25 February 2013, 250213, 2PP, Labor, Liberal, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,899 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 29/1/13 |
2 weeks ago 11/2/13 |
Last week 18/2/13 |
This week 25/2/13 |
| Liberal |
44% |
45% |
44% |
46% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
48% |
47% |
49% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
35% |
34% |
35% |
34% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
7% |
9% |
8% |
8% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
54% |
55% |
54% |
56% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
45% |
46% |
44% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
25 February 2013, 250213, family and friends, Newspapers, radio news, Social Media, TV news
Q. How much trust do you have in the following for information on major public issues like immigration, climate change or the economy?
|
A lot of trust |
Some trust |
Not much trust |
No trust at all |
Don’t know |
Don’t use |
|
| What I see on TV news and current affairs |
5% |
50% |
30% |
11% |
3% |
1% |
| What I hear on radio news and current affairs |
5% |
51% |
30% |
8% |
3% |
4% |
| What I hear on radio talkback |
5% |
35% |
31% |
17% |
3% |
9% |
| What I read in newspapers or online news sites |
5% |
51% |
32% |
8% |
2% |
2% |
| What politicians say |
1% |
12% |
39% |
43% |
3% |
2% |
| What I see online on blogs and social media |
2% |
20% |
39% |
22% |
5% |
11% |
| What I hear from friends and family |
10% |
53% |
26% |
6% |
5% |
1% |
| What I hear in my workplace |
3% |
37% |
34% |
10% |
4% |
11% |
| What I learn from my own research |
35% |
50% |
6% |
2% |
2% |
4% |
|
Total lot/some of trust |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| What I see on TV news and current affairs |
55% |
54% |
59% |
40% |
| What I hear on radio news and current affairs |
56% |
53% |
61% |
34% |
| What I hear on radio talkback |
40% |
34% |
46% |
26% |
| What I read in newspapers or online news sites |
56% |
59% |
58% |
48% |
| What politicians say |
13% |
21% |
8% |
14% |
| What I see online on blogs and social media |
22% |
23% |
23% |
24% |
| What I hear from friends and family |
63% |
58% |
66% |
63% |
| What I hear in my workplace |
40% |
39% |
43% |
42% |
| What I learn from my own research |
85% |
86% |
86% |
83% |
85% have a lot or some trust in what they learn from their own research, 63% in what they hear from friends and family, 56% in newspapers and radio and 55% in TV news and current affairs. Only 13% have a lot or some trust in what they hear from politicians and 22% have a lot/some trust in blogs and social media.
Labor voters tend to have a little more trust in newspapers while Liberal/National voters have a little more trust in radio and TV news and current affairs. Liberal/National voters also have above-average trust in radio talkback.
25 February 2013, 250213, cost of living, economy, environment, Health, Interest rates, political leadership, tony abbott, trust in government, unemployment
Q. If the Labor Party lost the next election, do you think the following would be better or worse under a Liberal/National Government led by Tony Abbott?
|
A lot better |
A little better |
Stay much the same |
A little worse |
A lot worse |
Don’t use |
NET (Better-Worse) |
|
| Political leadership |
16% |
19% |
27% |
10% |
24% |
4% |
+1 |
| Trust in Government |
13% |
19% |
29% |
12% |
22% |
4% |
-2 |
| Unemployment |
7% |
18% |
39% |
13% |
19% |
5% |
-7 |
| The economy overall |
16% |
22% |
31% |
12% |
16% |
4% |
+10 |
| The cost of living |
6% |
19% |
36% |
14% |
21% |
4% |
-10 |
| Interest rates |
5% |
13% |
48% |
14% |
16% |
5% |
-12 |
| Health services |
6% |
19% |
36% |
16% |
20% |
4% |
-11 |
| Job security |
7% |
17% |
36% |
14% |
22% |
4% |
-12 |
| Workers rights and conditions |
5% |
13% |
37% |
15% |
25% |
5% |
-22 |
| Company profits |
13% |
28% |
37% |
6% |
10% |
6% |
+25 |
| The environment |
5% |
13% |
47% |
11% |
21% |
4% |
-14 |
| Job creation |
8% |
20% |
39% |
13% |
16% |
4% |
-1 |
| Public services |
6% |
15% |
42% |
13% |
20% |
4% |
-12 |
| Benefits for people on Government support – such as pensioners and the unemployed |
5% |
13% |
39% |
16% |
23% |
5% |
-21 |
| Your personal financial situation |
6% |
16% |
42% |
15% |
16% |
4% |
-9 |
Under a Liberal Government, respondents though that the economy overall (+10) and company profits (+25) would be better.
However they were more likely to think that workers rights and conditions (-22), benefits for people on Government support (-21), the environment (-14), interest rates (-12), job security (-12), public services, health services (-11) and the cost of living (-10) would all be worse. 22% think their own financial situation will be better, 31% think it will be worse and 42% much the same.
25 February 2013, 250213, deserves to be reelected, Julia Gillard, Labor Party
Q. As of now, do you think the current Federal Labor Government of Julia Gillard deserves to be re-elected?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Yes, deserves to be re-elected |
26% |
66% |
4% |
31% |
| No, does not deserve to be re-elected |
57% |
17% |
88% |
38% |
| Don’t know |
17% |
17% |
8% |
31% |
26% think that the Labor Government deserves to be re-elected and 57% think they do not. 66% of Labor voters think they deserve to be re-elected.
64% of men and 50% of women think they don’t deserve to be re-elected.
25 February 2013, 250213, Liberal Party, ready to govern, tony abbott
Q. Do you think the Liberal Party led by Tony Abbott has shown it has the policies and leadership to be ready to govern?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Liberals are ready to govern |
36% |
6% |
72% |
4% |
| Liberals are not ready to govern |
45% |
82% |
12% |
79% |
| Don’t know |
19% |
13% |
16% |
17% |
36% think that the Liberal Party has the policies and leadership to be ready to govern and 45% think they do not. 72% of Liberal/National voters think they are ready to govern.
41% of men and 32% of women think they are ready to govern.
25 February 2013, 250213, access to flexible work hours
Q. The Federal Government has announced measures to increase access to flexible work hours for parents and carers. Which statement is closer to your view?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Workers should have the right to request flexible hours if their employer can accommodate it |
66% |
65% |
66% |
74% |
| Employers should be required to accommodate workers’ caring responsibilities |
13% |
18% |
9% |
19% |
| It’s not up to employers to consider workers’ personal responsibilities |
14% |
10% |
20% |
6% |
| Don’t know |
7% |
7% |
4% |
1% |
66% think that workers should have the right to request flexible hours if their employer can accommodate it and 13% think employers should be required to accommodate workers’ caring responsibilities. There were few major differences across demographics. Those working full-time or part-time gave similar answers to those not working.
25 February 2013, 250213, blue collar workers, industry package, manufacturing
Q. The Federal Government has announced a $1 billion package to support Australian jobs in blue-collar industries like manufacturing. Do you support this plan?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Support |
48% |
69% |
39% |
45% |
| Oppose |
10% |
1% |
17% |
10% |
| Haven’t heard of it |
34% |
24% |
34% |
40% |
| Don’t know |
9% |
6% |
10% |
5% |
48% support the Government’s $1 billion package to support Australian jobs in blue-collar industries like manufacturing and 10% oppose. 34% said they hadn’t heard of it.
Strongest support was shown by Labor voters (69%), aged 35-44 (57%) and those earning $1,000-$1,600pw (56%).
25 February 2013, 250213, free to pursue cheapest option, local companies, major mining projects, support for local jobs
Q. This package requires major mining projects to give local firms the opportunity to tender for work, like supplying equipment. Which is closer to your view?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Local Australian companies should be given the opportunity to tender for work on big mining companies |
48% |
49% |
52% |
51% |
| Big mining companies should be forced to buy products from Australian businesses, to support local jobs |
34% |
39% |
29% |
36% |
| Mining companies operating in Australia should be free to pursue the cheapest option, including sourcing equipment from overseas |
6% |
4% |
10% |
3% |
| Don’t know |
11% |
9% |
8% |
11% |
48% think that Australian companies should be given the opportunity to tender for work on big mining companies and 34% think big mining companies should be forced to buy products from Australian businesses. Only 6% think mining companies operating in Australia should be free to pursue the cheapest option, including sourcing equipment from overseas.
Strongest support for forcing mining companies to buy products from Australian businesses came from Labor voters (39%), aged 25-34 (42%) and those earning $1,000-$1,600pw (39%).