Better Prime Minister, Tony Abbott as Prime Minister
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Tony Abbott and Bill Shorten?
| Total | Vote Lab | Vote Lib/ Nat |
Vote Grn | Vote Other | Oct 2013 | June 2014 | Dec 2014 | Mar 2015 | Jun 2015 | Jul 2015 | Aug 2015 | |||
| Tony Abbott | 32% | 3% | 77% | 2% | 21% | 41% | 36% | 31% | 33% | 38% | 37% | 36% | ||
| Bill Shorten | 35% | 72% | 5% | 60% | 23% | 22% | 40% | 36% | 37% | 33% | 30% | 32% | ||
| Don’t know | 32% | 25% | 17% | 39% | 56% | 37% | 24% | 33% | 30% | 29% | 33% | 31% |
32% (down 4% since July) of respondents think Tony Abbott would make the better Prime Minister and 35% (up 3%) think Bill Shorten would make the better Prime Minister.
Women increasingly prefer Bill Shorten (35% up from 32% in July). Women are less likely to prefer Tony Abbot than in July (29% down from 36% in July).
35% of men prefer Tony Abbott and 36% prefer Bill Shorten.
Tony Abbott is the preferred PM in NSW (37% compared to 29% from Bill Shorten), but Bill Shorten is preferred in QLD (33% compared to 30%) and VIC (39% compared to 32%).
Q. Do you think Tony Abbott is likely or unlikely to still be the leader of the Liberal Party at the next election?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Total Dec 2014 | Total Feb 2015 | |||
| Likely | 26% | 11% | 52% | 8% | 22% | 29% | 20% | ||
| Unlikely | 57% | 79% | 29% | 82% | 55% | 51% | 61% | ||
| Don’t know | 17% | 9% | 19% | 10% | 23% | 20% | 19% |
57% (down 4% since February) think that Tony Abbott is unlikely to still be leader of the Liberal Party at the next election and 26% (up 6%) think it is likely.
79% (no change) of Labor voters and 82% (up 12%) of Greens voters think it is unlikely and 52% (up 16%) of Liberal/National voters think it is likely he will still be leader.
Tony abbot, Tony Abbott as Prime Minister
Q. Do you think Tony Abbott is likely or unlikely to still be the leader of the Liberal Party at the next election?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
| Likely |
29% |
16% |
50% |
19% |
29% |
|
| Unlikely |
51% |
72% |
29% |
68% |
60% |
|
| Don’t know |
20% |
12% |
21% |
13% |
11% |
51% think that Tony Abbott is unlikely to still be leader of the Liberal Party at the next election and 29% think it is likely.
72% of Labor voters and 68% of Greens voters think it is unlikely and 50% of Liberal/National voters think it is likely he will still be leader.
G20, Tony Abbott as Prime Minister
Q. How would you rate the Prime Minister Tony Abbott’s performance at the G20?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote Other |
|
| Total good |
31% |
11% |
67% |
4% |
15% |
|
| Total poor |
37% |
59% |
6% |
75% |
46% |
|
| Very good |
9% |
2% |
22% |
– |
6% |
|
| Good |
22% |
|
9% |
45% |
4% |
9% |
| Neither good nor poor |
24% |
|
23% |
21% |
20% |
31% |
| Poor |
13% |
|
19% |
6% |
17% |
15% |
| Very poor |
24% |
|
40% |
* |
58% |
31% |
| Don’t know |
9% |
|
7% |
5% |
1% |
9% |
31% think that Tony Abbott’s performance at the G20 was good and 37% think it was poor – 24% think it was neither good nor poor.
Those most likely to rate his performance good were Liberal/National voters (67%) and respondents aged 65+ (52%).
Better Prime Minister, Bill Shorten as Prime Minister, Tony Abbott as Prime Minister
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Tony Abbott and Bill Shorten?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/ Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote Other |
|
22 Oct 2013 |
14 Jan |
11 Feb |
11 Mar |
8 April |
13 May |
11 June |
8 July |
|
| Tony Abbott |
37% |
6% |
84% |
6% |
22% |
41% |
42% |
40% |
39% |
42% |
36% |
36% |
34% |
||
| Bill Shorten |
36% |
73% |
2% |
55% |
31% |
22% |
31% |
30% |
33% |
32% |
37% |
40% |
37% |
||
| Don’t know |
27% |
22% |
14% |
39% |
47% |
37% |
27% |
31% |
28% |
26% |
28% |
24% |
29% |
37% (up 3% since July) of respondents think Tony Abbott would make the better Prime Minister and 36% (down 1%) think Bill Shorten would make the better Prime Minister.
Men prefer Tony Abbott 42% to 35% and women prefer Bill Shorten 36% to 33%.
Approval of Tony Abbott, PM approval, Tony Abbott as Prime Minister
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Prime Minister?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/ |
Vote Greens |
Vote Other |
|
Tony Abbott as Opp. Leader 2 Sep 13 |
Tony Abbott as PM 24 Sep |
14 Jan 2014 |
11 Mar |
13 May |
11 June |
|
| Total approve |
34% |
6% |
77% |
4% |
26% |
|
40% |
41% |
47% |
40% |
35% |
35% |
|
| Total disapprove |
58% |
89% |
16% |
90% |
69% |
|
49% |
36% |
43% |
47% |
55% |
58% |
|
| Strongly approve |
8% |
2% |
20% |
4% |
2% |
13% |
14% |
13% |
11% |
12% |
10% |
||
| Approve |
26% |
4% |
57% |
– |
24% |
27% |
27% |
34% |
29% |
23% |
25% |
||
| Disapprove |
22% |
25% |
12% |
23% |
35% |
19% |
13% |
18% |
20% |
18% |
18% |
||
| Strongly disapprove |
36% |
64% |
4% |
67% |
34% |
30% |
23% |
25% |
27% |
37% |
40% |
||
| Don’t know |
7% |
4% |
7% |
5% |
5% |
10% |
23% |
11% |
12% |
10% |
7% |
58% of respondents disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Prime Minister – no change since the last time this question was asked in June – and 34% approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing (down 1%).
77% (down 5%) of Liberal/National voters approve of Tony Abbott’s performance, with 16% (up 4%) disapproving. 89% of Labor voters and 90% of Greens voters disapprove of Tony Abbott’s performance.
By gender men were 36% approve/59% disapprove and women 32% approve/58% disapprove.
diplomacy, diplomatic connections, Prime Minister trust, Tony Abbott as Prime Minister
Q. How much trust do you have in Tony Abbott and the Liberal Government to handle Australia’s international relations?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
26 Nov 13 |
|
| Total a lot/some |
35% |
8% |
81% |
11% |
25% |
41% |
||
| Total little/no trust |
59% |
88% |
19% |
87% |
71% |
53% |
||
| A lot of trust |
17% |
3% |
45% |
1% |
7% |
20% |
||
| Some trust |
18% |
5% |
36% |
10% |
18% |
21% |
||
| A little trust |
16% |
16% |
14% |
12% |
28% |
18% |
||
| No trust |
43% |
72% |
5% |
75% |
43% |
35% |
||
| Don’t know |
5% |
5% |
1% |
1% |
4% |
7% |
17% of people have “a lot of trust” in Tony Abbott and the Liberal Government to handle Australia’s international relations.
43% have no trust.
Labor (72%) and Greens (75%) voters were far more likely to have ‘no trust’. Liberal/National voters were far less likely (5%) to have no trust. 45% of Liberal/National voters have “a lot of trust”.
Since this question was asked in November, those saying they have a lot or some trust has declined by 6% and those saying they have no trust increased by 8%.
diplomacy, diplomatic connections, performance as prime minister, Tony Abbott as Prime Minister
Q. When you think of Tony Abbott representing Australia at international conferences and meetings, how confident are you that he will do a good job in representing Australia to the international community?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
Kevin Rudd 5 Oct 09 |
|
| Total very/somewhat confident |
45% |
15% |
91% |
14% |
44% |
74% |
||
| Very confident |
18% |
3% |
46% |
2% |
6% |
31% |
||
| Somewhat confident |
27% |
12% |
45% |
12% |
38% |
43% |
||
| Not at all confident |
50% |
81% |
8% |
85% |
54% |
18% |
||
| Don’t know |
5% |
% |
1% |
1% |
2% |
8% |
45% say they are very or somewhat confident that Tony Abbott will do a good job in representing Australia to the international community and 50% say they are not at all confident.
When this question was asked about Kevin Rudd in 2009, 74% said they were very/somewhat confident and only 18% said they were not at all confident.