The Essential Report Archive Read the latest report

Federal politics – voting intention

3 Mar 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,820 respondents 

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

3/2/15

2 weeks ago 17/2/15

Last week

24/2/15

This week 3/3/15

Liberal

 

35%

36%

38%

37%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

38%

39%

40%

40%

Labor

33.4%

41%

41%

41%

41%

Greens

8.6%

9%

10%

9%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

3%

2%

2%

2%

Other/Independent

6.9%

9%

8%

8%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

3/2/15

2 weeks ago 17/2/15

Last week

24/2/15

This week 3/3/15

Liberal National

53.5%

46%

46%

47%

47%

Labor

46.5%

54%

54%

53%

53%

 

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election. 

Error: