Republic
Q. To what extent would you support or oppose Australia becoming a republic with an Australian head of state?
| Mar’21 | Nov’18 | May’18 | Jan’18 | Jan’17 | |
| TOTAL: Support | 48% | 44% | 48% | 44% | 44% |
| TOTAL: Oppose | 28% | 32% | 30% | 29% | 30% |
| Unsure | 25% | 24% | 22% | 26% | 26% |
| Base (n) | 1,100 | 1,028 | 1,025 | 1,038 | 1,015 |
| Total | Gender | Age Group | Federal Voting Intention | |||||||||
| Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-54 | 55+ | Labor | TOTAL: Coalition | Greens | TOTAL: Other | ||||
| Strongly oppose | 16% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 14% | 23% | 14% | 20% | 6% | 23% | ||
| Somewhat oppose | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 17% | 14% | 9% | ||
| Somewhat support | 24% | 23% | 26% | 27% | 24% | 22% | 26% | 25% | 23% | 19% | ||
| Strongly support | 23% | 32% | 15% | 18% | 25% | 26% | 27% | 22% | 29% | 26% | ||
| Unsure | 25% | 16% | 33% | 33% | 25% | 17% | 23% | 17% | 28% | 24% | ||
| TOTAL: Oppose | 28% | 29% | 26% | 21% | 26% | 35% | 25% | 37% | 20% | 31% | ||
| TOTAL: Support | 48% | 55% | 41% | 45% | 49% | 48% | 52% | 47% | 52% | 45% | ||
| Base (n) | 1,100 | 539 | 561 | 332 | 382 | 386 | 382 | 389 | 92 | 122 | ||
- Support for republic is now at 48%, consistent with previous years.
- Support for a republic with an Australian head of state is strongest among Labor (52%) and Greens voters (52%). Those aged over 55 were most likely to oppose the establishment of a republic (35%).
- A third of women and those aged 18-35 (both 33%) are unsure on their support or opposition to Australia becoming a republic.
Republic
Q. Are you in favour or against Australia becoming a republic?
|
Total
|
|
Vote Lab |
Vote Lib/ |
Vote Green |
Vote other |
|
Jan 2010 |
Mar 2011 |
Oct 2011 |
Jun 2012 |
Apr 2014 |
Oct 2014 |
|
Shift since Oct 2014 |
|
| In favour |
34% |
50% |
22% |
53% |
30% |
41% |
39% |
41% |
39% |
33% |
31% |
+3 |
|||
| Against |
34% |
21% |
51% |
17% |
38% |
32% |
34% |
33% |
35% |
42% |
31% |
+3 |
|||
| No opinion |
32% |
30% |
26% |
30% |
32% |
27% |
27% |
26% |
27% |
25% |
38% |
-6 |
34% (up 3% since October) of respondents were in favour of Australian becoming a republic and 34% (up 3%) were against. 32% could not give an opinion.
Greens (53%) and Labor (50%) voters were more likely to be in favour of a republic. Lib/Nat voters (22%) were less likely.
Males (40%) were far more likely than females (29%) to be in favour of a republic.
Republic
Q. Are you in favour or against Australia becoming a republic?
|
Total
|
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
Jan 2010 |
March 2011 |
Oct 2011 |
Jun 2012 |
Apr 2014 |
|
Shift since April 2014 |
|
| In favour |
31% |
42% |
23% |
42% |
29% |
41% |
39% |
41% |
39% |
33% |
-2 |
|||
| Against |
31% |
20% |
48% |
15% |
34% |
32% |
34% |
33% |
35% |
42% |
-11 |
|||
| No opinion |
38% |
38% |
29% |
43% |
37% |
27% |
27% |
26% |
27% |
25% |
+13 |
31% of respondents were in favour of Australian becoming a republic and 31% were against. 38% could not give an opinion – the highest response in the last 4 years.
Greens (42%) and Labor (42%) voters were more likely to be in favour of a republic. Lib/Nat voters (23%) were less likely.
Males (40%) were far more likely than females (22%) to be in favour of a republic.
Republic
Q. Are you in favour or against Australia becoming a republic?
|
Jan 2010 |
March 2011 |
Oct 2011 |
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| In favour |
41% |
39% |
41% |
39% |
56% |
27% |
54% |
| Against |
32% |
34% |
33% |
35% |
22% |
51% |
21% |
| No opinion |
27% |
27% |
26% |
27% |
22% |
22% |
25% |
39% favour Australia becoming a republic and 35% are against – showing only a little change since this question was asked in October 2011 (from net +8 to net +4 in favour). 27% have no opinion.
Those most in favour were respondents aged 45-64 (45%), people earning $1,600+pw (45%), Labor voters (56%) and Greens voters (54%).
Those most against were aged 65+ (58%) and Liberal/National voters (51%).
36% of respondents aged under 35 had no opinion.
Will Australia ever become a Republic?
Q. Do you think that Australia is likely or unlikely to ever become a republic?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Total likely |
52% |
65% |
48% |
57% |
| Total unlikely |
34% |
26% |
38% |
32% |
| Very likely |
12% |
16% |
9% |
16% |
| Somewhat likely |
40% |
49% |
39% |
41% |
| Somewhat unlikely |
25% |
21% |
26% |
28% |
| Very unlikely |
9% |
5% |
12% |
4% |
| Don’t know |
15% |
9% |
13% |
11% |
52% think that it is very or somewhat likely that Australia will ever become a republic – and 34% think it is somewhat or very unlikely.
For people aged 45+, 61%+ think it is likely and 29% unlikely while for those aged under 35, 42% think it is likely and 40% unlikely.
Republic
Q. Are you in favour or against Australia becoming a republic?
| Jan 2010 | March 2011 | Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| In favour | 41% | 39% | 41% | 51% | 35% | 56% |
| Against | 32% | 34% | 33% | 21% | 45% | 19% |
| No opinion | 27% | 27% | 26% | 28% | 19% | 26% |
41% favour Australia becoming a republic and 33% are against – showing little change since this question was asked in January 2010. 26% have no opinion.
Those most in favour were men (51%), Greens voters (56%) and Labor voters (51%).
Those most against were aged 65+ (56%) and Liberal/National voters (45%).
Republic
Q. Are you in favour or against Australia becoming a republic?
| Jan 2010 | Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| In favour | 41% | 39% | 55% | 27% | 63% |
| Against | 32% | 34% | 20% | 53% | 15% |
| No opinion | 27% | 27% | 25% | 21% | 22% |
39% of respondents are in favour of Australia becoming a republic, 34% are against and 27% hold no opinion.
There has been little shift in attitudes from the Jan 2010 poll.
Labor (55%) and Green (63%) voters are more likely to be in favour of a republic. Lib/Nat voters (53%) are more likely to be against Australia becoming a republic.
Males (46%) were more likely than females (33%) to be in favour of Australia becoming a republic. However this did not translate to large numbers of females being against Australia becoming a republic (36% of females compared to 31%) of males, but rather more females (31%) than males (23%) stating that they have no opinion.
Those aged 45-54 were the most likely to be in favour of a republic (48%), but there were also surprisingly high level of support for a republic from older age groups – 41% of those aged 55-64 and 42% of those aged 65+ stated that they were in favour of Australia becoming a republic.
Republic – with Prince Charles or Prince William as King
Q. Would you be in favour or against Australia becoming a republic if Prince Charles became the next King?
Q. Would you be in favour or against Australia becoming a republic if Prince William became the next King?
| Total | Prince Charles as King | Prince William as King | |
| In favour | 39% | 38% | 37% |
| Against | 34% | 32% | 33% |
| No opinion | 27% | 30% | 30% |
Attitudes towards Australia becoming a republic barely moved when respondents were asked their opinion if Prince Charles or Prince William were King.
There was no noticeable difference in attitude between the genders or the age brackets.
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