19 March 2012, 190312, 2PP, ER, Essential Report, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Nationals, Polling, polls, two party preferred, voting, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,918 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
| Liberal |
45% |
47% |
46% |
45% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
49% |
49% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
33% |
32% |
31% |
32% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
11% |
10% |
10% |
11% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
10% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
55% |
56% |
57% |
56% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
44% |
43% |
44% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
19 March 2012, 190312, afghanistan, Australian Defence Force, Australian Military, Australian troops, Polling, polls, Troops in Afghanistan
Q. Thinking about the Australian troops in Afghanistan, do you think Australia should –
|
25 Oct 2010 |
21 Mar 2011 |
29 Aug |
21 Nov |
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Increase the number of troops in Afghanistan |
10% |
5% |
4% |
3% |
4% |
4% |
4% |
6% |
| Keep the same number of troops in Afghanistan |
30% |
30% |
26% |
22% |
22% |
21% |
27% |
18% |
| Withdraw our troops from Afghanistan |
47% |
56% |
64% |
64% |
64% |
64% |
62% |
69% |
| Don’t know |
14% |
9% |
7% |
11% |
10% |
11% |
7% |
6% |
64% (no change since November 2011) think Australia should withdraw our troops from Afghanistan, 22% (no change) think we should maintain troop numbers and 4% (up 1%) think we should increase them.
In the past 12 months, support for withdrawal of Australian troops has increased from 56% to 64%. There was majority support for withdrawal by all voting groups – 62% of Lib/Nat voters, 64% Labor and 69% Greens. Support for withdrawal was 71% among people aged 55+ and women were more likely than men to support withdrawal of troops (69% to 59%).
19 March 2012, 190312, Australian Defence Force, Australian Military, Defence forces, Polling, polls, women, Women in Defence Forces
Q. From what you’ve read and heard, do you think that women are generally respected and treated fairly in Australia’s defence forces or are they not respected or treated fairly?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Men |
Women |
|
| Respected and treated fairly |
31% |
34% |
34% |
24% |
37% |
25% |
| Not respected or treated fairly |
44% |
43% |
41% |
58% |
40% |
48% |
| Don’t know |
25% |
23% |
25% |
18% |
23% |
27% |
44% think that women in Australia’s defence forces are not respected or treated fairly, 31% think they are respected and treated fairly and 25% don’t know.
Only 25% of women think women in the defence forces are respected and treated fairly compared to 37% of men. 54% of respondents aged 55+ think they are not respected or treated fairly.
19 March 2012, 190312, Assange, diplomatic cables, extradition, Julian Assange, Polling, polls, Wikileaks
Q. The online organisation Wikileaks, which is headed by the Australian Julian Assange, has released diplomatic material leaked to it by an American source. It has also provided this material to other media which have also published information about the leaks. Do you approve or disapprove of Wikileaks and media outlets releasing this material?
|
20 Dec 2010 |
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Total approve |
53% |
53% |
55% |
51% |
80% |
| Total disapprove |
25% |
26% |
30% |
30% |
5% |
| Strongly approve |
20% |
20% |
21% |
18% |
32% |
| Approve |
33% |
33% |
40% |
30% |
38% |
| Disapprove |
14% |
18% |
16% |
21% |
13% |
| Strongly disapprove |
11% |
8% |
6% |
10% |
5% |
| Don’t know |
22% |
22% |
17% |
20% |
12% |
Approval of Wikileaks release of leaked information remains unchanged since this question was asked over 12 months ago. 53% approve of Wikileaks activities and 26% disapprove.
80% of Greens voters approve compared to 55% of Labor voters and 51% of Liberal/National voters.
60% of men approve and 22% disapprove while women split 45% approve/30% disapprove. Younger respondents (aged 18-34) are also more likely to approve – 61% approve and 16% disapprove.
19 March 2012, 190312, Assange, diplomatic cables, extradition, Julian Assange, Polling, polls, Wikileaks
Q. Julian Assange faces extradition from the UK to Sweden for an investigation into sexual assault allegations. In Sweden he will be detained while the investigation continues, and he may be extradited to the United States to face charges relating to WikiLeaks’s release of US diplomatic cables.
Do you think the Australian government has provided appropriate support to Assange given he faces investigation for sexual assault in Sweden and possible extradition to the US?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
NSW |
Vic |
Qld |
|
| Government have provided appropriate support |
22% |
26% |
26% |
14% |
21% |
23% |
21% |
| Government have not provided appropriate support |
36% |
34% |
35% |
53% |
36% |
38% |
33% |
| Don’t know |
41% |
40% |
39% |
33% |
43% |
39% |
46% |
36% believe that Julian Assange has received appropriate support from the Australian Government and 22% think he has received appropriate support. 41% could not give an opinion.
47% of men think the Government has not provided appropriate support compared to 26% of women – mainly due the 53% of women who said they “don’t know”. Despite the their higher approval of Wikileaks, only 33% of respondents aged 18-34 think Julian Assange has not received appropriate support.
19 March 2012, 190312, Polling, polls, Union, union movement, unions, workers, working people
Q. Overall, do you think unions have been good or bad for Australian working people?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Work full time |
Work part time |
|
| Total good |
48% |
72% |
31% |
70% |
48% |
48% |
| Total bad |
17% |
6% |
31% |
3% |
18% |
18% |
| Very good |
12% |
26% |
4% |
21% |
13% |
10% |
| Good |
36% |
46% |
27% |
49% |
35% |
38% |
| Neither good nor bad |
28% |
19% |
34% |
16% |
28% |
29% |
| Bad |
11% |
4% |
19% |
3% |
12% |
10% |
| Very bad |
6% |
2% |
12% |
– |
6% |
8% |
| Don’t know |
6% |
3% |
4% |
10% |
6% |
5% |
48% think that unions have been good for Australian working people, 17% think they have been bad, and 28% think they have been neither good nor bad.
72% of Labor voters and 70% of Greens voters think they have been good and Liberal/National voters are split 31% good/31% bad.
There was no difference between the views of workers and non-workers and very little difference be age, gender or income.
19 March 2012, 190312, Polling, polls, Union, union movement, unions, workers, working people
Q. And how important are unions for Australian working people today?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Work full time |
Work part time |
|
| Total very/quite important |
56% |
80% |
39% |
71% |
55% |
57% |
| Very important |
19% |
34% |
8% |
31% |
18% |
16% |
| Quite important |
37% |
46% |
31% |
40% |
37% |
41% |
| Not very important |
27% |
12% |
39% |
21% |
30% |
31% |
| Not at all important |
8% |
2% |
16% |
– |
8% |
8% |
| Don’t know |
9% |
6% |
6% |
7% |
7% |
5% |
56% think that unions are very or quite important for Australian working people today.
80% of Labor voters and 71% of Greens voters think they are important compared to only 39% of Liberal/National voters.
There was little difference by age and gender groups – but those on lower incomes were a little more likely to think unions are important (63% of those earning less than $1,000pw).