The Essential Report Archive Read the latest report

  • Mar, 2015

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,820 respondents 

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago

    3/2/15

    2 weeks ago 17/2/15

    Last week

    24/2/15

    This week 3/3/15

    Liberal

     

    35%

    36%

    38%

    37%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Liberal/National

    45.6%

    38%

    39%

    40%

    40%

    Labor

    33.4%

    41%

    41%

    41%

    41%

    Greens

    8.6%

    9%

    10%

    9%

    9%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    3%

    2%

    2%

    2%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    9%

    8%

    8%

    9%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago

    3/2/15

    2 weeks ago 17/2/15

    Last week

    24/2/15

    This week 3/3/15

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    46%

    46%

    47%

    47%

    Labor

    46.5%

    54%

    54%

    53%

    53%

     

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election. 

  • Feb, 2015

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to? 

    Sample size = 1,836 respondents 

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago

    27/1/15

    2 weeks ago 10/2/15

    Last week

    17/2/15

    This week 24/2/15

    Liberal

     

    36%

    36%

    36%

    38%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Liberal/National

    45.6%

    39%

    39%

    39%

    40%

    Labor

    33.4%

    41%

    41%

    41%

    41%

    Greens

    8.6%

    9%

    10%

    10%

    9%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    2%

    3%

    2%

    2%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    9%

    8%

    8%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago

    27/1/15

    2 weeks ago 10/2/15

    Last week

    17/2/15

    This week 24/2/15

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    46%

    46%

    46%

    47%

    Labor

    46.5%

    54%

    54%

    54%

    53%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Feb, 2015

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,796 respondents 

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago

    20/1/15

    2 weeks ago 3/2/15

    Last week

    10/2/15

    This week 17/2/15

    Liberal

     

    36%

    35%

    36%

    36%

    National

    4%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Liberal/National

    45.6%

    40%

    38%

    39%

    39%

    Labor

    33.4%

    40%

    41%

    41%

    41%

    Greens

    8.6%

    10%

    9%

    10%

    10%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    2%

    3%

    3%

    2%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    9%

    9%

    8%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago

    20/1/15

    2 weeks ago 3/2/15

    Last week

    10/2/15

    This week 17/2/15

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    47%

    46%

    46%

    46%

    Labor

    46.5%

    53%

    54%

    54%

    54%

     

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Feb, 2015

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to? 

    Sample size = 1,780 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    2 weeks ago 27/1/15

    Last week

    3/2/15

    This week 10/2/15

    Liberal

     

    36%

    35%

    36%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Liberal/National

    45.6%

    39%

    38%

    39%

    Labor

    33.4%

    41%

    41%

    41%

    Greens

    8.6%

    9%

    9%

    10%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    2%

    3%

    3%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    9%

    9%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    2 weeks ago 27/1/15

    Last week

    3/2/15

    This week 10/2/15

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    46%

    46%

    46%

    Labor

    46.5%

    54%

    54%

    54%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Feb, 2015

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

     Sample size = 1,799 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    2 weeks ago 20/1/15

    Last week

    27/01/15

    This week 3/2/15

    Liberal

     

    36%

    36%

    35%

    National

    4%

    3%

    3%

    Total Liberal/National

    45.6%

    40%

    39%

    38%

    Labor

    33.4%

    40%

    41%

    41%

    Greens

    8.6%

    10%

    9%

    9%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    2%

    2%

    3%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    2 weeks ago 20/1/15

    Last week

    27/01/15

    This week 3/2/15

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    47%

    46%

    46%

    Labor

    46.5%

    53%

    54%

    54%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Jan, 2015

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,775 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    5 weeks ago 16/12/14

    This week

    20/01/15

    Liberal

     

    35%

    36%

    National

    4%

    4%

    Total Liberal/National

    45.6%

    40%

    40%

    Labor

    33.4%

    38%

    40%

    Greens

    8.6%

    10%

    10%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    2%

    2%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    10%

    9%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    5 weeks ago 16/12/14

    This week

    20/01/15

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    48%

    47%

    Labor

    46.5%

    52%

    53%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Dec, 2014

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

     Sample size = 1,761 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 4/11/14

    2 weeks ago

    18/11/14

    Last week

    25/11/14

    This week

    2/12/14

    Liberal

     

    37%

    37%

    38%

    37%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Liberal/National

    45.6%

    40%

    40%

    40%

    40%

    Labor

    33.4%

    38%

    38%

    39%

    40%

    Greens

    8.6%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    9%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    4%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    8%

    9%

    8%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 4/11/14

    2 weeks ago

    18/11/14

    Last week

    25/11/14

    This week

    2/12/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    47%

    Labor

    46.5%

    52%

    52%

    52%

    53%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Nov, 2014

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,776 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 7/10/14

    2 weeks ago

    21/10/14

    Last week

    28/10/14

    This week

    4/11/14

    Liberal

     

    38%

    37%

    36%

    37%

    National

    2%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Liberal/National

    45.6%

    40%

    40%

    39%

    40%

    Labor

    33.4%

    39%

    39%

    39%

    38%

    Greens

    8.6%

    10%

    10%

    9%

    10%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    4%

    3%

    4%

    4%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    7%

    8%

    8%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 7/10/14

    2 weeks ago

    21/10/14

    Last week

    28/10/14

    This week

    4/11/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    48%

    47%

    47%

    48%

    Labor

    46.5%

    52%

    53%

    53%

    52%

     

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Error: