Essential Report

Same Sex Marriage

Mar 14, 2011

Q. Do you think people of the same sex should or should not be allowed to marry?

15 Nov 2010 14 Mar 2011 Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Should be allowed to marry 53% 49% 54% 40% 78%
Should not be allowed to marry 36% 40% 36% 50% 16%
Don’t know 11% 10% 10% 10% 6%

Support for same-sex marriage has declined a little since this question was last asked in November. 49% (down 4%) agree people of the same sex should be allowed to marry and 40% (up 4%) disagree.

By gender – 43% of men support same sex marriage and 47% oppose, while 56% of women support and 34% oppose.

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Territory Rights

Mar 14, 2011

Q. Do you agree or disagree that ACT and the Northern Territory should have the same rights as the states to pass legislation without being over-ruled by a Federal Minister?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total agree 74% 80% 73% 74%
Total disagree 9% 8% 11% 8%
Strongly agree 29% 36% 24% 41%
Agree 45% 44% 49% 33%
Disagree 6% 5% 7% 8%
Strongly disagree 3% 3% 4%
Don’t know 17% 12% 16% 18%

There is strong majority support for the right of territories to pass legislation without being over-ruled by a Federal Minister.  74% agree and only 9% disagree.

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Carbon Pricing

Mar 14, 2011

Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s recent announcement to introduce a carbon pricing scheme from 1 July 2012, which will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?

Last week This week Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 35% 38% 55% 20% 78%
Total oppose 48% 49% 32% 73% 11%
Strongly support 9% 12% 17% 4% 39%
Support 26% 26% 38% 16% 39%
Oppose 19% 17% 17% 20% 6%
Strongly oppose 29% 32% 15% 53% 5%
Don’t know 18% 13% 13% 8% 11%

Support for the Government’s proposed carbon pricing scheme has increased a little since this question was asked last week – from 35% to 38%. The change is due to some previously “undecided” respondents forming a view – opposition has increased 1% and “don’t know” decreased by 5%.

There is majority support from Labor and Greens voters while 73% of Liberal/National voters are opposed.

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Carbon Pricing with Compensation

Mar 14, 2011

Q. Would you support or oppose this carbon pricing scheme if the money paid by big polluting industries was used to compensate low and middle income earners and small businesses for increased prices?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 54% 78% 34% 80%
Total oppose 30% 11% 51% 7%
Strongly support 17% 29% 6% 39%
Support 37% 49% 28% 41%
Oppose 14% 8% 22% 3%
Strongly oppose 16% 3% 29% 4%
Don’t know 17% 11% 15% 13%

There was a substantial shift in opinion of the Government’s carbon pricing scheme when respondents were told that the money paid by big polluting industries would be used to compensate low and middle income earners and small businesses for increased prices.

Support increased from 38% to 54% and opposition declined from 49% to 30%. The major shift occurred with Labor voters where support increased by 23% to 78%.  Support from Liberal/National voters increased from 20% to 34% while opposition declined 22% to 51%.

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Delay Carbon Tax

Mar 7, 2011

Q. Do you think Australia should delay imposing a carbon pollution tax until the US has established an equal or stronger carbon pricing system? (Question commissioned by Network Ten)

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Men Women Aged

18-34

Aged

35-54

Aged 55+
Yes 45% 33% 62% 13% 51% 40% 34% 47% 56%
No 33% 47% 21% 71% 34% 33% 40% 31% 29%
Don’t know 21% 20% 17% 16% 15% 27% 25% 22% 15%

45% of respondents think Australia should delay imposing a carbon pollution tax until the US has established an equal or stronger carbon pricing system and 33% think we should not delay.

Those most likely to think Australia should delay imposing a carbon pollution tax were Coalition voters (62%), men (51%) and aged 55+ (56%).

Those most likely to disagree were Greens voters (71%), Labor voters (47%) and aged 18-34 (40%).

Download the Network Ten: Essential Question of the Week (1.1 MB pdf)

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Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 7, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,918

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 43% 40% 42% 44%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 46% 43% 45% 47%
Labor 38.0 38% 39% 37% 36%
Greens 11.8 10% 11% 10% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6 7% 7% 7% 7%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 51% 49% 52% 53%
Labor 50.1% 49% 51% 48% 47%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Support for Carbon Pricing

Mar 7, 2011

Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s recent announcement to introduce a carbon pricing scheme from 1 July 2012, which will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 35% 54% 18% 75%
Total oppose 48% 25% 72% 13%
Strongly support 9% 16% 2% 34%
Support 26% 38% 16% 41%
Oppose 19% 13% 24% 10%
Strongly oppose 29% 12% 48% 3%
Don’t know 18% 21% 9% 11%

35% support the Government’s recent announcement to introduce a carbon pricing scheme and 48% oppose. The scheme is strongly supported by Greens voters (75%) and has majority support from Labor voters (54%) but is strongly opposed by Coalition voters (72%).

Respondents aged under 35 were split 36% support/37% oppose while those aged 55+ were more strongly opposed (36% support/56% oppose).

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Leadership or Broken Promise

Mar 7, 2011

Q. Tony Abbott and the opposition claim this is a ‘backflip’ on a promise Prime Minister Gillard made before the 2010 election not to introduce a carbon tax in the next term of parliament. Which of the following statements is closest to your view:

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
The Prime Minister has broken an election promise and should wait until after the next election before introducing a carbon pollution tax 59% 33% 86% 26%
The Prime Minister is showing strong leadership on an issue of national importance 27% 51% 7% 67%
Don’t know 13% 16% 7% 7%

59% agree are more likely to think that the Prime Minister has broken an election promise and should wait until after the next election before introducing a carbon pollution tax and 27% believe she is showing strong leadership on an issue of national importance.

Opinions are strongly related to voting intention although a substantial minority (33%) of Labor voters agree that the Prime Minister has broken an election promise and should wait.

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