |
37% |
47% |
39% |
47% |
48% |
50% |
53% |
52% |
54% |
53% |
| Strongly approve |
5% |
8% |
9% |
7% |
6% |
8% |
6% |
7% |
6% |
7% |
| Approve |
32% |
29% |
30% |
31% |
32% |
31% |
26% |
29% |
26% |
28% |
| Disapprove |
20% |
23% |
21% |
24% |
25% |
23% |
25% |
23% |
24% |
23% |
| Strongly disapprove |
17% |
24% |
18% |
23% |
23% |
27% |
28% |
29% |
30% |
30% |
| Don’t know |
26% |
16% |
22% |
16% |
15% |
11% |
14% |
12% |
13% |
12% |
Tony Abbott’s approval rating has improved a little over the last month. 35% (up 3%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 53% (down 1%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -22 to -18 over the last 5 weeks.
67% (no change) of Coalition voters approve and 26% (up 4%) disapprove.
By gender – men 38% approve/53% disapprove, women 32% approve/53% disapprove.
16 July 2012, 160712, Better Prime Minister, Julia Gillard, preference, tony abbott
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
|
5 Jul 2010 |
14 Mar 2011 |
14 June |
12 Sept |
12 Dec |
12 Mar 2012 |
12 Jun |
Total 16 Jul |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Julia Gillard |
53% |
44% |
41% |
36% |
39% |
40% |
37% |
37% |
76% |
5% |
83% |
| Tony Abbott |
26% |
33% |
36% |
40% |
35% |
37% |
37% |
38% |
4% |
76% |
5% |
| Don’t know |
21% |
23% |
24% |
24% |
26% |
23% |
26% |
26% |
19% |
19% |
13% |
37% (no change) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 38% (up 1%) prefer Tony Abbott.
Men prefer Tony Abbott 40%/36% and women prefer Julia Gillard 37%/35%.
16 July 2012, 160712, Federal Parliament, Greens party, Greens performance
Q. Do you think the performance of the Greens in Federal Parliament has been good or poor?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Total good |
17% |
21% |
7% |
71% |
| Total poor |
47% |
37% |
65% |
4% |
| Very good |
3% |
4% |
* |
18% |
| Good |
14% |
17% |
7% |
53% |
| Neither good nor poor |
27% |
35% |
21% |
21% |
| Poor |
19% |
22% |
21% |
1% |
| Very poor |
28% |
15% |
44% |
3% |
| Don’t know |
10% |
7% |
7% |
4% |
17% think the performance of The Greens in Federal Parliament has been good or very good and 47% think it has been poor or very poor.
Labor voters tend to think The Greens’ performance has been poor/very poor (37%) or neither good nor poor (35%) – and only 21% think it has been good/very good.
Among respondents aged under 35, 24% think The Greens’ performance has been good/very good and 29% think it has been poor/very poor.
16 July 2012, 160712, extreme, Greens Policies, public opinion, The Greens
Q. Do you think that The Greens’ policies are too extreme or do they represent the views of many voters?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Too extreme |
53% |
50% |
70% |
4% |
| Represent the views of many voters |
26% |
27% |
18% |
87% |
| Don’t know |
21% |
23% |
12% |
9% |
53% think The Greens’ policies are too extreme and 26% think they represent the views of many voters.
Those most likely to think The Greens’ policies are too extreme were men (61%), aged 55+ (77%) and Liberal/National voters (70%).
37% of respondents aged under 35 think they represent the views of many voters and 35% think they are too extreme.
16 July 2012, 160712, Government support, Julian Assange, sexual assault, support for Julian Assange, US diplomatic cables, Wikileaks
Q. Julian Assange faces extradition from the UK to Sweden for an investigation into sexual assault allegations. In Sweden he will be detained while the investigation continues, and he may be extradited to the United States to face charges relating to WikiLeaks’s release of US diplomatic cables.
Do you think the Australian government has provided appropriate support to Assange given he faces investigation for sexual assault in Sweden and possible extradition to the US?
|
19 Mar 2012 |
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Government have provided appropriate support |
22% |
28% |
37% |
30% |
16% |
| Government have not provided appropriate support |
36% |
33% |
34% |
32% |
42% |
| Don’t know |
41% |
38% |
29% |
38% |
41% |
33% (down 3% since March) believe that Julian Assange has not received appropriate support from the Australian Government and 28% (up 6%) think he has received appropriate support. 38% could not give an opinion.
39% of men think the Government has not provided appropriate support compared to 28% of women – mainly due the 47% of women who said they “don’t know”. 34% of respondents aged 18-34 think Julian Assange has not received appropriate support compared to 21% who think the Government has provided appropriate support.
16 July 2012, 160712, consular support, extradition, government, Julia Gillard, Julian Assange, prosecute, support for Julian Assange
Q. Recently US government figures have indicated they want Julian Assange to be prosecuted. If he is charged by the US, what do you think the Australian Government should do?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Support US attempts to prosecute him |
9% |
8% |
10% |
4% |
| Call for the US to observe due process and offer consular support |
34% |
40% |
33% |
30% |
| Offer him protection from extradition and prosecution. |
24% |
26% |
19% |
41% |
| Do nothing |
13% |
12% |
17% |
7% |
| Don’t know |
20% |
13% |
21% |
19% |
34% think that if Julian Assange is charged by the US, the Australian Government should call for the US to observe due process and offer consular support and 24% think the Government should offer him protection from extradition and prosecution. Only 9% think the Government should support US attempts to prosecute him and 13% think they should do nothing.
Support for offering Assange protection was highest among older respondents – 31% of respondents aged 55+ compared to 22% of those aged under 35.