12 June 2012, 120612, Australia, australia republic, highly likely, Labor voters, Republic
Q. Do you think that Australia is likely or unlikely to ever become a republic?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Total likely |
52% |
65% |
48% |
57% |
| Total unlikely |
34% |
26% |
38% |
32% |
| Very likely |
12% |
16% |
9% |
16% |
| Somewhat likely |
40% |
49% |
39% |
41% |
| Somewhat unlikely |
25% |
21% |
26% |
28% |
| Very unlikely |
9% |
5% |
12% |
4% |
| Don’t know |
15% |
9% |
13% |
11% |
52% think that it is very or somewhat likely that Australia will ever become a republic – and 34% think it is somewhat or very unlikely.
For people aged 45+, 61%+ think it is likely and 29% unlikely while for those aged under 35, 42% think it is likely and 40% unlikely.
04 June 2012, 040612, Craig Thompson, full-time workers, Greens voters, important issue, Labor voters, liberal voters
Q. In your opinion, how important is this issue concerning the behaviour of Craig Thomson?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Very important |
30% |
17% |
49% |
7% |
| Quite important |
36% |
38% |
33% |
43% |
| Not very important |
18% |
25% |
10% |
30% |
| Not at all important |
7% |
11% |
2% |
11% |
| Don’t know |
10% |
9% |
6% |
9% |
30% think the Craig Thomson issue is very important and 36% quite important – only 25% think it is not very or not at all important.
Those most likely to think it is very important were aged 55+ (40%), Liberal/National voters (49%) and full-time workers (34%).
58% of those who had read/heard a lot about it thought it was very important.
Only 17% of union members thought it was very important.
050312, 5 March 2012, ALP, Labor Government, Labor leadership, Labor Party, Labor voters, Leadership Challenge, Polling, polls, voters
Q. Do you think the recent leadership challenge has been good or bad for the Labor Government?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Total good |
13% |
30% |
7% |
16% |
| Total bad |
62% |
39% |
80% |
50% |
| Very good |
4% |
10% |
2% |
4 |
| Good |
9% |
20% |
5% |
12% |
| Neither good nor bad |
18% |
26% |
12% |
28% |
| Bad |
24% |
25% |
22% |
28% |
| Very bad |
38% |
14% |
58% |
22% |
| Don’t know |
6% |
4% |
2% |
6% |
62% think that the recent leadership challenge was bad for the Labor Party and only 13% think it was good.
Labor voters were split – 39% think it was bad, 30% good and 26% neither good nor bad.
050312, 5 March 2012, ALP, Federal Election, Julia Gillard, Labor, Labor Party, Labor voters, Polling, polls, re-election, voters
Q. Has the re-election of Julia Gillard as leader of the Labor Party made you more or less likely to support the ALP at the next federal election.
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Total more likely |
13% |
33% |
5% |
18% |
| Total less likely |
47% |
21% |
64% |
38% |
| Much more likely |
6% |
17% |
1% |
5% |
| A little more likely |
7% |
16% |
4% |
13% |
| A little less likely |
10% |
11% |
7% |
16% |
| Much less likely |
37% |
10% |
57% |
22% |
| Makes no difference |
34% |
42% |
30% |
43% |
| Don’t know |
5% |
3% |
1% |
– |
47% say that the re-election of Julia Gillard as leader has made them less likely to support the Labor Party and only 13% say it has made them more likely to support the Labor Party at the next election.
Among Labor voters, 33% say it has made them more likely and 21% less likely to support Labor.
ABC, ALP, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, Greens, Greens Policies, Greens voters, Labor, Labor voters, peter lewis, Polling, polls, The Drum, The Greens
First published on The Drum: 12/04/2011
The Prime Minister has been dedicating a significant slice of stump time in recent weeks to explaining the differences between the ALP and the Greens, how one emerges from real-world struggles and the other is a group of out-of-touch extremists.
A similar debate has been being waged within the Greens following their underwhelming NSW state election performance, where a local candidate’s intervention in the Middle East peace provided the platform to portray the party as a collective of bat-faced ideologues.
But as the debate about the Greens’ orientation gains pertinence as they move to assume the balance of power in the Senate a more basic fact is being missed: Labor voters and Green voters agree on just about everything.
A review of findings to Essential Research questions over the past few months finds that on nearly every big debate the similarities between Greens voters and Labor voters far outweigh their differences.
carbon pollution, carbon pricing scheme, Carbon Tax, climate, climate change, Coalition, Coalition voters, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, government, IPCC, Labor, Labor voters, peter lewis, Resources Rent Tax, The Drum
First published on The Drum: 08/03/2011
The media works in eight-hour news cycles, politicians live and die by three-year cycles, while the planet’s climate is working on a significantly longer time frame.
The way these three cycles interplay over the next few months will determine not only the outcome of the next federal election but whether Australia will be a beneficiary or a victim of the shift in energy use that climate change will inevitably require*.
As this week’s Essential Report shows the Government has taken a short-term hammering after it’s decision to move on a carbon price. Not only has the Government failed to win popular support for its carbon pricing scheme, this has translated into a 4 per cent turnaround in the Two Party Preferred.
Of particular concern to Labor would be the high level of strong opposition, compared to strong support for the plan and the fact that barely half of Labor voters are backing the scheme.
ALP, Approval of Julia Gillard, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, Julia Gillard, kevin rudd, Labor, Labor voters, PM, Polling, polls, Prime Minister
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?
| Kevin Rudd | Julia Gillard | |||||||||
| 31 May | 5 Jul | 19 Jul | 16 Aug | 20 Sep | 18 Oct | 22 Nov | 20 Dec | 17 Jan 2011 | 14 Feb 2011 | |
| Total approve | 41% | 48% | 52% | 46% | 45% | 45% | 43% | 43% | 51% | 48% |
| Total disapprove | 47% | 27% | 30% | 40% | 37% | 37% | 38% | 40% | 36% | 41% |
| Strongly approve | 7% | 14% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 9% |
| Approve | 34% | 34% | 41% | 33% | 33% | 36% | 36% | 33% | 43% | 39% |
| Disapprove | 25% | 13% | 17% | 24% | 21% | 20% | 23% | 24% | 24% | 25% |
| Strongly disapprove | 22% | 14% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 16% |
| Don’t know | 12% | 26% | 18% | 13% | 19% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 11% |
48% (down 3%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 41% (up 5%) disapprove – a change in net rating from +15 to +7 over the last 4 weeks.
88% of Labor voters approve and 8% disapprove.
By gender – men 45% approve/45% disapprove, women 51% approve/36% disapprove.