Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 13, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,868 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

16/7/12

2 weeks ago

30/7/12

Last week

6/8/12

This week

13/8/12

Liberal

46%

45%

46%

46%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

49%

49%

49%

Labor

38.0%

31%

33%

33%

32%

Greens

11.8%

10%

10%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

8%

8%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

57%

55%

56%

56%

Labor

50.1%

43%

45%

44%

44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Party with Better Policies

Aug 6, 2012

Q. Which party do you think has the better policies for the following groups of people?

 

Labor Party

Liberal Party

No difference

Don’t know

Pensioners

32%

21%

30%

17%

Unemployed people

36%

18%

29%

17%

People with disabilities

32%

16%

30%

22%

Carers

30%

18%

30%

22%

People on low incomes

40%

18%

26%

16%

All working people

29%

30%

26%

15%

The Labor Party was thought to have better policies than the Liberal Party on all issues except “all working people” where both parties had similar ratings. In particular the Labor Party was thought to have better policies for people on low incomes (40% Labor/18% Liberal), unemployed people (36%/18%) and people with disabilities (32%/16%).

Of those aged 55+, 40% thought Labor had better policies for pensioners and 23% thought the Liberals had better policies.

30% think the Liberals have better policies for all working people and 29% think Labor has better policies. Full-time workers are more likely to think The Liberals have better policies (37% Liberal/24% Labor) which part-time workers are more likely to favour Labor (37% Labor/29% Liberal).

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 30, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,837 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2/7/12

2 weeks ago

16/7/12

Last week

23/7/12

This week

30/7/12

Liberal

45%

46%

45%

45%

National

3%

3%

4%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

49%

49%

49%

Labor

38.0%

32%

31%

33%

33%

Greens

11.8%

10%

10%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

9%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

57%

56%

55%

Labor

50.1%

44%

43%

44%

45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 9, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,876 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

12/6/12

2 weeks ago

25/6/12

Last week

2/7/12

This week

9/7/12

Liberal

46%

46%

45%

46%

National

3%

3%

3%

4%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

49%

49%

49%

Labor

38.0%

32%

33%

32%

31%

Greens

11.8%

10%

10%

10%

11%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

8%

9%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

56%

56%

56%

Labor

50.1%

44%

44%

44%

44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 18, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,842 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

21/5/12

2 weeks ago

4/6/12

Last week

12/6/12

This week

18/6/12

Liberal

46%

47%

46%

46%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

50%

49%

49%

Labor

38.0%

33%

33%

32%

33%

Greens

11.8%

10%

10%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

7%

9%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

56%

56%

56%

Labor

50.1%

44%

44%

44%

44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

Federal politics – voting intention

May 28, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,884 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

30/4/12

2 weeks ago

14/5/12

Last week

21/5/12

This week

28/5/12

Liberal

46%

47%

46%

47%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

50%

50%

49%

50%

Labor

38.0%

31%

30%

33%

33%

Greens

11.8%

11%

11%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

8%

7

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

57%

57%

56%

57%

Labor

50.1%

43%

43%

44%

43%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

Comments »

Party Attributes Comparison – Labor vs Liberal

May 28, 2012
 

Labor

Liberal

 

% difference

Divided

73%

37%

+36%

Looks after the interests of working people

47%

40%

+7%

Will promise to do anything to win votes

70%

63%

+7%

Out of touch with ordinary people

58%

53%

+5%

Moderate

50%

52%

-2%

Extreme

31%

34%

-3%

Understands the problems facing Australia

46%

52%

-6%

Have a vision for the future

41%

48%

-7%

Has a good team of leaders

29%

39%

-10%

Keeps its promises

22%

34%

-12%

Clear about what they stand for

31%

46%

-15%

Too close to the big corporate and financial interests

36%

58%

-22%

The Labor Party is viewed more favourably than the Liberal Party in terms of – too close to the big corporate and financial interests and looks after the interests of working people.

The Liberal Party is seen more favourably in terms of – divided, clear about what they stand for, keeps it promises and has a good team of leaders..

Comments »

State of the Economy

May 28, 2012

Q. Overall, how would you describe the current state of the Australian economy?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Total good

35%

56%

24%

54%

Total poor

29%

13%

42%

18%

Very good

6%

13%

2%

17%

Good

29%

43%

22%

37%

Neither good nor poor

33%

30%

33%

28%

Poor

20%

9%

29%

14%

Very poor

9%

4%

13%

4%

Don’t know

2%

2%

*

1%

35% described the economy as good or very good and 29% poor/very poor – 33% said it was neither.

Those most likely to think the economy was good/very good were aged 18-34 (41%) and people with incomes over $1,600pw (44%).

Those most likely to think the economy was poor/very poor were aged 55+ (34%) and people with incomes of $600-$1,000pw (36%).

Comments »

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