Essential Report

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 14, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to? 

Sample size = 1,771 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago16/6/15 2 weeks ago 30/6/15 Last week7/7/15 This week 14/7/15
Liberal   39% 38% 38% 38%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Liberal/National 45.6% 42% 41% 41% 41%
Labor 33.4% 39% 39% 39% 38%
Greens 8.6% 10% 11% 10% 11%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Other/Independent 6.9% 8% 8% 9% 9%

 

2 Party Preferred Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago16/6/15 2 weeks ago 30/6/15 Last week7/7/15 This week 14/7/15
Liberal National 53.5% 48% 47% 48% 48%
Labor 46.5% 52% 53% 52% 52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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