Party trust to handle issues
Q. Which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?
|
Labor |
Liberal |
Greens |
Don’t know |
|
Difference 11 Feb 14 |
Difference 19 Nov 13 |
|
| Management of the economy |
27% |
46% |
2% |
25% |
-19 |
-26 |
|
| Ensuring a quality education for all children |
39% |
32% |
5% |
25% |
+7 |
+2 |
|
| Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system |
35% |
33% |
6% |
26% |
+2 |
-1 |
|
| Protecting the environment |
17% |
22% |
37% |
23% |
+15 |
+14 |
|
| A fair industrial relations system |
37% |
32% |
3% |
28% |
+5 |
+2 |
|
| Political leadership |
26% |
39% |
4% |
31% |
-13 |
-23 |
|
| Addressing climate change |
20% |
25% |
28% |
27% |
+3 |
+5 |
|
| Controlling interest rates |
25% |
42% |
3% |
30% |
-17 |
-21 |
|
| Australian jobs and protection of local industries |
34% |
32% |
4% |
30% |
+2 |
-7 |
|
| Ensuring a quality water supply |
20% |
30% |
21% |
29% |
-10 |
-13 |
|
| Housing affordability |
28% |
30% |
5% |
37% |
-2 |
-6 |
|
| Ensuring a fair taxation system |
29% |
35% |
4% |
32% |
-6 |
-11 |
|
| Security and the war on terrorism |
23% |
39% |
3% |
35% |
-16 |
-22 |
|
| Treatment of asylum seekers |
20% |
36% |
15% |
29% |
-16 |
-18 |
|
| Managing population growth |
21% |
32% |
8% |
38% |
-11 |
-19 |
Note – Differences are calculated by subtracting Liberal % from Labor % – except for the two issues on which the Greens lead in which case it is Greens minus Liberal.
The Liberal Party is trusted more to handle management of the economy (-19), controlling interest rates (-17), security and the war on terrorism (-16) and treatment of asylum seekers (-16). The Labor Party is trusted more to handle a quality education for all children (+7) and a fair industrial relations system (+5).
Since this question was asked in November, the Labor Party has improved its position on all issues – especially political leadership (up 10%), Australian jobs and protection of local industries (up 9%), managing population growth (up 8%) and managing the economy (up 7%).
Better or worse under Liberal/National Government
Q. Under the new Liberal/National Government, do you expect the following will get better or worse?
| – |
Total |
Total worse |
Net |
A |
A little better |
Stay much the same |
A little wor- |
A |
Don’t know |
Better |
Wor |
| Political leadership |
33% |
38% |
-5 |
15% |
18% |
25% |
12% |
26% |
3% |
42% |
31% |
| Trust in Government |
30% |
43% |
-13 |
12% |
18% |
26% |
13% |
30% |
3% |
36% |
36% |
| Unemployment |
22% |
45% |
-23 |
6% |
16% |
30% |
21% |
24% |
3% |
27% |
37% |
| The economy overall |
30% |
38% |
-8 |
10% |
20% |
29% |
21% |
17% |
3% |
38% |
30% |
| The cost of living |
17% |
52% |
-35 |
5% |
12% |
29% |
25% |
27% |
3% |
27% |
40% |
| Interest rates |
16% |
33% |
-17 |
5% |
11% |
47% |
18% |
15% |
4% |
17% |
31% |
| Health services |
18% |
45% |
-27 |
5% |
13% |
35% |
18% |
27% |
3% |
23% |
42% |
| Job security |
17% |
49% |
-32 |
5% |
12% |
32% |
21% |
28% |
3% |
22% |
43% |
| Workers rights and conditions |
14% |
45% |
-31 |
5% |
9% |
36% |
14% |
31% |
4% |
18% |
47% |
| Company profits |
40% |
18% |
+22 |
13% |
27% |
38% |
8% |
10% |
4% |
47% |
14% |
| The environment |
16% |
41% |
-25 |
5% |
11% |
39% |
14% |
27% |
4% |
18% |
39% |
| Education and schools |
20% |
43% |
-23 |
6% |
14% |
33% |
19% |
24% |
3% |
25% |
41% |
| Public services |
17% |
46% |
-29 |
6% |
11% |
35% |
20% |
26% |
3% |
20% |
45% |
| Benefits for people on Government support – such as pensioners and the unemployed |
13% |
49% |
-36 |
4% |
9% |
35% |
21% |
28% |
3% |
19% |
44% |
| Your personal financial situation |
18% |
37% |
-19 |
5% |
13% |
42% |
20% |
17% |
2% |
22% |
35% |
Except for company profits, respondents believed all issues measured would get worse under the new Liberal/National Government. Expectations on each issue have declined since this question was asked immediately after the election. The largest declines have been for cost of living (net score down 22), the economy overall (-16), political leadership (-16), unemployment (-13) and trust in Government (-13).
Expectations of a Liberal/National Government
Q. If the Labor Party lost the next election, do you think the following would be better or worse under a Liberal/National Government led by Tony Abbott?
|
A lot better |
A little better |
Stay much the same |
A little worse |
A lot worse |
Don’t use |
NET (Better-Worse) |
|
| Political leadership |
16% |
19% |
27% |
10% |
24% |
4% |
+1 |
| Trust in Government |
13% |
19% |
29% |
12% |
22% |
4% |
-2 |
| Unemployment |
7% |
18% |
39% |
13% |
19% |
5% |
-7 |
| The economy overall |
16% |
22% |
31% |
12% |
16% |
4% |
+10 |
| The cost of living |
6% |
19% |
36% |
14% |
21% |
4% |
-10 |
| Interest rates |
5% |
13% |
48% |
14% |
16% |
5% |
-12 |
| Health services |
6% |
19% |
36% |
16% |
20% |
4% |
-11 |
| Job security |
7% |
17% |
36% |
14% |
22% |
4% |
-12 |
| Workers rights and conditions |
5% |
13% |
37% |
15% |
25% |
5% |
-22 |
| Company profits |
13% |
28% |
37% |
6% |
10% |
6% |
+25 |
| The environment |
5% |
13% |
47% |
11% |
21% |
4% |
-14 |
| Job creation |
8% |
20% |
39% |
13% |
16% |
4% |
-1 |
| Public services |
6% |
15% |
42% |
13% |
20% |
4% |
-12 |
| Benefits for people on Government support – such as pensioners and the unemployed |
5% |
13% |
39% |
16% |
23% |
5% |
-21 |
| Your personal financial situation |
6% |
16% |
42% |
15% |
16% |
4% |
-9 |
Under a Liberal Government, respondents though that the economy overall (+10) and company profits (+25) would be better.
However they were more likely to think that workers rights and conditions (-22), benefits for people on Government support (-21), the environment (-14), interest rates (-12), job security (-12), public services, health services (-11) and the cost of living (-10) would all be worse. 22% think their own financial situation will be better, 31% think it will be worse and 42% much the same.
Important election issues
Q. Which are the three most important issues in deciding how you would vote at a Federal election?
|
First |
Second |
Third |
Total 30 Jul 12 |
5 Dec 11 |
6 June 11 |
25 Jan 10 |
|
| Management of the economy |
38% |
16% |
10% |
64% |
62% |
61% |
63% |
| Ensuring a quality education for all children |
5% |
10% |
11% |
26% |
22% |
26% |
23% |
| Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system |
10% |
19% |
18% |
47% |
47% |
49% |
48% |
| Protecting the environment |
3% |
4% |
4% |
11% |
13% |
15% |
16% |
| A fair industrial relations system |
4% |
3% |
5% |
12% |
11% |
8% |
* |
| Political leadership |
11% |
7% |
7% |
25% |
18% |
17% |
23% |
| Addressing climate change |
3% |
3% |
3% |
9% |
10% |
15% |
16% |
| Controlling interest rates |
2% |
2% |
5% |
9% |
11% |
13% |
15% |
| Australian jobs and protection of local industries |
13% |
15% |
13% |
41% |
36% |
32% |
33% |
| Ensuring a quality water supply |
* |
1% |
2% |
3% |
4% |
5% |
12% |
| Housing affordability |
3% |
5% |
5% |
13% |
13% |
16% |
14% |
| Ensuring a fair taxation system |
4% |
7% |
7% |
18% |
16% |
17% |
14% |
| Security and the war on terrorism |
1% |
1% |
3% |
5% |
4% |
8% |
9% |
| Treatment of asylum seekers |
3% |
4% |
3% |
10% |
8% |
5% |
* |
| Managing population growth |
2% |
3% |
3% |
8% |
8% |
12% |
* |
*Not asked
64% of people surveyed rated management of the economy as one of their three most important issues, followed by 47% ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system and 41% Australian jobs and protection of local industries.
Since December, there has been an increase in the importance of political leadership (+7%), Australian jobs and protection of local industries (+5%) and ensuring a quality education for all children (+4%).
Party trust to handle important election issues
Q. Which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?
|
Labor |
Liberal |
Greens |
Don’t know |
Difference 18 Jun 12 |
Difference 5 Dec 11 |
|
| Management of the economy |
26% |
44% |
3% |
27% |
-18 |
-18 |
| Ensuring a quality education for all children |
33% |
35% |
5% |
26% |
-2 |
-2 |
| Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system |
30% |
36% |
7% |
27% |
-6 |
-3 |
| Protecting the environment |
17% |
21% |
38% |
24% |
+17 |
+14 |
| A fair industrial relations system |
36% |
30% |
6% |
28% |
+6 |
+4 |
| Political leadership |
21% |
37% |
7% |
36% |
-16 |
-17 |
| Addressing climate change |
18% |
24% |
31% |
27% |
+7 |
+6 |
| Controlling interest rates |
22% |
40% |
3% |
35% |
-18 |
-18 |
| Protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries |
29% |
35% |
6% |
31% |
-6 |
-3 |
| Ensuring a quality water supply |
16% |
28% |
23% |
33% |
-12 |
-12 |
| Housing affordability |
22% |
33% |
5% |
39% |
-11 |
-10 |
| Ensuring a fair taxation system |
26% |
36% |
5% |
32% |
-10 |
-9 |
| Security and the war on terrorism |
18% |
40% |
4% |
38% |
-22 |
-19 |
| Treatment of asylum seekers |
16% |
36% |
13% |
36% |
-20 |
-19 |
| Managing population growth |
17% |
36% |
7% |
40% |
-19 |
-17 |
Note – Differences are calculated by subtracting Liberal % from Labor % – except for the two issues on which the Greens lead in which case it is Greens minus Liberal.
Labor does not have a substantial lead over the Liberal Party on any item measured. The Liberal Party has maintained strong leads on management of the economy, controlling interest rates, political leadership and security and the war on terrorism.
There is little difference between Labor and the Liberals for ensuring a quality education for all children, ensuring the quality of Australia’s health systerm and protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries. Overall, there has been very little change in these results since December.
Important election issues
Q. Which are the three most important issues in deciding how you would vote at a Federal election?
| Total | Labor | Liberal/ National | Green | |
| Management of the economy | 61% | 60% | 76% | 28% |
| Ensuring a quality education for all children | 26% | 29% | 24% | 27% |
| Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system | 49% | 50% | 50% | 51% |
| Protecting the environment | 15% | 17% | 10% | 52% |
| A fair industrial relations system | 8% | 12% | 4% | 4% |
| Political leadership | 17% | 16% | 20% | 16% |
| Addressing climate change | 15% | 23% | 6% | 45% |
| Controlling interest rates | 13% | 15% | 13% | 6% |
| Australian jobs and protection of local industries | 32% | 28% | 36% | 12% |
| Ensuring a quality water supply | 5% | 5% | 3% | 7% |
| Housing affordability | 16% | 16% | 13% | 16% |
| Ensuring a fair taxation system | 17% | 14% | 19% | 16% |
| Security and the war on terrorism | 8% | 4% | 13% | 1% |
| Treatment of asylum seekers | 5% | 3% | 5% | 12% |
| Managing population growth | 12% | 12% | 12% | 9% |
There were few substantial differences between voters on issues they considered important. Compared to the average, Labor voters are more likely to rate addressing climate change (23%) as important.
Liberal/National voters attach more importance to management of the economy (76%) and security and the war on terrorism (13%) while Greens voters are more likely to nominate protecting the environment (52%), addressing climate change (45%) and treatment of asylum seekers (12%).
Party trusted to handle important election issues
Q. And which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?
| Labor | Liberal | Greens | Don’t know | |
| Management of the economy | 29% | 47% | 3% | 22% |
| Ensuring a quality education for all children | 38% | 35% | 5% | 23% |
| Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system | 33% | 35% | 6% | 25% |
| Protecting the environment | 18% | 21% | 39% | 23% |
| A fair industrial relations system | 40% | 31% | 4% | 24% |
| Political leadership | 26% | 38% | 5% | 31% |
| Addressing climate change | 21% | 24% | 29% | 26% |
| Controlling interest rates | 26% | 44% | 3% | 28% |
| Protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries | 35% | 35% | 4% | 26% |
| Ensuring a quality water supply | 21% | 28% | 22% | 29% |
| Housing affordability | 26% | 34% | 4% | 35% |
| Ensuring a fair taxation system | 29% | 37% | 4% | 30% |
| Security and the war on terrorism | 25% | 40% | 3% | 32% |
| Treatment of asylum seekers | 19% | 39% | 11% | 31% |
| Managing population growth | 21% | 36% | 7% | 36% |
Labor is the most trusted party on only one issue – a fair industrial relations system. There is little difference between Labor and the Liberals for ensuring a quality education for all children, ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system and protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries.
This represents a weakening in Labor’s position over the last few months. In January Labor was trusted most to handle ensuring a quality education for all children and in October Labor also had a significant lead on protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries.
Assessment of Leaders
Q. Which leader – Julia Gillard or Tony Abbott – would you say has shown more leadership abilities during the period since the election?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Julia Gillard | 47% | 92% | 10% | 73% |
| Tony Abbott | 35% | 2% | 75% | 4% |
| Don’t know | 18% | 6% | 15% | 23% |
47% think Julia Gillard has shown more leadership abilities during the period since the election and 35% favour Tony Abbott.
By gender – men favour Julia Gillard 47%/38%, women 48%/31%. Comments »
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Two Party Preferred: 14 May 2019
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