Party Best at

Aug 9, 2010

Q. Which of the major parties – Labor or Liberal – do you think is the best party when it comes to –

  Labor Liberal Don’t know Labor margin
Making sure large companies pay their fair share of taxation 47% 25% 28% +22
Looking after the needs of low income earners and pensioners 42% 23% 34% +19
Understanding the needs of the average Australian 43% 28% 29% +15
Ensuring a quality education for all children 42% 27% 31% +15
Handling environmental and climate change issues 38% 24% 38% +14
Handling the economy in a way that helps working people in Australia 44% 35% 21% +9
Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system  38% 29% 33% +9
Representing the interests of you and people like you 43% 35% 22% +8
Having a vision for Australia’s future 36% 33% 31% +3
Providing strong leadership 33% 33% 34%
Handling Australia’s relations with other countries 33% 38% 29% -5
Handling Australia’s economy 38% 44% 18% -6
Being a stable and reliable Government 30% 38% 31% -8
Dealing with the issue of immigration 25% 43% 32% -18

 Main strengths for Labor are making sure large companies pay their fair share of taxation, looking after the needs of low income earners and pensioners, understanding the needs of the average Australian, ensuring a quality education for all children and handling environmental and climate change issues.

 The Liberal Party is considered to be best at dealing with the issue of immigration, being a stable and reliable Government and handling Australia’s economy. Comments »

Opinion of Julia Gillard

Aug 9, 2010

Q. Since the election was called has your opinion of Julia Gillard and the Labor Party gone up or down?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total gone up 19% 38% 8% 18%
Total gone down 42% 16% 68% 38%
Gone up a lot 6% 15% 1% 2%
Gone up a little 13% 23% 7% 16%
Stayed the same 32% 43% 22% 41%
Gone down a little 20% 15% 25% 24%
Gone down a lot 22% 1% 43% 14%
Don’t know 7% 2% 1% 3%

 19% say their opinion of Julia Gillard and the Labor Party has gone up during the election campaign and 42% say it has gone down.

 Among Labor voters 38% say their opinion has gone up and 18% say it has gone down.

 By gender – men 22% up/44% down and women 16% up/40% down. Comments »

Opinion of Tony Abbott

Aug 9, 2010

Q. Since the election was called has your opinion of Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party gone up or down?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total gone up 27% 9% 55% 9%
Total gone down 27% 50% 4% 42%
Gone up a lot 8% 2% 18%
Gone up a little 19% 7% 37% 9%
Stayed the same 38% 36% 39% 45%
Gone down a little 11% 15% 3% 27%
Gone down a lot 16% 35% 1% 15%
Don’t know 8% 5% 2% 3%

 27% say their opinion of Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party has gone up during the election campaign and 27% say it has gone down.

 Among Liberal/National voters 55% say their opinion has gone up and 4% say it has gone down.

 By gender – men 28% up/26% down and women 25% up/28% down. Comments »

The Punch: Gillard dumps focus groups, focus groups will like that

Aug 3, 2010

Originally published on The Punch 3/08/2010

Our Prime Minister has joined the bandwagon complaining that this is a focus group- driven election – but isn¹t this the way of the Wiki? After all, books have been written about how the wisdom of the masses provide a more compelling truth than the voice of authority.

Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 2, 2010

Q. The Federal Election will be held on 21 August –  to which party will you probably give your first preference in the House of Representatives? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to for the House of Representatives?

2,418 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Liberal 35% 36% 37% 37% 37%
National 3% 3% 2% 2% 2%
Total Lib/Nat 38% 39% 39% 39% 39%
Labor 45% 42% 41% 41% 40%
Greens 9% 11% 13% 13% 13%
Family First 2% 2% 2% 2% 3%
Other/Independent 6% 6% 5% 5% 5%

 

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Total Lib/Nat 44% 46% 45% 45% 46%
Labor 56% 54% 55% 55% 54%

 NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data.   Comments »

Approval of Julia Gillard

Aug 2, 2010

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
30 Mar 09 29 Jun 09 28 Sept 09 14 Dec 09 29 Mar 10 31 May 10 5 Jul 10 19 Jul 10 26 Jul 10 2 Aug 10
Total approve 71% 62% 66% 57% 53% 41% 48% 52% 49% 46%
Total disapprove 21% 29% 23% 32% 36% 47% 27% 30% 33% 38%
Strongly approve 21% 14% 15% 10% 12% 7% 14% 11% 12% 10%
Approve 50% 48% 51% 47% 41% 34% 34% 41% 37% 36%
Disapprove 14% 18% 17% 20% 22% 25% 13% 17% 19% 23%
Strongly disapprove 7% 9% 6% 12% 14% 22% 14% 13% 14% 15%
Don’t know 9% 11% 11% 10% 12% 12% 26% 18% 17% 15%

46% approve Julia Gillard’s performance as Prime Minister and 38% disapprove. Since this question was asked last week, approval has decreased by 3% and disapproval increased by 5%. 87% of Labor voters approve and only 5% disapprove. Among Liberal/National voters, 11% approve and 77% disapprove.

By gender – men 44% approve/44% disapprove and women 48% approve/33% disapprove. Comments »

Approval of Tony Abbott

Aug 2, 2010

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

Malcolm Turnbull Tony Abbott
30 Nov 09 18 Jan 10 22 Feb 10 29 Mar 10 3 May 10 31 May 10 28 Jun 10 5 Jul 10 19 Jul 10 26 Jul 10 2 Aug 10
Total approve 25% 37% 45% 33% 39% 35% 40% 37% 40% 35% 38%
Total disapprove 55% 37% 36% 50% 43% 50% 39% 47% 44% 46% 48%
Strongly approve 2% 5% 12% 8% 5% 5% 9% 8% 6% 6% 8%
Approve 23% 32% 33% 25% 34% 30% 31% 29% 34% 29% 30%
Disapprove 33% 20% 20% 28% 24% 28% 20% 23% 22% 22% 27%
Strongly disapprove 22% 17% 16% 22% 19% 22% 19% 24% 22% 24% 21%
Don’t know 19% 26% 18% 16% 18% 16% 20% 16% 16% 19% 14%

38% approve Tony Abbott’s performance as Opposition Leader and 48% disapprove. Since this question was asked last week, approval has increased by 3% and disapproval increased by 2%. 82% of Liberal/National voters approve and 11% disapprove. Among Labor voters, 14% approve and 78% disapprove.

By gender – men 41% approve/48% disapprove and women 35% approve/48% disapprove. Comments »

Better Prime Minister

Aug 2, 2010

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

  5 Jul 10 19 Jul 10 26 Jul 10 2 Aug 10 Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens   Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

21 Jun 10

Julia Gillard 53% 50% 51% 48% 92% 7% 65%   47%
Tony Abbott 26% 27% 26% 30% 1% 77% 6%   30%
Don’t know 21% 23% 23% 22% 7% 16% 28%   23%

48% think Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 30% prefer Tony Abbott – a narrowing of the gap between the two (from 25% to 18%) since polled last week. This is almost identical to the last measure comparing Kevin Rudd and Tony Abbott in June.

Julia Gillard is preferred 92% to 1% by Labor voters – and Tony Abbott is preferred 77% to 7% by Liberal/National voters. Greens voters prefer Julia Gillard 65% to 6%.

 Men prefer Julia Gillard 46%/34% and women 50%/26%. Comments »

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