Essential Report

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 31, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,786 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election

7 Sep 13

  4 weeks ago

3/3/15

2 weeks ago 17/3/15 Last week

24/3/15

This week 31/3/15
Liberal   37% 37% 37% 36%
National 3% 3% 3% 4%
Total Liberal/National 45.6% 40% 40% 40% 40%
Labor 33.4% 41% 39% 41% 40%
Greens 8.6% 9% 9% 10% 10%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 2% 2% 1% 1%
Other/Independent 6.9% 9% 9% 8% 9%

 

2 Party Preferred Election

7 Sep 13

  4 weeks ago

3/3/15

2 weeks ago 17/3/15 Last week

24/3/15

This week 31/3/15
Liberal National 53.5% 47% 48% 46% 47%
Labor 46.5% 53% 52% 54% 53%

The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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