25 February 2013, 250213, 2PP, Labor, Liberal, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,899 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 29/1/13 |
2 weeks ago 11/2/13 |
Last week 18/2/13 |
This week 25/2/13 |
| Liberal |
44% |
45% |
44% |
46% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
48% |
47% |
49% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
35% |
34% |
35% |
34% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
7% |
9% |
8% |
8% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
54% |
55% |
54% |
56% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
45% |
46% |
44% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
25 February 2013, 250213, blue collar workers, Greens, Labor, Liberal
Q. Which is the party that best represents the interests of blue-collar workers?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Labor |
34% |
67% |
18% |
32% |
| Liberal |
21% |
5% |
39% |
2% |
| Greens |
2% |
1% |
1% |
20% |
| No difference |
15% |
7% |
19% |
16% |
| None of them |
10% |
6% |
10% |
17% |
| Don’t know |
18% |
13% |
14% |
13% |
34% think that the Labor Party best represents the interests of blue-collar workers and 21% think the Liberal Party does.
43% said none, no difference of did not know.
67% of Labor voters nominated the Labor Party and 39% of Liberal/National voters nominated the Liberal Party.
20 February 2013, 200213, Greens, Independents, katter party, Labor, Liberal, senate voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote in the Senate? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward for the Senate?
If don’t know –
Q. Well which party are you currently leaning to for the Senate?
|
Total Australia |
NSW |
Queensland |
Victoria |
SA |
WA |
|
| Sample |
3,755 |
1,282 |
744 |
974 |
307 |
352 |
| Labor |
33% |
32% |
32% |
37% |
31% |
31% |
| Liberal/National |
47% |
48% |
44% |
43% |
39% |
55% |
| Greens |
11% |
10% |
10% |
12% |
11% |
10% |
| Katter Party |
2% |
1% |
7% |
1% |
1% |
* |
| Others/independents |
8% |
9% |
7% |
7% |
18% |
4% |
* Based on Interviewing conducted across 4 weeks of Essential Report – 24 January-17 February.
11 February 2013, 110213, 2PP, Labor, Liberal, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,897 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 14/1/13 |
2 weeks ago 29/1/13 |
Last week 5/02/13 |
This week 11/02/13 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
44% |
45% |
45% |
| National |
|
4% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
36% |
35% |
34% |
34% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
8% |
10% |
10% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
7% |
8% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
54% |
54% |
54% |
55% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
46% |
46% |
45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
29 January 2013, 290113, 2PP, ALP, Greens, Labor, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,895 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
2 weeks ago 14/1/13 |
Last week 21/01/13 |
This week 29/01/13 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
44% |
44% |
| National |
|
4% |
4% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
36% |
36% |
35% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
8% |
9% |
10% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
8% |
7% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
54% |
54% |
54% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
46% |
46% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
29 January 2013, 290113, GFC, global financial crisis, Labor, Liberal, trust in party
Q. If there was another Global Financial Crisis, which party would you trust most to deal with it?
|
15 Aug 11 |
7 May 12 |
Total 29 Jan 13 |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| The Labor Party |
31% |
25% |
26% |
68% |
2% |
23% |
| The Liberal Party |
40% |
42% |
40% |
4% |
84% |
6% |
| No difference |
20% |
23% |
22% |
18% |
10% |
52% |
| Don’t know |
9% |
10% |
11% |
10% |
4% |
19% |
If there was another GFC, 40% would trust the Liberal Party more to handle it and 26% would trust the Labor Party more. This represents a slight shift to the Labor Party from net -17% to net -14% since May last year.
The Liberal Party was rated higher than Labor with all demographic groups except for low income earners – 35% of those earning under $600pw would trust the Labor Party more and 29% the Liberal Party. Those most likely to trust the Liberal Party more were aged 55+ (52%), full-time workers (45%) and income over $1,600 pw (44%).
14 January 2013, 140113, 2PP, Labor, Labor Party, Liberal, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,878 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 17/12/12 |
This week 14/01/13 |
| Liberal |
|
45% |
44% |
| National |
|
3% |
4% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
36% |
36% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
8% |
8% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
8% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
55% |
54% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
46% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
17 December 2012, 171212, 2PP, Labor, Liberals
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,911 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 19/11/12 |
2 weeks ago 3/12/12 |
Last week 10/12/12 |
This week 17/12/12 |
| Liberal |
|
43% |
44% |
45% |
45% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
46% |
47% |
48% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
36% |
37% |
36% |
36% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
9% |
8% |
8% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
7% |
8% |
8% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
53% |
53% |
54% |
55% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
47% |
47% |
46% |
45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.