The Essential Report Archive Read the latest report

  • Aug, 2012

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    Better or Worse off under Liberal Government

    Q. Do you think you personally would be better off or worse off financially if Tony Abbott and the Liberals were in Government?

     

    Total

    Vote

    Labor

    Vote

    Lib/Nat

    Vote

    Greens

    Total better off

    30%

    4%

    64%

    6%

    Total worse off

    32%

    69%

    3%

    52%

    A lot better off

    10%

    1%

    22%

    A little better off

    20%

    3%

    42%

    6%

    Make no difference

    24%

    18%

    27%

    21%

    A little worse off

    10%

    19%

    2%

    11%

    A lot worse off

    22%

    50%

    1%

    41%

    No opinion

    14%

    9%

    6%

    21%

    30% of respondents think they would be personally better off financially if the Liberals were in Government and 32% think they would be financially worse off. 24% think it would make no difference to them financially.

    Respondents aged 45-64 thought they would be more likely to be worse off (32% better/40% worse) while for those aged 65+, 47% thought they would be better off and 24% worse off.

  • Jun, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,853 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    28/5/12

    2 weeks ago

    12/6/12

    Last week

    18/6/12

    This week

    25/6/12

    Liberal

    47%

    46%

    46%

    46%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    50%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    Labor

    38.0%

    33%

    32%

    33%

    33%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    7%

    9%

    8%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    57%

    56%

    56%

    56%

    Labor

    50.1%

    43%

    44%

    44%

    44%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

  • Jun, 2012

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    Likelihood of Repealing the Carbon Tax

    Q. If they won the next election, how likely do you think it would be that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would repeal the carbon tax?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Total likely

    44%

    28%

    64%

    42%

    Total unlikely

    40%

    62%

    22%

    41%

    Very likely

    17%

    15%

    24%

    14%

    Quite likely

    27%

    13%

    40%

    28%

    Not very likely

    24%

    29%

    18%

    24%

    Not at all likely

    16%

    33%

    4%

    17%

    Don’t know

    17%

    11%

    14%

    17%

    44% think it is likely that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would repeal the carbon tax if they won the next election and 40% think it is unlikely.

    Views were broadly similar across demographic groups – although those aged 45-64 split 44% likely/44% unlikely.

  • Jun, 2012

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    TRENDS: Feeling the pain: fair go for Tories


    Labor takes pride in being there for those up against hard luck. Targeted financial assistance comes in many forms, whether co-investment to an auto industry being hammered by the two-speed economy, childcare rebates to hard-up families, or the straight cash injection into middle Australian wallets.

    It appears there is a new victim of the Australian economy in need of a rescue package: the Coalition voter.

    With interest rates, inflation and unemployment all under the 5 per cent threshold, Australia is bucking the global trend in maintaining stability in the face of global unrest. But our polling this week shows only around one third of Australians are prepared to say the economy is performing well.

    And while many are unimpressed with Australia’s performance, Coalition voters – and that’s a lot of people these days – are feeling the economic pain more intensely.

    Read more on this at the Drum

  • Mar, 2011

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    Tony Abbott and Climate Change

    Q. As far as you know, do Tony Abbott and the Coalition support action to address climate change or are they opposed to taking any action?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Support action to address climate change 36% 27% 59% 31%
    Are opposed to any action to address climate change 33% 47% 17% 48%
    Don’t know 29% 26% 24% 21%

    Overall, respondents were divided over the position of Tony Abbott and the Coalition on climate change – 36% believe they support action to address climate change and 33% think are they opposed to taking any action.

    Those that intend to vote Lib/Nat were far more likely to believe that Tony Abbott and the Coalition support action to address climate change (59%).

    Those that intend to vote for Labor (47%) or the Green (48%) were more likely to state that Tony Abbott and the Coalition are opposed to any action to address climate change.

    Males (42%) were more likely than females (34%) to state that Tony Abbott and the Coalition support action to address climate change.

    Females (39%) were more likely than males (19%) to state ‘Don’t know.’

    Comments »

  • Mar, 2011

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    Turning around the Titanic

    First published on The Drum: 08/03/2011

    The media works in eight-hour news cycles, politicians live and die by three-year cycles, while the planet’s climate is working on a significantly longer time frame.

    The way these three cycles interplay over the next few months will determine not only the outcome of the next federal election but whether Australia will be a beneficiary or a victim of the shift in energy use that climate change will inevitably require*.

    As this week’s Essential Report shows the Government has taken a short-term hammering after it’s decision to move on a carbon price. Not only has the Government failed to win popular support for its carbon pricing scheme, this has translated into a 4 per cent turnaround in the Two Party Preferred.

    Of particular concern to Labor would be the high level of strong opposition, compared to strong support for the plan and the fact that barely half of Labor voters are backing the scheme.

    Comments »

  • Feb, 2011

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    Approval of Tony Abbott

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

    18 Jan 29 Mar 5 Jul 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 2011
    Total approve 37% 33% 37% 41% 43% 39% 40% 39% 42% 38%
    Total disapprove 37% 50% 47% 44% 37% 45% 40% 39% 37% 46%
    Strongly approve 5% 8% 8% 9% 12% 8% 6% 9% 7% 8%
    Approve 32% 25% 29% 32% 31% 31% 34% 30% 35% 30%
    Disapprove 20% 28% 23% 22% 21% 22% 22% 21% 22% 24%
    Strongly disapprove 17% 22% 24% 22% 16% 23% 18% 18% 15% 22%
    Don’t know 26% 16% 16% 15% 19% 17% 19% 22% 20% 16%

    38% (down 4%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 46% (up 9%) disapprove – a net change from last month of -13%

    73% of Coalition voters approve and 15% disapprove.

    By gender – men 43% approve/46% disapprove, women 34% approve/46% disapprove.

    Comments »

  • Feb, 2011

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    Attributes to describe the Opposition Leader

    Q.  Which of the following describe your opinion of the Opposition Leader, Tony Abbott?

    5 Jul 10 4 Oct 10 7 Feb 11 Change
    Intelligent 70% 71% 64% -7%
    Hard-working 76% 78% 72% -6%
    A capable leader 47% 52% 48% -4%
    Arrogant 59% 60% 58% -2%
    Out of touch with ordinary people 57% 53% 54% +1%
    Understands the problems facing Australia 50% 53% 50% -3%
    Visionary 32% 31% 27% -4%
    Superficial 45% *
    Good in a crisis 40% 42% 41% -1%
    Narrow-minded 56% 53% 51% -2%
    More honest than most politicians 33% 32% 31% -1%
    Trustworthy 33% 35% 34% -1%

    Tony Abbott’s key attributes were hard-working (72%), intelligent (64%) and arrogant (58%).

    Major changes since this question was asked in October 2010 were decreases for intelligent (down 7% to 64%) and hard-working (down 6% to 72%).

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