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  • Feb, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,908 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

     

    This week

    Liberal

    44%

    44%

    45%

    46%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    47%

    47%

    48%

    49%

    Labor

    38.0%

    34%

    34%

    33%

    32%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    10%

    11%

    11%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    9%

    9%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    54%

    54%

    55%

    56%

    Labor

    50.1%

    46%

    46%

    45%

    44%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Feb, 2012

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    Labor Leadership issue

    Q. Who do you think is mainly responsible for the leadership problems of the Labor Party?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Kevin Rudd

    18%

    27%

    16%

    21%

    Julia Gillard

    39%

    28%

    55%

    16%

    Other people in the Labor Party

    23%

    23%

    21%

    25%

    The media

    10%

    16%

    4%

    25%

    Don’t know

    10%

    7%

    4%

    12%

    39% of respondents think that Julia Gillard is mainly responsible for the leadership problems of the Labor Party, 23% think other people in the Labor Party are responsible and 18% think Kevin Rudd is responsible. Only 10% think the media are mainly responsible.

    A majority (55%) of Liberal/National voters think Julia Gillard is mainly responsible while Labor and Greens voters are fairly evenly divided between Julia Gillard, Kevin Rudd and other people in the Labor Party. 25% of Greens voters think that the media are responsible.

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  • Feb, 2012

    , , , , , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1042 respondents

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week

    This week
    Liberal 45% 44% 44% 45%
    National 3% 3% 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6% 48% 47% 47% 48%
    Labor 38.0% 35% 33% 34% 33%
    Greens 11.8% 10% 11% 10% 11%
    Other/Independent 6.6% 7% 9% 9% 9%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 54% 54% 54% 55%
    Labor 50.1% 46% 46% 46% 45%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Feb, 2012

    , , , , , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,906 respondents

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week

    This week
    Liberal 45% 44% 44% 44%
    National 3% 3% 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6% 48% 47% 47% 47%
    Labor 38.0% 35% 34% 33% 34%
    Greens 11.8% 9% 10% 11% 10%
    Other/Independent 6.6% 8% 8% 9% 9%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 54% 54% 54% 54%
    Labor 50.1% 46% 46% 46% 46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Feb, 2012

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

    5 Jul 2010 14 Mar 14 June 12 Sept 17 Oct 14 Nov 12 Dec 16 Jan 2012 13 Feb Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Julia Gillard 53% 44% 41% 36% 38% 41% 39% 39% 41% 85% 5% 76%
    Tony Abbott 26% 33% 36% 40% 39% 36% 35% 36% 34% 3% 73% 7%
    Don’t know 21% 23% 24% 24% 23% 24% 26% 25% 25% 12% 22% 17%

    41% (up 2%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 34% (down 2%) prefer Tony Abbott – a net change from +3% to +7% for Julia Gillard. This is Julia Gillard’s best result since May last year.

    Men prefer Julia Gillard 42%/37% and women favour Julia Gillard 40%/32%.

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  • Jan, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,899 respondents

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    2 weeks ago Last week

    This week
    Liberal 45% 45% 44%
    National 3% 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6% 48% 48% 47%
    Labor 38.0% 35% 35% 34%
    Greens 11.8% 9% 10% 10%
    Other/Independent 6.6% 8% 7% 8%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 54% 54% 54%
    Labor 50.1% 46% 46% 46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Jan, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,896 respondents

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    Last week

    This week
    Liberal 45% 45%
    National 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6% 48% 48%
    Labor 38.0% 35% 35%
    Greens 11.8% 9% 10%
    Other/Independent 6.6% 8% 7%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 54% 54%
    Labor 50.1% 46% 46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Jan, 2012

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    Support for Additional Assistance to Car Industry

    Q. Do you support or oppose the provision of additional assistance by Federal and State governments to ensure US motor companies continue to manufacture cars in Australia?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Total support 58% 67% 63% 45%
    Total oppose 18% 16% 20% 22%
    Strongly support 14% 20% 14% 5%
    Support 44% 47% 49% 40%
    Oppose 12% 12% 14% 13%
    Strongly oppose 6% 4% 6% 9%
    Don’t know 23% 17% 17% 33%

    58% said they supported the provision of additional assistance to the Australian car industry and 18% were opposed.

    Support was highest among Labor voters (67%), aged 55+ (67%) and Victorians (68%).

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