02 April 2012, 020412, Comparison of Leaders, Julia Gillard, Labor, leader attributes, leaders, Liberal, political leaders, Polling, polls, tony abbott
Julia Gillard |
Tony Abbott |
Difference |
|
Intelligent |
61% |
56% |
+5% |
Hard-working |
65% |
68% |
-3% |
A capable leader |
38% |
41% |
-3% |
Arrogant |
53% |
61% |
-8% |
Out of touch with ordinary people |
65% |
54% |
+11% |
Understands the problems facing Australia |
41% |
49% |
-8% |
Visionary |
25% |
26% |
-1% |
Superficial |
54% |
49% |
+5% |
Good in a crisis |
36% |
36% |
– |
Narrow-minded |
53% |
54% |
-1% |
More honest than most politicians |
26% |
30% |
-4% |
Trustworthy |
25% |
32% |
-7% |
Julia Gillard rates higher than Tony Abbott on out of touch with ordinary people (+11%), intelligent (+5%) and superficial (+5%).
She rates lower than Tony Abbott on arrogant (-8%), understands the problems facing Australia (-8%) and trustworthy (-7%).
26 March 2012, 260312, 2PP, ER, Essential Report, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Nationals, Polling, polls, two party preferred, voting, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,923 respondents
First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 27/2/12 |
2 weeks ago 12/3/12 |
Last week 19/3/12 |
This week 26/3/12 |
Liberal |
46% |
46% |
45% |
45% |
|
National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
|
Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
49% |
48% |
47% |
Labor |
38.0% |
32% |
31% |
32% |
34% |
Greens |
11.8% |
11% |
10% |
11% |
10% |
Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
56% |
57% |
56% |
54% |
Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
43% |
44% |
46% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
19 March 2012, 190312, 2PP, ER, Essential Report, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Nationals, Polling, polls, two party preferred, voting, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,918 respondents
First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
Liberal |
45% |
47% |
46% |
45% |
|
National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
|
Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
49% |
49% |
48% |
Labor |
38.0% |
33% |
32% |
31% |
32% |
Greens |
11.8% |
11% |
10% |
10% |
11% |
Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
10% |
9% |
2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
55% |
56% |
57% |
56% |
Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
44% |
43% |
44% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
12 March 2012, 120312, 2PP, ER, Essential Report, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Nationals, Polling, polls, two party preferred, voting, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,902 respondents
First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
Liberal |
44% |
46% |
47% |
46% |
|
National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
|
Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
47% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
32% |
32% |
31% |
Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
11% |
10% |
10% |
Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
8% |
9% |
10% |
2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
54% |
56% |
56% |
57% |
Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
44% |
44% |
43% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
12 March 2012, 120312, Approval of Tony Abbott, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Opposition leader, Polling, polls, tony abbott
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?
18 Jan 2010 |
5 Jul 2010 |
20 Dec 2010 |
14 Mar 2011 |
14 June |
12 Sept |
17 Oct |
14 Nov |
12 Dec |
16 Jan 2012 |
13 Feb |
12 Mar |
|
Total approve |
37% |
37% |
39% |
38% |
38% |
39% |
40% |
36% |
32% |
35% |
35% |
36% |
Total disapprove |
37% |
47% |
39% |
47% |
48% |
50% |
51% |
52% |
53% |
51% |
53% |
52% |
Strongly approve |
5% |
8% |
9% |
7% |
6% |
8% |
8% |
6% |
6% |
7% |
6% |
7% |
Approve |
32% |
29% |
30% |
31% |
32% |
31% |
32% |
30% |
26% |
28% |
29% |
29% |
Disapprove |
20% |
23% |
21% |
24% |
25% |
23% |
23% |
26% |
25% |
25% |
23% |
23% |
Strongly disapprove |
17% |
24% |
18% |
23% |
23% |
27% |
28% |
26% |
28% |
26% |
30% |
29% |
Don’t know |
26% |
16% |
22% |
16% |
15% |
11% |
9% |
12% |
14% |
13% |
12% |
12% |
Tony Abbott’s approval rating has changed little over the last month. 36% (up 1%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 52% (down 1%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -18 to -16 over the last 4 weeks.
70% (up 3%) of Coalition voters approve and 21% (no change) disapprove.
By gender – men 37% approve/54% disapprove, women 36% approve/49% disapprove.
12 March 2012, 120312, Better Prime Minister, Julia Gillard, Labor, Liberal, PM, Polling, polls, Prime Minister, tony abbott
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
5 Jul 2010 |
14 Mar |
14 June |
12 Sept |
17 Oct |
14 Nov |
12 Dec |
16 Jan 2012 |
13 Feb |
12 Mar |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
Julia Gillard |
53% |
44% |
41% |
36% |
38% |
41% |
39% |
39% |
41% |
40% |
84% |
6% |
74% |
Tony Abbott |
26% |
33% |
36% |
40% |
39% |
36% |
35% |
36% |
34% |
37% |
4% |
76% |
5% |
Don’t know |
21% |
23% |
24% |
24% |
23% |
24% |
26% |
25% |
25% |
23% |
12% |
18% |
21% |
40% (down 1%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 37% (up 3%) prefer Tony Abbott – a net change from +7% to +3% for Julia Gillard.
Both men and women prefer Julia Gillard 40%/37%.
050312, 2PP, 5 March 2012, ER, Federal Government, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Nationals, Politics, Polling, polls, two party preferred, voting, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,891 respondents
First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
Liberal |
|
44% |
45% |
46% |
47% |
National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
47% |
48% |
49% |
49% |
Labor |
38.0% |
33% |
33% |
32% |
32% |
Greens |
11.8% |
11% |
11% |
11% |
10% |
Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
8% |
9% |
2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
54% |
55% |
56% |
56% |
Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
45% |
44% |
44% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
050312, 5 March 2012, ALP, Federal Election, Julia Gillard, Labor, Labor Party, Labor voters, Polling, polls, re-election, voters
Q. Has the re-election of Julia Gillard as leader of the Labor Party made you more or less likely to support the ALP at the next federal election.
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
Total more likely |
13% |
33% |
5% |
18% |
Total less likely |
47% |
21% |
64% |
38% |
Much more likely |
6% |
17% |
1% |
5% |
A little more likely |
7% |
16% |
4% |
13% |
A little less likely |
10% |
11% |
7% |
16% |
Much less likely |
37% |
10% |
57% |
22% |
Makes no difference |
34% |
42% |
30% |
43% |
Don’t know |
5% |
3% |
1% |
– |
47% say that the re-election of Julia Gillard as leader has made them less likely to support the Labor Party and only 13% say it has made them more likely to support the Labor Party at the next election.
Among Labor voters, 33% say it has made them more likely and 21% less likely to support Labor.